Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Betting Pick & Prediction 9/23/24

From Minute Maid Park in Houston, we have the Mariners and Astros facing off in an AL West matchup. The money line odds have the Astros at -153 compared to the Mariners at +130. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs.
First pitch for this one is set for 8:10 PM ET. Hunter Brown is starting for the Astros, and he is facing off against Bryce Miller for the Mariners. Seattle is 2nd in the AL West with a record of 80-76, while the Astros lead the division at 85-71.
HOUSTON ASTROS VS SEATTLE MARINERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Houston Astros Moneyline -153
This game will be played at Minute Maid Park at 8:10 ET on Monday, September 23rd.
HOW TO BET THE MARINERS VS ASTROS:
- We have the Astros winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Mariners to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Mariners Records & Stats
Seattle is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 6-5 loss to the Rangers, Cal Raleigh went deep, going 1/3, and the Mariners scored three runs in the 6th inning. However, they couldn’t close things out, and Andrés Muñoz took the loss out of the bullpen. The Mariners were also the -138 favorite on the money line going into the game.
Bryan Woo got the start for the Mariners, going six innings and giving up four earned runs on seven hits. He only had four strikeouts in the outing and took the loss. Offensively, the Mariners scored their five runs on eight hits and a Cal Raleigh home run. Dylan Moore scored the team’s other run, going 2/3 at thejson plate.
Seattle is 80-76 overall and trails the Astros by five games in the AL West. They are also five games behind the Astros for the AL West lead. The Mariners kick off their series vs. the Astros on the road, and they are 34-44 on the road this season.
So far, the Mariners have gone 27-19 against other teams in the AL West. They have an overall series record of 21-24-4, and they have won two straight series on the road. As the favorite, the Mariners are 58-48 this year, and they are 22-28 as the underdog.
The Mariners have been a solid run line team this season, going 67-89 overall. They have been especially good at covering the run line on the road, where they are 34-44. They have a run line record of 33-45 at home. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 25-25. They have a run line win streak as the underdog of two games.
Seattle is on the road against the Astros today, and the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The Mariners have a combined run average of 7.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 74-73. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 21-23. So far this season, 55 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 35.3% of their games.
Seattle is sending right-hander Bryce Miller to the mound today as he faces the Astros on the road. Miller has made 30 starts this year and has a record of 11-8 with a 3.06 ERA. In his 30 appearances, he has turned in 17 quality starts and is averaging 8.62 strikeouts per nine innings. Miller’s WHIP for the season is currently .99. In his last outing, Miller finished with a no-decision, going six innings and giving up one earned run on four hits. He did not allow a homer in that outing. Before that, he had given up a homer in three straight starts.
Julio Rodríguez has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 13/34 in his last seven games with three homers and 10 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .272 with 19 homers, which is 4th on the team. Catcher Cal Raleigh has been the team’s top power threat this season, as his 31 homers are 11th in the league and leads the Mariners. However, he is batting just .214.
Overall, the Mariners are 22nd in scoring at 4.1 runs per game, and they are also the worst team in the league in terms of strikeouts. As a team, they are batting just .223 and have the league’s worst team on-base percentage. Seattle’s offense has been better on the road this season, averaging 4.5 runs per contest.
Astros Records & Stats
Houston closed out their series vs. the Angels with a 9-8 loss. Heading into the game, the Astros were the heavy favorite at -272. Things looked good for the Astros early on, as they got on the board with a run in the 3rd inning and added three more runs in the 5th.
However, the Astros couldn’t close things out, and the Angels scored four runs in the top of the 9th to steal the win. Houston’s offense was carried by Alex Bregman, who went 3/4 with a homer and three RBIs.
Houston is hosting the Mariners today with a five-game lead in the AL West. The Astros are 85-71 overall and lead the division by five games over the Mariners. This season, they have gone 28-21 in divisional matchups.
The Astros have been good at home this year, putting together a record of 45-33. On the road, they are just above .500 at 40-38. So far, they have been good as the favorite, going 66-50, and they are 19-21 as the underdog. Houston’s overall series record is 27-20-2.
When betting the run line in Astros games, it’s been a coin flip, as they’re 81-75 on the run line for the season. They’ve been a better bet on the road, going 43-35, compared to 38-40 at home. They’ve been a better bet when they’re the underdog, going 26-14, compared to 55-61 as the favorite.
With the over/under line set at 7.5 runs, the Houston Astros have seen the over hit in 10 of their 18 games this season when the line has been set at that number. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record for the year is 64-87. The over has hit in three straight games for the Astros, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs.
Hunter Brown gets the start for the Astros today as he faces the Mariners at home. So far this season, he has made 29 starts and has a record of 11-8 with an ERA of 3.57. Brown’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.28. In his 30 appearances, he has turned in 18 quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Brown finished with a no-decision against the Padres. In that start, he went six innings, giving up two earned runs, three walks, and one homer. Before that outing, he had gone three straight starts without giving up a homer.
Yordan Alvarez has been a key power bat in the Astros lineup this season, as his 35 homers are 8th in the league and the most on the team. He also leads the team with 86 RBIs and is batting .308 for the season. Alex Bregman has also been a big power threat, as his 25 homers is 2nd on the team and his 73 RBIs is 3rd.
Jose Altuve has been a consistent hitter for the Astros this season, batting .295, and he has gone deep 20 times. Over his last eight games, Kyle Tucker has been swinging a hot bat, going 12/26 with three homers.