San Francisco Giants vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Pick & Prediction 8/2/24
At 7:10 PM ET, the Giants and Reds square off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, and the Reds are favored on the money line (-120). The Giants have an overall record of 54-56, while the Reds are 52-56.
Friday’s forecast doesn’t look great in Cincinnati, as there figures to be light rain and temperatures in the upper 80s. Kyle Harrison is starting for the Giants, while the Reds are going with Andrew Abbott. Both teams are 4th in their respective divisions.
CINCINNATI REDS VS SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline -120
This game will be played at Great American Ball Park at 7:10 ET on Friday, August 2nd.
HOW TO BET THE GIANTS VS REDS:
- We have the Reds winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Reds to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Giants Records & Stats
The Giants’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Athletics, closing out their series with a 1-0 win. However, after the 1st inning, the Giants really cooled off, going on to score just one run. Logan Webb was excellent on the mound, going nine innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out six Athletics batters.
San Francisco’s lone run came in the 5th inning. After the Giants loaded the bases with three singles, Mike Yastrzemski drove in the game’s only run with a single of his own. The Giants went on to close things out, and Webb picked up the complete game shutout.
At 54-56, the Giants are 4th in the NL West and trail the Dodgers by 9.5 games heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Reds. So far, they have gone 21-19 in divisional games. San Francisco has an overall series record of 17-15-3, and they split their most recent series vs. the Athletics.
For the Giants, they are 33-23 at home compared to 21-33 on the road. As the favorite, San Francisco has gone 32-24 this season and 22-32 as the underdog. Their overall record has been built on a solid home record, and they are just below .500 after going 6-4 over their last ten games.
The Giants have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 52-58 overall. They have been a better bet on the run line on the road, going 28-26. They have been an underdog in more games than they have been a favorite, and their run line record as an underdog is 31-23. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.2, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.4.
The San Francisco Giants are on the road today against the Cincinnati Reds. The over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs. The Giants have played in 107 games this season, and their average combined run total is 8.9 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 57-50, and their average over/under line is set at 8 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, the Giants have a 4-1 record. So far this season, 9.1% of their games have had an over/under line set at 9 runs. Their last two games have gone under the total.
Giants starter Kyle Harrison has been pitching well lately, as he has not allowed more than one earned run in any of his last three outings. Most recently, he faced the Rockies and picked up the win, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up just one earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Harrison has made 18 starts, and his record for the season is 6-4. The left-hander’s ERA is 3.69, and he has a WHIP of 1.28. Opponents are batting .242 off Harrison this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.29 strikeouts and 3.04 walks.
After struggling for much of the season, Jorge Soler has been on fire for the Giants, going 11/18 in his last five games with a home run and five RBIs. Overall, Soler is batting just .228 for the season. Tyler Fitzgerald has three homers in his last seven games but is batting just .233 over that stretch.
Heliot Ramos and Matt Chapman are both tied for the team lead with 15 homers, with Ramos also leading the team with 53 RBIs. Chapman is 2nd on the Giants in RBIs, with 48. Ramos comes into the game with a batting average of .289, while Chapman is batting .241.
Reds Records & Stats
The Reds will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Cubs with a 13-4 loss. Cincinnati was actually the heavy favorite at -156 at home but fell behind big early, as the Cubs scored eight times in thejson 2nd. The Reds started Nick Lodolo, and he took the loss, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up eight earned runs on 11 hits.
Offensively, the Reds only had six fewer hits than the Cubs but scored just four runs. All of their runs came in the 5th inning. Jake Fraley hit a three-run homer, and Santiago Espinal had a good day at the plate, going 2/4 with a run scored.
Cincinnati is 52-56 overall, putting them 4th in the NL Central. Currently, they are nine games behind the Brewers for the division lead. The Reds are coming off taking two of three games from the Cubs. In the division, they have gone 14-15 this year.
At home, the Reds are 27-29 this year compared to 25-27 on the road. As the underdog, the Reds are 26-32 this year, which includes having won two straight as the underdog overall. They are 13-19-3 in series this year.
The Reds have been a solid team to bet on the run line this season, as they are 57-51 overall. They have been especially good on the road, going 32-20. They have been even better as an underdog, going 36-22. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.7, while it’s -2.8 in losses.
Today’s over/under line of 9 runs for the Cincinnati Reds’ game against the San Francisco Giants is right in line with their season average. The Reds have played in 53 games with over/under lines set lower than 9 runs, and in those games, they have gone 2-18-3 against the over/under line. The Reds have played in 32 games with over/under lines set higher than 9 runs, and in those games, they have gone 47-57 against the over/under line.
Left-hander Andrew Abbott gets the start for the Reds today vs. the Giants. He has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 9-7 with a 3.38 ERA. So far, he has turned in eight quality starts and is averaging 6.85 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Abbott took the loss, giving up four earned runs in four innings of work vs. the Rays. Before that, he had not allowed an earned run in two straight outings. Abbott’s ERA at home is 4.08 compared to 3.6 on the road.
Elly De La Cruz has been one of the Reds’ most consistent hitters this season, coming in with a batting average of .262 and an OBP of .349. He has also been a big power threat, as his 18 homers are 13th in the league and the top mark on the team. Spencer Steer has also been a big power threat for the Reds, as he has 15 homers this season and is batting .234.
Looking at the Reds’ recent games, Jake Fraley and Jeimer Candelario have both struggled, as they have gone 3/14 and 3/23, respectively, over their last six games. However, Santiago Espinal is hitting .571 over his last four games and has one homer in this stretch. Espinal is also on an 11-game hitting streak.