St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs Betting Pick & Prediction 8/2/24
There does appear to be a chance of rain in Chicago on Friday, where the Cubs and Cardinals are facing off at Wrigley Field. First pitch for this one is set for 2:20 PM ET. MARQ will be televising Friday’s matchup.
Both teams are listing their starting pitching as TBD for Friday’s game, and the Cardinals are the slight money line favorite, as they are at -111 compared to the Cubs at -107. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and the Cubs will be looking to extend their two-game win streak.
CHICAGO CUBS VS ST. LOUIS CARDINALS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Chicago Cubs Moneyline -107
This game will be played at Wrigley Field at 2:20 ET on Friday, August 2nd.
HOW TO BET THE CARDINALS VS CUBS:
- We have the Cubs winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Cubs to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Cubs vs Cardinals series. Chicago went into the matchup as slight favorites at -116 and squeaked out a 5-4 win. The Cubs offense only had two more hits than the Cardinals and struck out 11 times, but still picked up the win.
St. Louis had a late rally in the 9th inning, scoring three runs, but Ryan Helsley took the loss. Shota Imanaga got the win for the Cubs out of the bullpen as the starter.
Offensively, the Cubs were led by Cody Bellinger and Seiya Suzuki, who each had two hits and a home run. Bellinger, Dansby Swanson, and Nico Hoerner each had two RBIs for Chicago’s offense.
Cardinals Records & Stats
St. Louis is 56-53 overall, and they are 16-17 against other teams in the NL Central. Currently, they trail the Brewers by 5.5 games for the top spot in the division. The Cardinals dropped the first game of this series vs. the Cubs and have gone 4-6 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Cardinals have gone 29-25 this season, and they are just under .500 at 27-28 on the road. As the favorite, St. Louis is 29-26 this year and 27-27 as the underdog. So far, they have gone 10-7 as the road favorite this season.
When the Cardinals are favored, they are a poor bet on the run line, going just 19-36. However, when they are the underdog, they are a solid 36-18 on the run line. Their overall run line record is 55-54, and they are 28-27 on the run line on the road. Their average run differential in wins is +2.7, while it’s -3.6 in losses.
St. Louis is on the road against the Cubs today, and the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average in their games this season is 8.7 runs, and their over/under record is 53-53. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 8-14. Overall, 76.1% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs this season. The over has hit in their last four games.
Right-hander Erick Fedde gets the start for the Cardinals today as he faces the Cubs on the road. He has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 7-4 with a 3.11 ERA. Fedde’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.14. In his last outing, he took the loss, going 4 innings and giving up 3 earned runs on 6 hits. Before that, he had won three straight starts. Fedde has made 10 quality starts this year and is averaging 7.99 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed 14 homers and is averaging 2.52 walks per nine innings.
St. Louis comes into today’s game with the 20th ranked scoring offense in the league, averaging 4.2 runs per game. They have been a little better at home, putting up 4.4 runs per contest. As a team, the Cardinals are batting .247, which is 10th in the league, and their collective on-base percentage of .310 is also right around the league average.
Paul Goldschmidt has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/23 in his last six games with two homers. For the season, he is batting .281 with 17 home runs. Alec Burleson has also been a key power source for the Cardinals, as his 18 homers leads the team and is 13th in the league. Masyn Winn and Nolan Gorman are also near the top of the league in home runs, but Gorman is batting just .202 for the season.
Cubs Records & Stats
Chicago is 53-58 overall, putting them 5th in the NL Central. Currently, they trail the Brewers by 9.5 games in the division. The Cubs are 15-25 against other teams in the NL Central. They will host the Cardinals today with a two-game winning streak, and their overall record is made up of a 28-25 mark at home and 25-33 mark on the road.
As the home underdog, the Cubs have gone 10-6 this year, and they are 29-31 as the underdog overall. Chicago’s series record is 12-19-3 this year, and they have dropped two straight series at home.
Chicago is 53-58 against the run line this season, including a 19-34 mark at home. The Cubs are 34-24 against the run line on the road, and they have covered in three straight games as the underdog. Chicago has an average run margin of -0.1 runs per game this season.
Today’s over/under line of 7.5 runs is lower than the Cubs’ average combined run average of 8.4 runs per game. The over/under record for Chicago games this season is 47-60, and the over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 12-11. The over has hit in two straight Cubs games.
Chicago is starting right-hander Javier Assad vs. the Cardinals today, and he has made 19 starts this season. So far, Assad has a record of 5-3 and an ERA of 3.23. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .240 this season. In his 19 starts, Assad has turned in four quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he gave up three earned runs in six innings of work. He ended up getting the win in that outing. Against the Cardinals, Assad has a record of 0-1 and an ERA of 9.39. He has allowed at least one homer in three of his last four starts.
Chicago comes into the game with a team batting average of just .234, which is 17th in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in runs per game, home runs, and slugging percentage. The Cubs do have a good walk rate and have been good at putting the ball in play, as they are 22nd in the league in strikeouts.
Seiya Suzuki has been hot of late for the Cubs, going 12/31 in his last eight games with three homers and seven RBIs. For the season, he is hitting .273 with 16 homers, which is tied for 2nd on the team. Ian Happ leads the Cubs with 62 RBIs and has 17 homers but is batting just .233 for the season.