Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres Betting Pick & Prediction 7/9/24
At 9:40 PM ET, the Mariners and Padres will square off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at PETCO Park in San Diego, and the Mariners are the slight favorites on the money line (-142). The money line odds for the Padres are at +120, and the over/under line is at 8 runs.
Seattle comes into the game with a record of 49-43 and is 1st in the AL West, while the Padres are 2nd in the NL West with a record of 49-45. MLBN is carrying this one on TV, and the Mariners will be looking to snap a two-game losing streak. Adam Mazur is starting for the Padres, and the Mariners are going with Logan Gilbert.
SAN DIEGO PADRES VS SEATTLE MARINERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: San Diego Padres Moneyline +120
This game will be played at PETCO Park at 9:40 ET on Tuesday, July 9th.
HOW TO BET THE MARINERS VS PADRES:
- We have the Padres winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Padres to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Mariners Records & Stats
Mitch Garver had a big game for the Mariners in their most recent game vs. the Blue Jays, going 2/5 with a homer and three RBIs. The Mariners really needed a big game from Garver, as they lost the game 5-4. Seattle was the -147 favorite at home going into the game.
George Kirby started for the Mariners, going six innings and giving up three runs on seven hits. He only had one strikeout in the outing and took the loss.
Seattle heads into today’s road matchup vs. the Padres with a record of 49-43, putting them 1st in the AL West. They currently hold a two-game lead over the Astros and are coming off two straight losses. The Mariners lost the final two games of their series vs. the Blue Jays.
So far, the Mariners have been great against other teams in the AL West, putting up a record of 17-5. At home, they are 30-18 compared to 19-25 on the road. As the road favorite, the Mariners are 8-11 this season, and they are 31-24 when favored overall. Seattle’s overall series record is 13-14-2, and they have dropped six straight series.
The Mariners have been a tough team to bet on this season, as they have a run line record of 41-51. They have been a better bet on the road, where they are 19-25 vs. the run line. They have been favored in 55 games and have a run line record of 21-34 in those games. They have been an underdog in 37 games and have a run line record of 20-17 in those games. They have a run line losing streak when favored of seven games.
The Seattle Mariners are on the road today against the San Diego Padres. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs, which is slightly higher than their combined run average of 7.6 runs per game. The Mariners have an over/under record of 38-49 on the season, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, they have gone 5-10-1. Over the course of the season, they have played in 19 games with over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, which accounts for 20.7% of their games.
Seattle is sending right-hander Logan Gilbert to the mound today as he faces the Padres on the road. Gilbert has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 5-5 with a 2.91 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .194 off Gilbert this season. In his last outing, he took the loss, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up four earned runs on six hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts and didn’t give up a run in either outing. Gilbert’s walk rate for the season is 1.84 per nine innings compared to 8.26 strikeouts.
As a team, the Mariners are batting just .217 this season, which is the worst mark in the league. They are also dead last in the league in strikeouts, averaging 10 per game. However, they have shown some patience at the plate, as they are 6th in the league in walks. Overall, the Mariners are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 27th in the league.
Cal Raleigh is leading the Mariners in RBIs this season, with 51, but he has done so while batting just .203. He does have 15 home runs, which is 12th best in the league. Julio Rodriguez has been a bit better at the plate, with a batting average of .247, and he has gone deep eight times. Over his last five games, Mitch Garver has two homers while going 5/19 (.263).
Padres Records & Stats
The Padres will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Diamondbacks with a 9-1 loss. San Diego was the heavy favorite at -173 going into the game but fell behind early, as the Diamondbacks scored a run in the 1st inning. Things really got away from the Padres in the 4th, as the Diamondbacks scored five runs in the inning. San Diego’s offense scored their only run in the 1st but was then shut out the rest of the way.
Dylan Cease had a rough outing, giving up three earned runs on five hits and issuing a walk. He also hit a batter and took the loss. The Padres were hoping to get a good start out of Cease, as he’s coming off a seven-inning shutout performance in his last outing. Jurickson Profar homered for the Padres but went just /2. Starter Dylan Cease took the loss, going seven innings and giving up three earned runs on five hits. He also issued a walk and hit a batter. The Padres were hoping to get a good start out of Cease, as he’s coming off a seven-inning shutout performance in his last outing. San Diego’s offense scored their only run in the 1st inning and then went on to lose 9-1. Jurickson Profar homered for the Padres but went just /2. Dylan Cease took the loss, going seven innings and giving up three earned runs on five hits. He also issued a walk and hit a batter. The Padres were hoping to get a good start out of Cease, as he’s coming off a seven-inning shutout performance in his last outing.
San Diego is 49-45 overall and trails the Dodgers by 7.5 games in the NL West. The Padres lost two straight games to close out their series vs. the Diamondbacks. So far, they are 15-17 in divisional games.
At home, the Padres are 25-24 this year, and they are 24-21 on the road. As the underdog, the Padres have won three straight, and they are 21-18 overall as the underdog. As for their record as the favorite, it sits at 28-27. San Diego’s overall series record is 17-11-3, and they have won two straight series on the road.
San Diego is 18-31 on the run line at home, with a run differential of -0.3 runs per game. They are 31-14 on the run line on the road, with a run differential of +0.9 runs per game. They are 28-11 on the run line as an underdog, and 21-34 as a favorite. They have a run differential of +0.2 runs per game overall, and are 49-45 on the run line. In their wins, they have outscored opponents by 3.7 runs per game, and in their losses, they have been outscored by 3.5 runs per game. They have failed to cover the run line in their last two home games, but have covered in their last three games as an underdog.
The San Diego Padres are at home today against the Seattle Mariners, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The Padres’ games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 51-42. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 7-8-1. Overall, 42.6% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs, and their current over streak is at 3 games.
Padres starter Adam Mazur has made six starts this year and has a record of 1-2 with an ERA of 7.52. Looking at his overall numbers, Mazur has a WHIP of 1.82 and opponents are batting .298 this year. In his 26 1/3 innings of work, Mazur has issued 17 walks compared to 15 strikeouts. The right-hander has made one quality start this year, and his ERA at home is 12.33 compared to 5.14 on the road. Mazur’s last outing came on July 3rd, where he gave up four earned runs in four innings of work. He finished with a no-decision in that outing.
San Diego’s offense has been one of the best in the league this season, as they are 2nd in batting average and 8th in OPS. They are also near the top of the league in home runs and have the 2nd fewest strikeouts in the league. The Padres have been even better on the road, averaging 4.7 runs per game.
Jurickson Profar has been on a tear of late, going 8/25 with three homers over his last seven games. Profar’s 14 homers are the most on the team and the 10th most in the league. He is also batting .315 for the season. The Padres also have two other players with 12 homers in Jake Cronenworth and Manny Machado.