South Alabama Jaguars vs Louisiana Ragin Cajuns Betting Pick & Prediction 11/16/24
ESPN+ is covering the South Alabama Jaguars vs. Louisiana Ragin Cajuns matchup, set for Saturday, November 16th, at 7:00 ET. The game will be played at Cajun Field in Lafayette. The Ragin Cajuns are the heavy favorite at -8.5 points, with the over/under line sitting at 58.5 points. Louisiana comes in with an 8-1 record, while South Alabama has gone 4-5 this season.
SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS VS LOUISIANA RAGIN CAJUNS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Louisiana Ragin Cajuns -8.5
This game will be played at Cajun Field at 7:00 ET on Saturday, November 16th.
WHY BET THE LOUISIANA RAGIN CAJUNS:
- We have the Louisiana Ragin Cajuns winning this one by a score of 32 to 19
- Not only do we have the Louisiana Ragin Cajuns winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -8.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 58.5 points
Will The South Alabama Jaguars Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
South Alabama enters Week 12 against Louisiana with a 4-5 record, ranked 68th in our power rankings. They have a 67.9% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. On the road, they are 1-3, while their home record stands at 2-2.
The Jaguars have been favored in six of their nine games, going 2-4 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +10.8 points, and they are 3-5 against the spread this season.
This week’s over/under line is 58.5 points. South Alabama’s games have averaged 60.3 points, with their over/under record at 3-5 and an average line of 58.2 points.
South Alabama’s offense is averaging 35.6 points per game heading into week 12, placing them 20th in the nation. They are also 18th in rushing, with 214.1 yards per game. Fluff Bothwell leads the ground attack with 611 yards, 10 touchdowns, and an average of 6 yards per carry. Overall, South Alabama ranks 60th in our offensive power rankings.
Quarterback Gio Lopez has thrown for 1,889 yards and has a passer rating of 107. He has completed 65.2% of his passes, with 14 touchdowns and just two interceptions. Jamaal Pritchett is the leading receiver, with 62 catches for 769 yards and seven touchdowns.
South Alabama’s defense will look to bounce back after allowing 34 points in their recent 34-30 loss to Georgia Southern. They gave up 338 total yards, including 231 passing yards and three passing touchdowns, while holding Georgia Southern to 107 rushing yards.
On the season, South Alabama ranks 50th nationally, giving up 24.8 points per game. They are 58th in rushing yards allowed at 132.9 yards per game. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged a passer rating of 84.9 and have completed 62.5% of their passes against South Alabama’s defense.
Are The Louisiana Ragin Cajuns Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
Louisiana enters Week 12 with an 8-1 record, and they are 100% certain to be bowl-eligible. They have a 55.3% chance of winning the Sun Belt, and their playoff odds stand at 8.8%. The Ragin’ Cajuns are 4-0 on the road and 2-1 at home this season.
Louisiana’s ATS record is 4-3, with a 3-1 mark on the road and 1-2 at home. They’ve been favored in four games, going 2-2 against the spread as favorites. Their average scoring margin this season is +13.4 points per game.
The over/under line for this week is 58.5 points. Louisiana’s over/under record is 4-3, with their games averaging 57 points. Their average over/under line has been 58.8 points, with four games featuring higher lines and three lower than this week’s total.
Louisiana’s offense is averaging 35.2 points per game heading into week 12, placing them 23rd nationally. They rank 17th in our offensive power rankings. Quarterback Ben Wooldridge has thrown for 2,301 yards, completing 68.5% of his passes, with 17 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. His passer rating is 112.
Louisiana ranks 8th in completion percentage, converting 50% of their third downs. They are 36th in passing yards, averaging 266.8 per game. On the ground, they average 191.8 rushing yards per game. Bill Davis leads the rushing attack with 585 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry.
Louisiana’s defense is ranked 32nd in the nation, allowing 21.8 points per game. They’ve given up 165.8 rushing yards per game, ranking 114th, and 173 passing yards per game, which is the 25th-lowest in the country.
In their recent game, Louisiana forced two interceptions and allowed 19 points. Arkansas State gained 401 total yards, including 209 rushing yards on 39 attempts and 192 passing yards.