Seattle Mariners vs Minnesota Twins Betting Pick & Prediction 5/8/24
Wednesday’s matchup between the Mariners and Twins is set for 7:40 PM from Target Field in Minneapolis. Seattle comes in with a record of 20-16, while the Twins are 20-15. Toeing the rubber for the Mariners is George Kirby, and he is facing off against Chris Paddack for the Twins.
The over/under line is at 7.5 runs, and the Mariners are the slight favorite on the money line at -118. Looking at the money line odds for the Twins, they are at -103. You can catch this one on RSNW.
MINNESOTA TWINS VS SEATTLE MARINERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Minnesota Twins Moneyline -103
This game will be played at Target Field at 7:40 ET on Wednesday, May 8th.
HOW TO BET THE MARINERS VS TWINS:
- We have the Twins winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Twins to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Seattle picked up a 10-6 road win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Mariners had a huge 1st inning, scoring 8 of their 10 runs. As for the Twins, they scored their first run in the 3rd and added five more in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Mariners were at +135 on the money line.
Emerson Hancock got the start for the Mariners, going just four innings while giving up four runs and striking out two. He did not factor in the decision. Ryne Stanek got the win out of the bullpen, and Kendall Graveman got the save. Jorge Alcala took the loss for Minnesota out of the bullpen.
Cal Raleigh and Mitch Haniger each homered for the Mariners, while Ryan Jeffers hit a home run for the Twins. Raleigh, Haniger, and Dylan Moore each had two hits and two RBIs for Seattle’s offense.
Mariners Records & Stats
Seattle is 20-16 overall this season, putting them 2nd in the AL West, just a half-game behind the Rangers for the division lead. The Mariners are 4-2 against other teams in the AL West. They are on the road today, closing out their series with the Twins, and they are 6-4 overall in their series this year.
The Mariners have won three straight series, and their overall series record is 6-4-1. At home, they are 11-8 compared to 9-8 on the road. As the favorite, the Mariners are 11-8 this year, and they are 9-8 when favored. They have dropped two straight as the favorite.
Seattle has been a solid team against the run line this season, going 18-18 overall. They have been better on the road, where they are 9-8, compared to 9-10 at home. They have been a run line underdog more often than not, going 10-7 in those games. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.2, while it drops to -3.0 in losses.
The Mariners have played 34 games this season, and the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs for 11 of them. In those games, the over has hit 8 times, and the under has hit 3 times. Overall, the Mariners have played in 18 games with higher over/under lines and 7 games with lower over/under lines.
Seattle is sending right-hander George Kirby to the mound today vs. the Twins. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 3-2 with an ERA of 3.76. Kirby’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.04. In his 38 1/3 innings of work, he has issued just four walks compared to 36 strikeouts. Kirby has turned in four quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he allowed just one earned run in six innings of work. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. One of Kirby’s best starts of the year came on April 27th vs. the Diamondbacks, where he went seven innings, didn’t allow a run, and struck out 12.
For the season, the Mariners are averaging 3.8 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. They have been a little better on the road, averaging 4.5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .222 and have the most strikeouts in the league. However, they do have the 7th most home runs in the league.
Cal Raleigh is the Mariners’ leader in home runs this season, but he is coming off a stretch in which he has gone just 3/20 at the plate. However, all three of his hits during this stretch have been home runs. Julio Rodriguez is batting .255 for the season and went 7/28 in his last six games. Mitch Haniger and Jorge Polanco are also tied for the team lead in homers, but Haniger is batting just .215 for the season.
Twins Records & Stats
Minnesota will take on the Mariners today with an overall record of 20-15, which has them 3rd in the AL Central. They are 2.5 games behind the Guardians for the division lead. The Twins’ overall record is 12-7 in AL Central matchups this year.
The Twins have been playing well overall, and they have gone 8-2 across their last ten games. At home, they are 9-8 compared to 11-7 on the road. As the underdog, the Twins are 3-8 this year, and they have won two straight as the underdog overall. Minnesota’s series record is 5-4-2 this year, and they have won four straight series overall.
Minnesota’s average run differential is +0.3 runs per game, and they are 18-17 against the run line this season. The Twins have been a better bet on the road, going 11-7 against the run line, compared to 7-10 at home. They have been an underdog in 11 games, going 5-6 against the run line, and have covered in two straight games as an underdog.
Minnesota’s over/under record for the season is now 17-17 after the O/U line was set at 8 runs for their game against Seattle. The Twins have had an average combined run average of 8.9 runs per game this season. So far, 65.7% of their games have had higher O/U lines than today’s 7.5 runs.
Chris Paddack gets the start for the Twins today and has a record of 3-1 with a 4.78 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Paddack has made six starts, and opponents are batting .292 this season. Paddack has turned in two quality starts this year and is coming off a game in which he didn’t allow a run. In that outing, which came against the Red Sox, he went six innings. Paddack’s ERA at home is 1.29, compared to 8.96 on the road. He has allowed a total of five home runs this season.
Max Kepler is currently on a nine-game hitting streak for the Twins and has been really hot at the plate over his last five games, batting .471 with four runs scored and one home run. Ryan Jeffers has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 5/17 in his last four games with two homers and six RBIs.
As a team, the Twins are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 12th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. Overall, they are 11th in home runs and have the league’s 4th best isolated power figure. Minnesota’s team batting average is just 16th in the league, and they have been below average in terms of drawing walks.