Seattle Mariners vs Tampa Bay Rays Betting Pick & Prediction 6/25/24
From Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, we have an AL matchup between the Mariners and Rays. The Mariners are 45-36 and their current losing streak is at two games. The Rays are 39-40 and have won two straight. Zack Littell is slated to start for the Rays, while the Mariners are going with Luis Castillo. Seattle is -129 on the money line, and the Rays are the slight home underdog at +108. First pitch for this one is set for 6:50 PM ET. BSSUN is televising Tuesday’s matchup.
The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and the Mariners are favored to win this one, with their money line odds sitting at -129. The Rays are 4th in the AL East, while the Mariners are leading the AL West.
TAMPA BAY RAYS VS SEATTLE MARINERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline +108
This game will be played at Tropicana Field at 6:50 ET on Tuesday, June 25th.
HOW TO BET THE MARINERS VS RAYS:
- We have the Rays winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Rays to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Tampa Bay picked up a 4-3 win over the Mariners in the most recent game of this series. The Rays had a late rally, scoring three runs in the 8th and picking up the win in the 9th. Heading into the game, they were favored at -113 on the money line.
Seattle wasted a good outing from Bryan Woo, as he gave up just one run in three innings of work for the Mariners. Austin Voth took the loss. Phil Maton got the win out of the bullpen for the Rays as Taj Bradley went just 5 1/3 innings, giving up one earned run.
Offensively, the Rays were led by Yandy Diaz, Jose Siri, and Richie Palacios, as they were the only three Rays hitters to have more than one hit. Diaz. Seattle’s top hitter was Mitch Garver, who went 1/4 with a home run.
Mariners Records & Stats
Seattle leads the AL West with a record of 45-36, which includes an AL-best 17-5 mark in divisional games. The Mariners are on a two-game losing streak, dropping the final two games of their series vs. the Angels. This season, the Mariners are 29-20 as the favorite and an even 16-16 as the underdog.
At home, the Mariners have been strong this year, going 27-12. However, they are just under .500 on the road at 18-24. As the road favorite, Seattle is 8-10 this year, and they have an overall series record of 13-10-2. The Mariners have lost two straight series.
Seattle has been a tough team to predict against the run line this season, as they have a 39-42 record overall. They have been slightly better at home, going 21-18, while they are just 18-24 on the road. The Mariners have been the favorite in 49 games and have gone 21-28 against the run line in those contests. They have been the underdog in 32 games and have gone 18-14 against the run line in those games.
The Seattle Mariners are on the road today against the Tampa Bay Rays. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs, which is below their season average of 8 runs. The Mariners have played 24 games with an over/under line of 7.5 runs this season, and their record in those games is 9-15.
Right-hander Luis Castillo gets the start for the Mariners today as he faces the Rays on the road. So far this season, he has made 16 starts and has a record of 6-8. Castillo’s ERA is 3.62, along with a WHIP of 1.19. In his 16 appearances, he has turned in 10 quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, Castillo took the loss, giving up five earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The right-hander has given up at least one homer in each of his last three outings.
Cal Raleigh and Mitch Garver are the Mariners’ top two power threats this season, but both are batting below the Mendoza line, with Garver hitting just .175 and Garver at .201. Raleigh’s 13 homers are 1st on the team and 13th in the MLB, while Garver is 2nd on the team with nine homers. Julio Rodriguez and Luke Raley have been two of the team’s more consistent hitters, with Rodriguez batting .257 and Raley at .258. Raley has gone deep nine times, which is 2nd on the team.
Over the team’s last five games, Luke Raley and Dylan Moore are both batting .286, with one homer apiece. Dominic Canzone has gone 5/12 in his last four games, including one home run. Ryan Bliss has also been hot of late, going 7/12 in his last four games with five RBIs. J.P. Crawford comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak.
Rays Records & Stats
Tampa Bay is 39-40 overall and 12.5 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. The Rays are 4th in the division and have gone just 10-17 in AL East games. They have won two straight games, and their two-game winning streak includes taking the first game of this series vs. the Mariners.
At home, the Rays are 20-23 this season and have gone 19-17 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 43 of their games, going 23-20 in those matchups. As for their record as the underdog, they are 16-20 this year. Tampa Bay’s overall series record is 12-11-2, and they have won two straight series overall and two straight series on the road.
When the Rays win, they win big, with an average run margin of +2.3 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose by an average of -3.8 runs per game. Overall, they are 35-44 against the run line this season, with a -0.8 run differential per game. They are 13-30 against the run line at home, where they have a -1.0 run differential per game. On the road, they are 22-14 against the run line, with a -0.5 run differential per game. They have covered the run line in six straight games as the underdog, and are 20-16 against the run line as the underdog this season.
When the Tampa Bay Rays play at home, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs today against the Seattle Mariners. The combined run average in their games this season is 8.7 runs per game, and their over/under record is 40-36. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 13-9. So far this season, 67.1% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, with only 5.1% of their games having lower lines.
Zack Littell gets the start for the Rays today and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Braves on June 14th. In that start, he gave up six earned runs in just two innings of work. Against the Mariners, he will look to pitch more like he did vs. the Orioles on June 9th, where he went six innings and gave up just three earned runs. Littell’s ERA for the season is 4.21, along with a record of 2-5. Opposing batters are hitting .289 off the right-hander this season. So far, he has made six quality starts and is averaging 8.41 strikeouts per nine innings.
Yandy Diaz and Isaac Paredes have been the Rays’ top power threats this season, as Paredes has 11 homers and a batting average of .277, and Diaz has gone deep six times while batting .273. Diaz has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 15/41 in his last nine games, including two homers. Paredes has also been a run producer, leading the team with 39 RBIs.
As a team, the Rays are batting just .236, and are near the bottom of the league in home runs, runs per game, and slugging percentage. Overall, they are averaging just 4 runs per contest and are even worse at home, where they are averaging only 3.7 runs per game.