San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Pick & Prediction 4/13/24
At 9:10 PM from Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, we have an NL West matchup between the Padres and Dodgers. The forecast from Los Angeles calls for overcast skies and temperatures in the upper 50s. San Diego is 8-8 so far, and the Dodgers come in with a record of 10-6.
Los Angeles is sending Gavin Stone to the mound up against Matt Waldron for the Padres. The over/under line is at 9 runs, and the Dodgers are the heavy favorite at -194 on the money line. Looking at the Padres, they are at +162.
SAN DIEGO PADRES VS LOS ANGELES DODGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: OVER 9 Runs
This game will be played at Dodger Stadium at 9:10 ET on Saturday, April 13th.
HOW TO BET THE PADRES VS DODGERS:
- We have the Dodgers winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Padres to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
San Diego rallied for three runs in the 7th inning in the most recent game of this series, picking up an 8-7 win over the Dodgers. The Padres had a huge 1st inning, scoring two of their eight runs. As for the Dodgers, they scored four of their seven runs in the 2nd inning.
Michael King got the start for the Padres, going just five innings while giving up four runs and striking out four. Robert Suarez got the win out of the bullpen. Yoshinobu Yamamoto only went five innings for the Dodgers, giving up three earned runs on four hits.
At the plate, Fernando Tatis Jr. and Manny Machado each homered for the Padres. Tatis, Jake Cronenworth, and Ha-Seong Kim each had two hits and two RBIs. Jackson Merrill also had a two-hit game for San Diego.
Padres Records & Stats
After evening their record at 8-8 with a win over the Dodgers in their most recent game, the Padres look to move two games over .500 today. In the NL West, they are two games behind the Dodgers for the division lead and are currently in 2nd place. So far, they have gone just 5-6 at home and are above .500 at 3-2 on the road.
Looking at San Diego’s overall series record, they have gone 1-3-1, and as the underdog, they are 3-2 this season compared to 5-5 straight up as the favorite. The Padres have really struggled in night games, going just 2-5 so far.
When the Padres are the underdog, they are a great bet on the run line, as they are 5-1. The Padres are 5-0 on the run line on the road, and they have covered the run line in their last five games as the underdog. In their wins, the Padres are winning by an average of 3.8 runs per game, while in their losses, they are losing by an average of 3.0 runs per game.
The Padres’ over/under record is 8-7 this season, and their combined run average is 10.6 runs per game. Their last two games have gone over the total, as they’ve combined with their opponents for 15 and 12 runs, respectively. The over/under line for today’s game against the Dodgers is set at 9 runs, which is higher than their average line of 8 runs per game this season.
Today’s pitching matchup for the Padres vs. the Dodgers features Matt Waldron on the mound for San Diego. Waldron is making his 3rd start of the season and is coming off of a no-decision in his last outing against the Giants. In that start, he went 5 1/3 innings, giving up 1 run on 3 hits and striking out 5. He took the loss in his first start of the season, as he gave up 4 runs in 4 innings vs. the Cardinals.
Our player projections for the Padres have Xander Bogaerts leading the team in total hits, with the 15th highest total in the league today. Manny Machado is our top projected player to hit a home run for the Padres, and his home run projection is 11th best in today’s league slate. Fernando Tatis Jr. is also a strong candidate to hit a home run, as his projection is 11th in the league. If you’re looking for a longshot to hit a home run, Luis Campusano has the 12th best odds in today’s slate.
Dodgers Records & Stats
With an overall record of 10-6, the Dodgers lead the NL West by 2 games heading into today’s matchup vs. the Padres. The Dodgers are on a two-game losing streak, dropping the final two games of their series with the Twins. So far, they have a series record of 4-1 this season.
At home, the Dodgers are 6-3 compared to 4-3 on the road. They have been good in night games, putting together a record of 7-2. Coming into today’s game, the Dodgers have been the favorite in all of their games, going 10-6 as the favorite.
The Dodgers are 7-9 against the run line this season, with a 3-6 mark at home. They have covered the run line in four of seven road games. The average run margin in their games is +0.8, with a +1.2 run differential at home and a +0.1 run differential on the road. They have covered the run line in seven of their nine games as the favorite.
With a combined run average of 10.2 runs per game, the Dodgers have seen their games go over the total in 11 of their 16 contests. However, today’s over/under line of 9 runs is the highest line they’ve seen all season. In the 16 games they’ve played this season, the over/under line has been set at 8 runs on average.
After starting his season with a no-decision, Gavin Stone will be making his first home start of the season for the Dodgers. He went 5 innings in his first start, striking out 6 and giving up 3 earned runs. In his last outing, he took the loss against the Cubs, going 3 innings and giving up 5 runs.
For the Dodgers, we have Shohei Ohtani with the highest home run projection on the team and the 5th best in the league today. Freddie Freeman has the 15th best total hits projection in the league today, and Mookie Betts has the 9th best home run projection in the league. Ohtani’s total hits projection is 19th in the league today.