San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants Betting Pick & Prediction 9/15/24
At 4:05 PM ET, the Padres and Giants square off in an NL West matchup. This one is being played at Oracle Park in San Francisco, and the Giants are the slight underdogs on the money line (+100). The money line odds for a Padres win are sitting at -118, and they are currently 2nd in the NL West with an overall record of 84-65.
San Diego will be looking to keep their two-game winning streak alive, and they are starting Martín Pérez. The Giants are starting Landen Roupp, and they will be looking to snap a three-game losing streak.
SAN DIEGO PADRES VS SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS BETTING PICK
The Pick: San Diego Padres Moneyline -118
This game will be played at Oracle Park at 4:05 ET on Sunday, September 15th.
HOW TO BET THE PADRES VS GIANTS:
- We have the Padres winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Giants to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
San Diego cruised to an easy 8-0 win over the Giants in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 6th inning, scoring three of their eight runs. As for the Giants, they had their best chance to score in the 7th, but could only muster five hits.
Joe Musgrove started for the Padres and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued five walks. On the other side, Mason Black got the start for the Giants and took the loss, giving up one earned run in four innings of work.
Xander Bogaerts and Donovan Solano each had four hits for the Padres, while Fernando Tatis Jr. scored twice and drove in three runs while going 3/6. Manny Machado also had a two-hit game and drove in two runs.
Padres Records & Stats
San Diego is 84-65 overall and trails the Dodgers by 3.5 games in the NL West. The Padres have gone 23-22 against other teams in the NL West. The Padres have won two straight games, and they are 6-4 over their last 10 games overall.
At home, the Padres are 40-35 this year, and they have been really good on the road at 44-30. As the favorite, the Padres are 54-41 this year and 30-24 as the underdog. San Diego’s overall series record is 28-14-6, and they are winning their current series vs. the Giants.
When the Padres win, they tend to win big, as their average run margin in those games is 3.7. That’s a big reason why they have a run line record of 76-73. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 47-27, and they have covered in two straight games. Their average run margin on the road is 1.2, compared to -0.1 at home.
San Diego Padres games have gone over the O/U line in 80 of 146 games this season, but when the line has been set at 8.5 runs, the over has hit in 19 of 34 games. The Padres’ games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season, and the average O/U line for their games has been set at 8 runs.
Left-hander Martín Pérez gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Giants on the road. So far this season, he has made 23 starts and has a record of 4-5 with an ERA of 4.46. Perez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.50. In his last outing, Perez went 6 1/3 innings and didn’t give up a run. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts. Perez has a BB/9 figure of 3.2 compared to 7.14 strikeouts per nine innings.
San Diego’s offense has been one of the league’s best this season, as they are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 7th in the MLB. They have been even better on the road, putting up 5.1 runs per contest. The Padres are also the league’s top-hitting team, with a team batting average of .265. They also have the best slugging percentage in the league, and are the top team in terms of fewest strikeouts per game.
Over the past five games, Luis Arraez has gone 12/24, and he is batting .320 for the season. Manny Machado has been the Padres’ top power threat, with 26 homers, which is 15th in the league, and his 97 RBIs is 9th best in the MLB. Machado has also gone 7/24 in his last five games, with three homers.
Giants Records & Stats
With a record of 72-77, the Giants are 15.5 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. Overall, they are 24-24 in divisional games. The Giants have dropped three straight games, and this season, they are the underdog, they are 27-45. As the favorite, San Francisco has gone 45-32.
At home, the Giants are 41-36 this season, and they are 31-41 on the road. San Francisco has dropped three straight games at home, and they are 8-15 as the home underdog this year. The Giants’ overall series record is 21-21-4, and they are losing their current series vs. the Padres.
The Giants have been a profitable run line team on the road this season, going 40-32. They are 33-44 against the run line at home. San Francisco has been favored in 77 games this season and has gone 32-45 against the run line in those games.
Today’s game between the San Francisco Giants and the San Diego Padres has an over/under line of 8.5 runs. The Giants have played 19 games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs this season, and their record in those games is 14-9. Overall, the Giants have played 107 games with an over/under line under 8.5 runs, and their over/under record for the season is 75-68. The combined run average in Giants games this season is 8.6 runs per game.
San Francisco is sending Landen Roupp to the mound today vs. the Padres, and he will be looking to rebound from his last outing, where he took the loss. Against the Brewers on September 10th, he gave up two earned runs in five innings of work. Looking at his overall numbers, Roupp has made one start and 20 appearances. His ERA for the season is 3.44, along with a record of 0-1. Roupp’s WHIP for the season is 1.31. Per nine innings, he has 8.84 strikeouts and 4.66 walks. At home, his ERA is 6.88.
So far this season, the Giants are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league and are also 18th in the league in home runs. As a team, they are batting .239, which is 14th in the league, and have the 16th best slugging percentage in the league. San Francisco’s offense is led by Matt Chapman, who is batting .247 for the season and has a team-high 24 home runs and 73 RBIs.
Chapman has two homers in his last 10 games, but is just 8/33 in that span. Mike Yastrzemski and Grant McCray have also struggled of late, with Yastrzemski going 4/27 and McCray going 6/31 in their last nine games, respectively. Jerar Encarnacion has two homers in his last five games while going 5/18.