Seattle Mariners vs Washington Nationals Betting Pick & Prediction 5/25/24

Seattle is favored on the money line today, with their odds sitting at -173 compared to the Nationals at +145. Today’s pitching matchup features Logan Gilbert for the Mariners and Trevor Williams for the Nationals. First pitch from Nationals Park is set for 4:05 PM ET.

Washington comes into the game on a three-game winning streak, and they are 3rd in the NL East with a record of 22-27. Seattle is 1st in the AL West with a record of 27-25.

WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS SEATTLE MARINERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Washington Nationals Moneyline +145

This game will be played at Nationals Park at 4:05 ET on Saturday, May 25th.

HOW TO BET THE MARINERS VS NATIONALS:

• We have the Nationals winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Nationals to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Washington cruised to a 6-1 win over the Mariners in the most recent game of this series. The Nationals had a huge 4th inning, scoring all six of their runs. As for the Mariners, they scored their only run in the 1st inning. Heading into the game, the Nationals were at +108 on the money line.

MacKenzie Gore got the win for the Nationals, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued five walks. George Kirby had a rough outing for the Mariners, taking the loss after going six innings and giving up five earned runs.

Offensively, the Nationals were led by Keibert Ruiz and Luis Garcia Jr., as they were the only two Nationals hitters to have more than one hit. Ruiz, Eddie Rosario, and CJ Abrams each had two RBIs for Washington’s offense.

Mariners Records & Stats

Seattle is 27-25 overall this season, and they lead the AL West by three games over the Rangers. The Mariners are on a three-game losing streak, dropping the first game of this series vs. the Nationals. So far, they have gone 6-3 in divisional games.

At home, the Mariners have gone 15-10 this year, but they are just 12-15 on the road. As the road favorite, Seattle is 4-4 this year, and they are 15-12 when favored overall. Their record as the underdog this season is 12-13.

Seattle is just below .500 on the run line at 25-27, but they have been a better bet at home (13-12) than on the road (12-15). Their average run margin is -0.2, but it’s been slightly worse on the road at -0.7. The Mariners have been a better bet as the underdog (13-12) than as the favorite (12-15).

The Mariners are on the road against the Nationals today, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for their games this season is 7.6, and their over/under record is 20-29. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 4-2. Overall, 40 of their games have had lower over/under lines than 8.5 runs, and their under streak is at 2 games.

Through 10 starts, Logan Gilbert has a record of 3-2 and an ERA of 3.20. Gilbert’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.00. In his 10 appearances, he has turned in eight quality starts. Gilbert most recently faced the Yankees, where he finished with a no-decision. In that outing, he gave up three earned runs in six innings of work. Looking back, he had lost two straight starts before picking up the win against the Astros on May 4th. Gilbert’s ERA on the road is 5.0 compared to 2.38 at home.

Cal Raleigh comes into today’s game as the Mariners’ home run leader, but he has struggled at the plate of late, batting just .182 over his last six games. Dylan Moore has also hit six homers this season, which is 2nd on the team, and he has gone 7/20 in his last seven games. Overall, Moore is batting .242 for the season. Julio Rodriguez is hitting .252 for the season and has two home runs.

As a team, the Mariners are batting just .224, and they are also the league’s worst team in terms of striking out. Overall, they are 29th in the MLB in runs scored, averaging just 3.7 runs per game. Currently, J.P. Crawford is on a four-game hitting streak.

Nationals Records & Stats

Washington is 22-27 overall and trail the Phillies by 13.5 games in the NL East. So far, they are 5-5 in divisional games. The Nationals have dropped four straight series and are 5-10-1 in series this year.

At home, the Nationals are 9-12 this year and 13-15 on the road. So far, they have been the underdog in most of their games, where they are 19-25. As the favorite, the Nationals are 3-2 this year. They have struggled recently, going just 3-7 over their last 10 games.

Washington has been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 30-19. They have been especially good on the road, going 18-10. They have covered the run line in two straight games at home and as the underdog, they are 27-17. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.5, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.4.

Washington’s combined run average is 8.3, and their over/under record is 21-26. When the over/under line is set at 8.5, their record is 8-9. So far this season, 22.4% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 or higher. Their under streak is currently at 2 games.

Trevor Williams gets the start for the Nationals today and comes into the game with a record of 4-0 and an ERA of 2.35. He has made nine starts this season and has one quality start. Williams’ ERA at home is 1.62, compared to 2.78 on the road. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts. Williams has done a good job of limiting the long ball, giving up just one homer in each of his last three outings.

Washington’s offense has been one of the league’s worst units so far this season, as they are just 23rd in runs per game (4.0) and have the league’s 16th worst home run total. As a team, they are batting just .226, which is 18th in the league. So far, they have been led by Luis Garcia Jr., who is hitting .279 and has a team-high 26 RBIs.

Jesse Winker and Eddie Rosario are tied for the team lead with seven home runs, but Winker is batting just .222, and Rosario is hitting only .183. Neither player has been hitting the ball well of late, as Rosario is just 4/19 in his last five games, and Winker is 3/15 in that stretch. Joey Meneses has been hot of late, going 6/16 in his last four games, and he is currently on a five-game hitting streak.