SMU Mustangs vs Stanford Cardinal Betting Pick & Prediction 10/19/24
SMU Mustangs are on the road for this week 8 matchup against the Stanford Cardinal. Kick-off is set for 8:00 ET at Stanford Stadium, and the game can be seen on ACCN. The Mustangs are the heavy favorite at -14.5 points, with the over/under line currently at 54.5 points. SMU comes in with a 5-1 record, while Stanford is 2-4 on the season.
SMU MUSTANGS VS STANFORD CARDINAL BETTING PICK
The Pick: SMU Mustangs -14.5
This game will be played at Stanford Stadium at 8:00 ET on Saturday, October 19th.
WHY BET THE SMU MUSTANGS:
- We have the SMU Mustangs winning this one by a score of 35 to 17
- Not only do we have the SMU Mustangs winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -14.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 54.5 points
Will The SMU Mustangs Win As Road Favorites?
SMU enters Week 8 with a 5-1 record, and they are 2-0 on the road this season. They are ranked 18th in our power rankings and have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible. The Mustangs have a 20.4% chance of winning the Atlantic Coast and hold the 15th best odds of making the CFB playoff at 27.8%.
SMU’s average scoring margin is +18.5 points per game, and they are 3-2 against the spread. As the favorite, they are 1-2 ATS, but they are 2-0 ATS as the underdog.
Their over/under record is 3-2, with their games averaging 63.2 points per contest. This week’s line is set at 54.5 points, just above their average line of 54.4 points.
SMU’s offense is averaging 40.8 points per game heading into week 8, placing them 13th in the nation. They are 24th in rushing, with 213.3 yards per game on 40 attempts. Brashard Smith leads the ground attack with 558 yards, 7 touchdowns, and an average of 6 yards per carry.
Kevin Jennings has thrown for 1,014 yards, completing 66.7% of his passes, and has a passer rating of 106. He has 6 touchdown passes and just one interception. SMU ranks 27th in third-down conversions, converting 46.2% of their attempts.
SMU’s defense has allowed 22.3 points per game this season, ranking 38th nationally. In their recent game against Louisville, they gave up 27 points, allowing 408 total yards, including 177 rushing yards and 231 passing yards, while forcing one interception.
Opponents have averaged 98.5 rushing yards per game against SMU, which ranks 19th in the country. Through the air, quarterbacks have completed 52.6% of their passes, totaling 240.2 passing yards per game against SMU’s defense.
Are The Stanford Cardinal Going Win In At Upset At Stanford Stadium
Stanford enters Week 8 with a 2-4 record and is set to host SMU. The Cardinal are ranked 91st in our power rankings and have just a 6.7% chance of becoming bowl-eligible this season.
They’ve been the underdog in all six games, going 1-4 in those matchups. Stanford’s average scoring margin is -10.5 points per game, and they are 2-3 against the spread this season.
The over/under line for this week is 54.5 points. Stanford’s games have averaged 51.2 points, with an average line of 53.5 points. Their over/under record stands at 2-3 for the year.
Stanford’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 20.3 points per game, which ranks 81st nationally. They are 117th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 8. Their passing game has been particularly weak, averaging 165.8 yards per game, placing them 116th in the country. Ashton Daniels, their quarterback, has thrown for 707 yards with five touchdowns and six interceptions, resulting in a passer rating of 68.
Stanford ranks 28th in rushing attempts, averaging 37.5 per game, and they gain 148.7 rushing yards per game. Chris Davis Jr. leads the team with 233 rushing yards and averages 6 yards per carry. Elic Ayomanor is the top receiver with 333 yards and three touchdowns on 27 catches.
Stanford’s defense struggled in their recent game against Notre Dame, allowing 49 points in a 49-7 loss. They gave up 477 total yards, including 229 rushing yards and four rushing touchdowns, while Notre Dame also threw for 248 yards and three touchdowns.
On the season, Stanford is allowing 30.8 points per game. Opponents are averaging 266.7 passing yards per game, completing 65% of their passes. Stanford’s defense ranks 36th in the nation against the run, giving up just 113.2 rushing yards per game on 28.7 attempts, which is the 14th fewest rushing attempts faced in the country.