San Diego Padres vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Pick & Prediction 8/27/24

BSMW will be televising Tuesday’s Padres vs. Cardinals matchup, with the first pitch being set for 7:45 PM ET from Busch Stadium in St. Louis. The Cardinals are the slight underdog on the money line (+116), while the Padres have a line of -136. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs.

San Diego will be looking to extend their two-game winning streak, as they are 75-58 overall and 3rd in the NL West. St. Louis is 3rd in the NL Central with an overall record of 65-66. Starting for the Padres is Dylan Cease, while the Cardinals are going with Miles Mikolas.

ST. LOUIS CARDINALS VS SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING PICK

The Pick: St. Louis Cardinals Moneyline +116

This game will be played at Busch Stadium at 7:45 ET on Tuesday, August 27th.

HOW TO BET THE PADRES VS CARDINALS:

• We have the Cardinals winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Cardinals to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

San Diego picked up a 7-4 road win over the Cardinals in the most recent game of this series. The Padres offense got off to a fast start, scoring two runs in the first and adding three more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Cardinals got on the board with one run in the 4th and added their final three runs in the 5th.

Randy Vásquez started for the Padres and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with just two strikeouts and allowed two home runs. Kyle Gibson had a rough outing for the Cardinals, taking the loss after going just 4 1/3 innings and giving up seven earned runs.

Manny Machado and Jackson Merrill each homered for the Padres, while Masyn Winn went 3/4 with an RBI for St. Louis. Alec Burleson also had a three-hit game at the plate.

Padres Records & Stats

San Diego is 75-58 overall this season, and they trail the Dodgers by four games in the NL West. The Padres are 20-20 in divisional games and have taken the first game of their series vs. the Cardinals. Overall, they have gone 6-4 across their last ten games.

At home, the Padres are 37-32 this year and have been really good on the road at 38-26. As the favorite, San Diego is 47-36 this year and 28-22 as the underdog. So far, they have been a good road favorite, putting together a mark of 17-12 this year.

In games where the Padres have won, they have done so by an average of 3.7 runs per game. That has helped them to a run line record of 69-64 on the season. They have been a run line favorite in 83 games, going 34-49 in those contests. As an underdog, they are 35-15 on the run line.

The over/under line for today’s game between the San Diego Padres and St. Louis Cardinals is set at 8 runs. The Padres have played 132 games this season, and the over/under line has been set at 8 runs in 21 of them (15.9%). Their games have had an average of 9.0 runs scored per game, and their over/under record is 72-60 on the season.

Dylan Cease will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he took the loss and gave up two earned runs in 6 1/3 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up one homer. Cease has made 27 starts this season and has a record of 12-10 to go along with a 3.43 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Cease has a WHIP of 1.05 and opponents are batting .196 off him this season. Cease has one complete game shutout and 14 quality starts this year. His ERA on the road is 4.55 compared to 3.25 at home.

So far this season, the Padres have been the league’s top-hitting team, with a team batting average of .265. They are also the top home run hitting team in the league, and their team on-base percentage of .326 is 5th best in the league. San Diego’s lineup has been tough to strike out this season, as they are the league’s best team in this category.

Jurickson Profar and Manny Machado are tied for the team lead in home runs, with 21 apiece, which is 14th best in the league. Profar and Machado are also 1st and 2nd in the league in RBIs, respectively, with 79 and 77. Jackson Merrill has also been a big run producer for the Padres, as he is 3rd on the team in RBIs and has gone deep 19 times. Over his last eight games, Merrill is batting .290 with two homers.

Cardinals Records & Stats

St. Louis is 65-66 overall and 10.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Cardinals are 3rd in the division and have gone 19-23 in divisional games this year. The Cubs are just ahead of them for 2nd place in the division, leading the Cardinals by a half-game.

At home, the Cardinals are 34-31 this season compared to 31-35 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 66 games, going 32-34 in those matchups. As for their games as the underdog, the Cardinals are 33-32 this year. St. Louis’ overall series record is 21-18-4, and they have won two straight series.

When the Cardinals win, they win big, as they have an average run margin of +2.7 runs in those games. However, they have been outscored by an average of -0.5 runs per game on the season. They have a run line record of 64-67 overall, with a 32-33 mark at home and 32-34 mark on the road. They have been the favorite in 66 games, going 21-45 against the run line in those contests. As the underdog, they are 43-22 against the run line.

When the St. Louis Cardinals play at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The combined run average in their games is 8.6 runs, and their over/under record for the season is 62-66. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 8-12-1. Overall, 59.5% of their games have had over/under lines set above 8 runs.

Right-hander Miles Mikolas is getting the start for the Cardinals today as he faces the Padres at home. He has made 26 starts this season and has a record of 8-10 with an ERA of 5.19. In his 26 appearances, Mikolas has a total of 14 quality starts and a BB/9 figure of 1.44. Looking back at his last outing, Mikolas finished with a no-decision against the Brewers, going six innings and not giving up a run. Before that, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight starts. So far, he has been much better on the road, with an ERA of 5.03 compared to 6.62 at home.

St. Louis comes into the game with the 24th ranked scoring offense in the league, averaging just 4.1 runs per game. Their home and road splits are very similar, with the Cardinals averaging 4.3 runs per game at home and 3.9 on the road. As a team, they are batting .246, which is 10th in the league.

Over his last nine games, Masyn Winn is hitting .368 with one home run and four RBIs. For the season, he is batting .282 and is 5th on the team with 46 RBIs. Alec Burleson has been the team’s top power threat, as his 21 homers are 14th in the league. He is also batting .277 and leads the team with 72 RBIs.