Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs Texas State Bobcats Betting Pick & Prediction 11/16/24
Heading into this week 12 matchup between the Southern Miss Golden Eagles and Texas State Bobcats, the over/under line is currently sitting at 55.5 points. The game is set for 7:00 ET on Saturday, November 16th, with ESPN+ handling the TV broadcast. The Bobcats are favored by -26.5 points as they look to improve on their 5-4 record. Southern Miss enters the game at 1-8.
SOUTHERN MISS GOLDEN EAGLES VS TEXAS STATE BOBCATS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Southern Miss Golden Eagles +26.5
This game will be played at UFCU Stadium at 7:00 ET on Saturday, November 16th.
WHY BET THE SOUTHERN MISS GOLDEN EAGLES:
- We have the Texas State Bobcats winning this one by a score of 26 to 23
- Even though we like the Texas State Bobcats to win, our ATS pick is to take the Southern Miss Golden Eagles at +26.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 55.5 points
Will The Southern Miss Golden Eagles Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Southern Miss heads into Week 12 with a 1-8 record, sitting at 126th in our CFB power rankings. They have no chance of reaching bowl eligibility. The Golden Eagles are 0-4 on the road and 0-4 at home this season.
They’ve been underdogs in all nine games, with an average scoring margin of -18 points per game. Against the spread, Southern Miss is 2-6 this season.
The over/under line for this week is 55.5 points. Southern Miss games have averaged an over/under line of 53.7 points, with their over/under record at 3-5 and an average total of 50.4 points per game.
Southern Miss has struggled offensively this season, averaging just 16.2 points per game, and they are ranked 131st in our offensive power rankings heading into week 12. Their third-down conversion rate is only 24.3%, and they are averaging 109.6 rushing yards per game.
Ethan Crawford leads the team with 842 passing yards, but he has yet to throw a touchdown pass and has seven interceptions. His passer rating is 41. Rodrigues Clark leads the rushing attack with 402 yards, while Larry Simmons has 314 receiving yards.
Southern Miss’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 34.2 points per game. In their recent 37-3 loss to Marshall, they gave up 37 points and 526 total yards, including 267 rushing yards and three rushing touchdowns.
Opponents have averaged 232.3 rushing yards per game against Southern Miss, while the secondary has allowed 197.9 passing yards per game. Quarterbacks have completed 66.3% of their passes against them.
Are The Texas State Bobcats Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
Texas State enters Week 12 with a 5-4 record and a 65th-place ranking in our CFB power rankings. They have a 99.2% chance of becoming bowl-eligible, but only a 0.6% shot at winning the Sun Belt. The Bobcats are 2-2 at home and 2-2 on the road this season.
They’ve been favored in eight of their nine games, going 4-4 as the favorite. Texas State’s average scoring margin is +11.1 points per game, and their ATS record stands at 4-4.
Their over/under record is 3-4-1, with an average line of 58.2 points. This week’s line is 55.5 points, and their games have averaged 55.1 points per contest.
Texas State’s offense is averaging 33.1 points per game heading into week 12, placing them 31st in the nation. They are also 31st in rushing, with 201.9 yards per game, and rank 25th in rushing attempts. Our offensive power rankings have them 44th this week.
Quarterback Jordan McCloud has thrown for 2,030 yards and 21 touchdowns, with a passer rating of 108. Texas State is 11th in completion percentage, completing 68.3% of their passes. Joey Hobert leads the team with 526 receiving yards and seven touchdowns.
Texas State’s defense is ranked 34th nationally, allowing 22 points per game this season. They’ve given up an average of 146.3 rushing yards per game and 201.3 passing yards, with opposing quarterbacks completing 56.3% of their passes and posting a passer rating of 77.9.
In their recent game against UL Monroe, Texas State’s defense allowed just 17 points, giving up 282 total yards. They held UL Monroe to 119 passing yards and forced one interception.