Navy Midshipmen vs Air Force Falcons Betting Pick & Prediction 10/5/24
Coming into this week six non-conference matchup, the Navy Midshipmen are undefeated at 4-0, while the Air Force Falcons are looking to bounce back with just one win on the season. Kick-off is set for 12:00 ET at Falcon Stadium on the USAF Academy campus, and you can catch the game on CBS. The over/under line is 34.5 points, and Navy is the heavy favorite at -9.5 points.
NAVY MIDSHIPMEN VS AIR FORCE FALCONS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Navy Midshipmen -9.5
This game will be played at Falcon Stadium at 12:00 ET on Saturday, October 5th.
WHY BET THE NAVY MIDSHIPMEN:
- We have the Navy Midshipmen winning this one by a score of 25 to 10
- Not only do we have the Navy Midshipmen winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -9.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 34.5 points
Will The Navy Midshipmen Win As Road Favorites?
Navy enters Week 6 against Air Force with a perfect 4-0 record, ranked 76th in our power rankings. They have a 97.5% chance of becoming bowl-eligible and an 11.4% chance of winning the American Athletic Conference. So far, Navy is 2-0 at home and 1-0 on the road this season.
Navy’s ATS record is 3-0, and they’ve been favored in two of their four games. Their average scoring margin is +22.5 points per game, and they’ve covered the spread as favorites (2-0) and as underdogs (1-0).
This week’s over/under line is 34.5 points, the lowest they’ve faced this season. Navy’s games have averaged 69.5 points, with an average over/under line of 48.7 points, and they are 3-0 against the over/under line.
Navy’s offense has been impressive this season, ranking 5th in our offensive power rankings and averaging 46 points per game, placing them 8th nationally. Their rushing attack is a key component, averaging 287.8 yards per game on 45.8 attempts.
Blake Horvath leads the passing game with 637 yards and a passer rating of 141. He has thrown seven touchdowns and just one interception, completing 68.2% of his passes. Navy is 6th in passer rating nationally.
Navy’s defense allowed just 18 points in their recent game against UAB, forcing two interceptions. They gave up 395 total yards, including 193 rushing yards on 43 attempts and 202 passing yards.
So far this season, Navy’s defense is ranked 34th nationally, allowing 23.5 points per game. Opponents have averaged 160.2 rushing yards per game and 267.5 passing yards against Navy’s defense.
Are The Air Force Falcons Going Win In At Upset At Falcon Stadium
Air Force enters Week 6 with a 1-3 record, and they are ranked 119th in our CFB power rankings. Looking ahead, they have just a 6.9% chance of becoming bowl-eligible for the rest of the season.
The Falcons have been favored in two of their four games this season, but they have gone 0-2 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is -8.8 points per game, and they are 0-3 against the spread so far.
Air Force’s over/under record is 1-2, with their games averaging 33.8 points. The average over/under line has been 39.7 points, and this week’s line is set at 34.5 points.
Air Force’s offense has struggled this season, ranking 130th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 6. They are averaging just 12.5 points per game, placing them 96th nationally. Their third-down conversion rate is 32.3%, and their passing game has been ineffective, with a passer rating of 31, the lowest in the country. They are 126th in passing yards, averaging 66.2 yards per game.
John Busha leads the team with 240 passing yards, but he has yet to throw a touchdown and has two interceptions, resulting in a passer rating of 35. Air Force is 8th in rushing attempts, averaging 178.5 yards per game. Aiden Calvert has rushed for 91 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Cade Harris leads the receivers with 119 yards on eight catches.
Air Force’s defense, ranked 28th nationally, is allowing 21.2 points per game this season. In their recent 31-19 loss to Wyoming, they gave up 31 points, including four rushing touchdowns, while allowing 190 rushing yards and 188 passing yards.
Opponents are averaging 147.2 rushing yards per game on 33.2 attempts against Air Force. Through the air, quarterbacks have completed 64% of their passes, averaging 200.2 yards per game.