Atlanta Braves vs Minnesota Twins Betting Pick & Prediction 8/27/24

At 7:40 PM ET, the Braves and Twins will square off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Target Field in Minneapolis, and the Twins are favored on the money line (-108). The money line odds have the Braves at -110.

There is a chance of rain in the forecast in Minneapolis on Tuesday, with temperatures expected to be in the mid to upper 70s. Spencer Schwellenbach is starting for the Braves, and the Twins will send Simeon Woods Richardson to the mound. Both teams have a starter with an ERA under 3.00. In the NL East, the Braves are 2nd with a record of 71-60, while the Twins are 3rd in the AL Central at 72-59.

MINNESOTA TWINS VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Minnesota Twins Moneyline -108

This game will be played at Target Field at 7:40 ET on Tuesday, August 27th.

HOW TO BET THE BRAVES VS TWINS:

• We have the Twins winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Twins to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Atlanta picked up a 10-6 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Braves offense got off to a fast start, scoring four runs in the first and adding five more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Twins got on the board with one run in the 5th and added their final five runs in the 7th.

Max Fried only went five innings for the Braves but gave up just one run and picked up the win. Bailey Ober struggled on the mound for the Twins, giving up nine runs in just two innings of work. He took the loss.

Whit Merrifield went 5/5 with two runs scored for the Braves, while Matt Olson and Travis d’Arnaud each homered. Marcell Ozuna had a two-hit game and drove in two runs.

Braves Records & Stats

With a record of 71-60, the Braves are six games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. Atlanta will be on the road today vs. the Twins, and they lead the series 1-0. So far this year, they have gone 22-18 in the division, and they have won four straight series.

At home, the Braves are 36-28 this season, and they are one game above .500 at 35-32 on the road. As the favorite, the Braves have gone 60-47 and 11-13 as the underdog. Atlanta has won three straight games on the road, and their overall series record is 23-15-5.

The Braves have been a good team to bet on the run line with this season, as they have a 60-71 record against the run line. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 34-33 against the run line. They have covered the run line in three straight road games and have a scoring margin of +0.9 runs per game on the road this season.

The Braves are on the road today against the Twins, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. So far this season, the Braves have had an over/under record of 48-78, and their average combined run average is 8.2 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 8-13-1. Overall, 58.8% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.

Spencer Schwellenbach gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Twins on the road. He has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 5-6 with an ERA of 3.94. Schwellenbach’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.03, and he has turned in eight quality starts. In his last outing, Schwellenbach pitched 6 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs on three hits. He finished with nine strikeouts in that outing and got the win. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight starts.

Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ top hitter this season, batting .307 with a league-leading 96 RBIs and 37 home runs, which is 4th in the MLB. Matt Olson is also a power threat in the lineup, as he has gone deep 23 times this season, but he is batting just .230.

Over the team’s last five games, Matt Olson has gone 6/20 with four runs scored and two homers. Whit Merrifield has also been hot at the plate, going 9/18 in that stretch. As a team, the Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game and are 4th in the league in home runs.

Twins Records & Stats

Minnesota is 72-59 overall and 3rd in the AL Central, 2.5 games behind the Guardians for the division lead. The Twins have gone 28-17 against other teams in the AL Central. So far, they have dropped the first two games of this series vs. the Braves, and they are just 4-6 across their last 10 games.

At home, the Twins are 37-27 this season and 35-32 on the road. As the favorite, Minnesota has gone 56-35 and 16-24 as the underdog. So far, they have been good at closing out series, going 24-15-3, but they have dropped two straight series.

Minnesota has been a strong run line bet on the road this season, going 36-31, but they have struggled at home, going 28-36. The Twins’ average run margin on the season is +0.5, but that number jumps to +0.8 at home. Minnesota has been a run line underdog in 40 games this season, going 22-18 in those contests.

Minnesota’s combined run average is 9.2 runs per game, and their over/under record is 67-60. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 8, their over/under record is 10-16-4. 40.5% of their games have had over/under lines set above 8 runs, while 36.6% have had lines set below 8 runs.

Right-hander Simeon Woods Richardson gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Braves at home. He has made 22 starts this season and has a record of 5-3 with a 3.69 ERA. Woods Richardson’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.18, and he has turned in seven quality starts. In his most recent outing, he went five innings, giving up one earned run on four hits. He finished with seven strikeouts in that outing. Woods Richardson has won each of his last two starts.

For the season, the Twins are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 7th in the majors. They have been even better at home, putting up 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .253, which is 6th in the league, and have the 7th most home runs in the league.

Ryan Jeffers has been the Twins’ top run producer this season, as his 59 RBIs are the best mark on the team. He also leads the Twins with 20 homers. Jeffers is hitting just .235 this season. Willi Castro and Carlos Santana have also been solid run producers, with 50 and 55 RBIs, respectively. Over his last eight games, Trevor Larnach is batting .370 with three homers and seven RBIs, while Matt Wallner has three homers in his last nine games.