Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Betting Pick & Prediction 5/3/24

At 8:10 PM ET, the Astros and Mariners will face off in an AL West matchup. This one is being played at Minute Maid Park in Houston and features a Mariners club that is 17-14 compared to the Astros at 11-20. Ronel Blanco is starting for the Astros, and he is facing off against George Kirby for the Mariners.

Looking at the odds, the over/under line is at 8 runs, and the Mariners are the slight favorite on the money line at -102. If you’re looking to watch this one on TV, it is being carried by ROOTNW.

HOUSTON ASTROS VS SEATTLE MARINERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Houston Astros Moneyline -119

This game will be played at Minute Maid Park at 8:10 ET on Friday, May 3rd.

HOW TO BET THE MARINERS VS ASTROS:

• We have the Astros winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Astros to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Mariners Records & Stats

Seattle is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 5-2 loss to Atlanta, Julio Rodriguez went 3/5 with a run scored. The Mariners also got two hits from Jorge Polanco and Seby Zavala. Emerson Hancock got the start for the Mariners and took the loss. He only lasted 3 2/3 innings, giving up just one run, but Seattle’s offense scored only two runs. The Mariners were the +155 underdog at home going into this game.

Emerson Hancock was making just his second career start for the Mariners, and it was a good one. He only gave up one run and issued just three walks. However, he took the loss, as the Mariners wasted several good performances. Seattle’s bullpen also allowed four runs in the 8th to put things out of reach. Ty France, who went 2/4, scored the team’s only other run.

Seattle currently leads the AL West by a half-game over the Rangers, and they are 17-14 overall. The Mariners are 2-1 against other teams in the AL West this season. Seattle will be on the road today vs. the Astros, and they are 6-6 on the road compared to 11-8 at home.

As the road favorite, the Mariners have gone 4-1 this year, and they are 11-7 overall as the favorite. Seattle has won five straight series, and their overall series record is 5-4-1 this year. They also have won two straight series on the road.

Seattle has been a solid run line bet this season, going 15-16 overall. They have been slightly better on the road, going 6-6 on the run line. The Mariners have been favored in 18 games and are 8-10 on the run line in those contests. They have been a better run line bet in games they have won, with an average run margin of 3.1 in those games.

Seattle’s road games have gone under the total in nine straight games, and the Mariners’ over/under record for the season is 7-22. Their games have averaged 6.9 runs per game, and the over/under line for today’s game against the Astros is set at 8 runs.

Seattle is sending right-hander George Kirby to the mound today vs. the Astros. He has made six starts this season and has a record of 3-2. Kirby’s ERA is 4.17, along with a WHIP of 1.11. In his 32 1/3 innings of work, he has issued just four walks compared to 42 strikeouts. Kirby’s most recent outing was a good one, as he didn’t allow a run in seven innings of work vs. the Diamondbacks. He finished with 12 strikeouts in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts.

So far this season, the Mariners are averaging just 3.6 runs per game, which is 26th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.1 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .219, and their on-base percentage of .297 is also near the bottom of the league. One thing the Mariners have done well is avoid strikeouts, as they have the worst strikeout numbers in the league.

Julio Rodríguez has been one of the Mariners’ top hitters this season, batting .270 with one home run. He is also on a decent stretch, going 8/28 in his last seven games. Mitch Haniger is the team’s top power threat, with four homers, but he is batting just .217 for the season. Jorge Polanco is on a four-game hitting streak but is batting just .181 for the season.

Astros Records & Stats

Houston closed out their series vs. the Guardians with an 8-2 win. Leading up to the game, the Astros were the slight favorite at -137 on the money line. It was a big 3rd inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Guardians could only score two runs, both of which came in the 3rd.

Spencer Arrighetti put together a good start for the Astros, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up just two earned runs, and picking up the win. Houston’s offense was carried by Jon Singleton, who went 2/3 with a homer and three RBIs.

The Astros host the Mariners today with an overall record of 11-20, and they are six games behind the Mariners for the AL West lead. So far, they have gone 4-3 in divisional games. At home, the Astros are 6-10 this season and 5-10 on the road.

At home, the Astros have dropped three straight games as the underdog, and they are just 2-3 as the underdog overall this year. Houston has really struggled when favored, going 9-17. Looking at their overall series record, the Astros are 4-5-1 and have won two straight series.

When the Astros win, they win big, with an average run margin of 5.3 runs per game. However, they have a losing record against the run line at 11-20, and are just 6-10 against the run line at home. They have a negative run differential overall at -0.5 runs per game, and that number is even worse on the road at -1.7 runs per game. As the favorite, they are just 8-18 against the run line, while they are 3-2 as the underdog.

The Astros have had 28 games with over/under lines higher than 8 runs, which is 90.3% of their games. Their games have averaged 9.7 runs per game, and their over/under record is 10-19. Their games have had an average over/under line of 10 runs per game.

Coming into today’s game, Ronel Blanco has been a solid option for the Astros, as he has picked up a win in each of his first two starts. Blanco has gone 6 innings in each of his first two starts, and today he is at home vs. the Mariners. Blanco has 18 strikeouts in 12 innings of work this season.

Jose Altuve and Kyle Tucker have been the Astros’ top power threats this season, as Altuve has gone deep seven times and Tucker has eight home runs, which is 3rd in the league. Altuve is batting .352 for the season, and Tucker is at .291. Altuve has also gone 10/30 in his last seven games, while Tucker has hit three homers in this stretch. Jon Singleton and Jeremy Pena have also been swinging the bat well of late, with Singleton going 6/16 in his last five games and Pena going 9/26 in his last seven games.

As a team, the Astros are averaging 4.6 runs per game and are one of the best hitting teams in the league, with a team batting average of .264. They are also the top home run hitting team in the league and have the best team strikeout rate in the league. Houston comes into the game with three of their regulars on a current hitting streak.