Seattle Mariners vs Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Pick & Prediction 8/17/24
There does appear to be a chance of rain in Pittsburgh on Saturday, where the forecasted temperature is 70 degrees. MLBN will be televising this interleague matchup, and the money line odds have the Mariners as the favorite at -158 compared to the Pirates at +133. First pitch from PNC Park is set for 1:05 PM ET.
Seattle comes in with a record of 63-60 and is 2nd in the AL West, while the Pirates are 5th in the NL Central with an overall record of 57-64. Luis Castillo will start for the Mariners, while Bailey Falter goes for the Pirates.
PITTSBURGH PIRATES VS SEATTLE MARINERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline +133
This game will be played at PNC Park at 1:05 ET on Saturday, August 17th.
HOW TO BET THE MARINERS VS PIRATES:
- We have the Pirates winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Pirates to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Pittsburgh picked up a 5-3 win over the Mariners in the most recent game of this series. The Pirates had a two-run 5th inning and added an insurance run in the 7th, while the Mariners scored their final run in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Pirates were favored at -119 on the money line.
Paul Skenes started for the Pirates and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued four walks. Logan Gilbert got the start for the Mariners, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs.
Yasmani Grandal and Isiah Kiner-Falefa each had two hits and an RBI for the Pirates. Oneil Cruz also drove in two runs while going 1/4. Luke Raley had a two-hit game for the Mariners, including a home run.
Mariners Records & Stats
Seattle is 63-60 overall, and they are three games behind the Astros in the AL West. The Mariners have dropped four straight games, and this losing streak started with the series finale vs. the Rangers. So far this year, they are 19-13 in the division.
At home, the Mariners have gone 37-26, and they are only 26-34 on the road. As the favorite, Seattle is 44-37 and 19-23 as the underdog. This season, the Mariners’ series record is 17-20-2.
Seattle is 26-34 against the run line on the road this season, and has failed to cover in five straight road games. The Mariners are 21-21 against the run line as underdogs this season, and have an average run margin of -0.3 runs per game on the road.
Seattle is on the road against Pittsburgh today, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Mariners have a combined run average of 7.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 53-65. Their average over/under line for the season is 8 runs per game, but when the line is set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over 12 times and under 5 times. Only 8.9% of their games this season have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.
Seattle is sending right-hander Luis Castillo to the mound today vs. the Pirates. He has made 25 starts this year and has a record of 10-11 with a 3.40 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Castillo has a WHIP of 1.16 and has issued just 2.43 walks per nine innings compared to 8.98 strikeouts. In his last outing, he gave up just one earned run in six innings of work, picking up the win. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts. Castillo has done most of his work at home, coming in with a 3.01 ERA compared to 4.43 on the road.
Cal Raleigh comes into the game as the Mariners’ top power threat, as his 26 homers are 11th in the league and leads Seattle. However, he is batting just .211 for the season and has gone 3/18 in his last five games. Julio Rodríguez is on a three-game hitting streak and is batting .265 for the season with 11 homers. Randy Arozarena has 16 homers but is batting just .218.
For the season, the Mariners are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, and they are also the league’s worst team in terms of batting average and strikeouts. As a team, they are batting just .215. Seattle is also near the bottom of the league in OBP, SLG, and OPS.
Pirates Records & Stats
Pittsburgh is 57-64 overall this season, and they are 12.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Pirates have gone 17-15 against other teams in the NL Central this year. Pittsburgh took the first game of this series vs. the Mariners and have lost nine of their last ten games overall.
At home, the Pirates are 28-31 this season compared to a 29-33 mark on the road. As the underdog, the Pirates are 32-43 this year, and they are 25-21 when favored. Their longest losing streak as the underdog this year is 11 games, and they are 16-18-5 in series this year.
When the Pirates are at home, they have a run line record of 31-28, which includes a current run line winning streak of three games. They are 18-28 against the run line as the favorite and 50-25 as the underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.2 runs, while it is -3.3 runs in losing games.
The Pittsburgh Pirates have an over/under record of 58-62 this season. Their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game, which is also the over/under line for today’s matchup against the Seattle Mariners. The Pirates have played 20 games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, and their record in those games is 25-17. Their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 25-17. The over has hit in their last two games.
Pittsburgh is sending Bailey Falter to the mound today, and he comes into the game with a record of 5-7 and an ERA of 4.07. Falter has made 20 starts this year and has pitched well at home, coming in with an ERA of 4.48 compared to 5.1 on the road. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had turned in a quality start and picked up the win. Falter’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.24.
Oneil Cruz and Bryan De La Cruz have been two of the Pirates’ top power threats this season, as they are both tied for 2nd on the team with 18 homers. Cruz is batting .260 for the season and has gone 10/28 in his last seven games, while De La Cruz is hitting .241 overall and has gone deep just once in his last seven games. Bryan Reynolds is the Pirates’ top power threat, as he has 19 homers and is batting .283.
As a team, the Pirates are averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 23rd in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in terms of team batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. However, they do come into the game with a few hitters on solid streaks, as Yasmani Grandal and Andrew McCutchen are both on six-game hitting streaks.