South Alabama Jaguars vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Pick & Prediction 10/5/24

ESPN+ will be covering this week six college football matchup between the South Alabama Jaguars and the Arkansas State Red Wolves, set for 7:00 ET at Centennial Bank Stadium in Jonesboro. South Alabama comes in with a 2-3 record, while Arkansas State is also 2-2 on the season. The Jaguars are favored by -3 points, with the over/under line currently sitting at 62.5 points.

SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS VS ARKANSAS STATE RED WOLVES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Arkansas State Red Wolves +3

This game will be played at Centennial Bank Stadium at 7:00 ET on Saturday, October 5th.

WHY BET THE ARKANSAS STATE RED WOLVES:

• We have the South Alabama Jaguars winning this one by a score of 32 to 31
• Even though we like the South Alabama Jaguars to win, our ATS pick is to take the Arkansas State Red Wolves at +3
• Look for this game to go over the line of 62.5 points

Will The South Alabama Jaguars Pick Up A Win On The Road?

South Alabama enters Week 6 with a 2-3 record, ranked 68th in our power rankings. They have an 87% chance of becoming bowl-eligible and a 20.9% chance of winning the Sun Belt. On the road, they are 1-2, while they are 0-1 at home this season.

The Jaguars have a +11.6 average scoring margin but are 1-3 against the spread. They’ve been favored in two games, going 0-2 ATS as the favorite and 1-1 ATS as the underdog.

This week’s over/under line is 62.5 points. South Alabama’s games have averaged 69.6 points, with an average over/under line of 61.2 points. Their over/under record is 1-3, with an average margin of +1.5 points.

Heading into week 6, South Alabama’s offense is averaging 40.6 points per game, placing them 18th in the nation. They are also ranked 33rd in our offensive power rankings. Their rushing attack is a key component, averaging 212.6 yards per game.

Fluff Bothwell leads the ground game with 376 rushing yards, six touchdowns, and an impressive 8 yards per carry. Quarterback Gio Lopez has thrown for 1,014 yards and 10 touchdowns without an interception, giving him a passer rating of 121. Jamaal Pritchett has 394 receiving yards and four touchdowns.

South Alabama’s defense is looking to bounce back after a tough game against LSU, where they allowed 42 points and 667 total yards. LSU rushed for 237 yards and threw for 430 yards, though South Alabama did manage to force two interceptions.

On the season, South Alabama is giving up 29 points per game. They rank 168th in passing yards allowed, giving up 303.4 yards per game, while opposing quarterbacks have completed 62.3% of their passes. Against the run, South Alabama is allowing 149.8 yards per game on 30.6 rushing attempts, which ranks 29th fewest in the nation.

Will The Arkansas State Red Wolves Win At Home Over The South Alabama Jaguars?

Arkansas State enters Week 6 with a 2-2 record, ranked 106th in our power rankings. They have a 47.3% chance of being bowl-eligible this season. The Red Wolves are 1-0 at home and 0-2 on the road so far.

They’ve been favored in just one game this season, going 1-0 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is -12 points per game, and they are 1-2 against the spread.

This week’s over/under line is 62.5 points. Arkansas State’s games have averaged 55.5 points, and their average over/under line has been 55.2 points, with a 1-2 record against the total.

Arkansas State’s offense is averaging 21.8 points per game heading into week 6, placing them 104th in our offensive power rankings. They are 39th in passing attempts, with 36.5 per game, and are converting 43.7% of their third downs. They are 83rd in passing yards, averaging 228 yards per game, and 112th in rushing, with 111.5 yards per game.

Jaylen Raynor leads the team with 780 passing yards, but he has a passer rating of 63, with three touchdowns and five interceptions. Arkansas State ranks 112th in passer rating nationally. Zak Wallace leads the rushing attack with 134 yards, averaging 3 yards per carry. Corey Rucker has 265 receiving yards and two touchdowns.

Arkansas State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 33.8 points per game. In their recent game against Iowa State, they gave up 52 points, with 393 total yards allowed, including 240 rushing yards and 153 passing yards.

Opponents have averaged 234 rushing yards per game against Arkansas State, while quarterbacks have posted a 61.6% completion rate and a passer rating of 81.2.