San Diego Padres vs Seattle Mariners Betting Pick & Prediction 9/10/24

From T-Mobile Park in Seattle, we have an interleague matchup between the Padres and Mariners. First pitch is at 9:40 PM ET, and MLBN is carrying this one on TV. The money line odds have the Padres at -112 compared to the Mariners at -107. The over/under line is currently at 7 runs.
San Diego is currently on a two-game losing streak, and they are 81-64 overall, which has them 2nd in the NL West. Seattle is 2nd in the AL West with a record of 73-71. Yu Darvish will start for the Padres, while the Mariners are going with George Kirby.
SEATTLE MARINERS VS SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Seattle Mariners Moneyline -107
This game will be played at T-Mobile Park at 9:40 ET on Tuesday, September 10th.
HOW TO BET THE PADRES VS MARINERS:
- We have the Mariners winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Mariners to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Padres Records & Stats
The Padres will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Giants with a 7-6 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 4th inning before the Giants scored six runs in the top of the 4th. San Diego was the -196 favorite at home going into the game.
Offensively, the Padres only had one fewer hit than the Giants but scored six runs. However, all of their runs came in the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd innings. Xander Bogaerts had only one hit, but it was a home run, and Jackson Merrill had a big game, going 1/3 with a homer and two RBIs.
San Diego is 81-64 overall, putting them 2nd in the NL West, 5.5 games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. The Padres have dropped two straight games, losing the final two games of their series vs. the Giants. So far, they are 21-22 in divisional games.
At home, the Padres are 40-35 this year, and they have gone 41-29 on the road. As the road favorite, the Padres have put together a record of 19-13 this year. They have been favored in 92 games, going 52-40 as the favorite. San Diego’s overall series record is 28-15-5, and they are coming off losing their series vs. the Giants.
San Diego has been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 44-26. The Padres have been outscoring opponents by an average of 1.1 runs per game on the road this season, and they have a run line record of 73-72 overall. They have been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 36-17, compared to 37-55 as the favorite.
San Diego has been a high-scoring team this season, with a combined run average of 9.0 runs per game. The Padres have gone over the total in 78 of their 143 games this season and have a 10-2-1 record when the O/U line is set at 7 runs. Their games have had an average O/U line of 8 runs, and their games have gone over the total in 91.0% of their games this season.
Yu Darvish gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Mariners on the road. He has made 12 starts this season and has a record of 4-3 with a 3.51 ERA. Darvish’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.12. In his 12 appearances, he has turned in three quality starts and is averaging 8.69 strikeouts per nine innings. Darvish’s last outing came on September 4th, where he finished with a no-decision, going 2 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs. Before that, he had lost two straight starts.
Coming into today’s game, the Padres are the top hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .265. They also have the fewest strikeouts in the league and have been one of the better home run hitting teams in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.8 runs per game and have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest.
Over the team’s last eight games, Luis Arraez has gone 15/34, but he has not hit a home run during that stretch. Manny Machado and Jackson Merrill are the team’s top home run hitters, with 25 and 23 homers, respectively. Machado’s 90 RBIs are 8th best in the league, while Merrill’s 83 RBIs are the 2nd most on the Padres.
Mariners Records & Stats
Randy Arozarena and the Mariners are coming off a big 10-4 win over the Cardinals to close out their series. Arozarena went 2/5 with a homer and two RBIs. The Mariners really broke things open with a five-run 1st inning and added another two runs in the 2nd. Seattle was the -134 favorite on the money line going into the game.
Luis Castillo started for the Mariners, going three innings and giving up two runs on five hits. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and took the win.
Seattle is 73-71 overall and 4.5 games behind the Astros in the AL West. The Mariners are 2nd in the division and have gone 22-17 against other AL West teams. They will take on the Padres at home today, where they are 41-28 this season.
The Mariners have struggled on the road, going just 32-43 this season. Seattle has dropped seven straight as the underdog, and they are 19-26 as the underdog overall. As for their record in favorited, the Mariners are 54-45 this season. Their overall series record is 20-23-3, and they won their most recent series vs. the Cardinals.
Seattle has been a below .500 team against the run line this season, going 61-83 overall. The Mariners have been a better bet at home, going 29-40. The team’s average run differential is +0.3 runs per game, and they have a run line losing streak when favored in seven straight games. As an underdog, they are 21-24 against the run line.
The Seattle Mariners are at home today against the San Diego Padres. The over/under line for the game is set at 7 runs. The Mariners’ games have averaged 7.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 65-71. When the over/under line is set at 7 runs, their record is 12-19-6. Overall, 66.7% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7 runs.
Seattle is sending right-hander George Kirby to the mound today vs. the Padres. He has made 29 starts this season and has a record of 11-10 with a 3.61 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Kirby has a WHIP of 1.11 and has issued just 1.13 walks per nine innings. Kirby has turned in 17 quality starts this year, and his ERA at home is 3.68 compared to 4.56 on the road. In his last outing, Kirby gave up two earned runs in six innings of work, coming out with the win. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Cal Raleigh has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 29 home runs is 12th in the MLB and leads the Mariners. He also has 90 RBIs, which is 8th in the league. Raleigh comes into the game on a seven-game hitting streak and has gone 7/21 in his last five games with a homer and six RBIs. Julio Rodríguez is also on a long hitting streak, as he has hit safely in 11 straight games. Over his last five, he has gone 8/25 with a home run and two RBIs.
For the season, the Mariners are batting just .219 as a team, which is the worst mark in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in runs per game and have the most strikeouts in the league. However, they do have the 4th most walks in the league.