San Diego Padres vs Kansas City Royals Betting Pick & Prediction 6/1/24
Joe Musgrove will start for the Padres on Saturday, and he is facing off against Alec Marsh for the Royals. The game is set to get started at 4:10 PM ET from Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, MO. The forecast calls for broken clouds and temperatures in the low 70s.
The Padres are the slight money line favorite, with their odds sitting at -120 compared to the Royals at +101. This game has an over/under line of 8.5 runs, and the under is currently favored at -102. In the NL West, the Padres are 31-29, while the Royals are 2nd in the AL Central with a record of 35-24.
KANSAS CITY ROYALS VS SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Kansas City Royals Moneyline +101
This game will be played at Kauffman Stadium at 4:10 ET on Saturday, June 1st.
HOW TO BET THE PADRES VS ROYALS:
- We have the Royals winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Royals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
San Diego picked up an 11-8 road win over the Royals in the most recent game of this series. The Padres offense got off to a fast start, scoring nine of their eleven runs in the 1st and 2nd innings. As for the Royals, they scored five of their eight runs in the 9th.
Dylan Cease got the start for the Padres, going just 5 1/3 innings while giving up three runs and striking out five. Yuki Matsui got the win out of the bullpen, and Robert Suarez got the save. John Schreiber took the loss for Kansas City out of the bullpen.
Luis Arraez had a huge game at the plate for the Padres, going 4/5 with three runs scored. Jurickson Profar and Jake Cronenworth each drove in three runs. Fernando Tatis Jr. scored twice and drove in a run while going 2/5.
Padres Records & Stats
San Diego is 31-29 overall and trail the Dodgers by 5.5 games in the NL West. So far, they are 12-13 in divisional matchups. The Padres are on a three-game road winning streak, and they are 18-10 on the road this year.
At home, the Padres are only 13-19 this season. They have been good as the road favorite, going 8-4 this year. San Diego has an overall series record of 11-7-2 this year, and they have won four straight series on the road. The Padres have taken the first game of their series vs. the Royals.
San Diego has been a strong bet to cover the run line on the road this season, going 22-6. They have covered in three straight road games and have an average run margin of 1.6 runs per game away from home. They have been a poor bet at home, going just 10-22 on the run line, with an average run margin of -1.2 runs per game.
San Diego’s over/under record is 31-28, and the over has hit in two straight games. The Padres have played 47 games with over/under lines set at 8 or lower, and 11 games with over/under lines set at 8.5 or higher. Their combined run average is 8.7, and today’s over/under line is set at 8.5 runs.
Right-hander Joe Musgrove gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Royals on the road. He has made 10 starts this season and has a record of 3-4 with a 5.66 ERA. Musgrove’s WHIP for the season is 1.48, and opponents are batting .299 off him this year. In his 10 starts, Musgrove has turned in four quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, Musgrove finished with a no-decision against the Yankees, giving up one earned run in 5 1/3 innings of work. He only allowed one hit in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts.
Heading into today’s game, the Padres are the top-hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .259. They have also been very good on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per game. Overall, they are 11th in the league at 4.4 runs per contest. One thing to keep an eye on is that they are just 24th in the league in home runs and have the 17th ranked isolated power figure in the league.
Both Jurickson Profar and Jake Cronenworth have been swinging the bat well for the Padres, as they are 2nd and 3rd on the team in RBIs, respectively, and have 8 and 8 homers, respectively. Profar has gone deep in four straight games and is 7/22 in his last six games. Luis Arraez and Fernando Tatis Jr. are also on six-game hitting streaks, with Arraez going 10/25 in that stretch and Tatis Jr. at 8/25.
Royals Records & Stats
Kansas City is 35-24 overall this year, and they are 12-8 against other teams in the AL Central, where they trail the Guardians by four games for the division lead. The Royals have dropped two straight games, and they are looking to even up their series with the Padres today.
At home, the Royals have gone 21-9 this year, and they are just above .500 at 14-15 on the road. As the underdog, the Royals are 17-17 this year, and they are 9-6 as the home underdog. Kansas City’s overall series record is 10-8 heading into today’s game.
While the Royals have been a profitable team to bet on the run line overall, they have been especially strong at home where they are 20-10. Their average run margin at home is 1.9, and they have been favored in 25 of those games, going 15-10 on the run line. Their overall run line record is 38-21, and they have been an underdog in 34 games, going 23-11 on the run line.
The Kansas City Royals are playing at home today against the San Diego Padres. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is exactly the combined run average for both teams this season. The Royals have an over/under record of 25-32 on the season, and their average over/under line is set at 8 runs per game. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs, the Royals have gone over the total in 7 of 21 games. In their last two games, the over has hit.
Kansas City is sending Alec Marsh to the mound today vs. the Padres. He has made nine starts this year and has a record of 4-2 with a 3.24 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Marsh has a WHIP of 1.06 and opponents are batting .207 this year. In his two quality starts, he has a total of two shutouts. The right-hander’s last outing was rough, as he gave up five earned runs in seven innings of work vs. the Twins. Before that, he had won two straight starts. At home, Marsh is 2-0 with a 2.57 ERA.
Salvador Perez and Bobby Witt Jr. have been two of the Royals’ top hitters this season, with Perez leading the team with a .321 batting average and 10 homers, and Witt Jr. is hitting .315 with nine home runs. Witt Jr. has been especially hot of late, going 18/45 in his last 10 games with four homers and 17 RBIs. Maikel Garcia has also been swinging the bat well, hitting .348 in his last 10 games.
Overall, the Royals have been a good offensive team this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game (5th in the league) and batting a collective .252, which is the 4th best mark in the MLB. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.6 runs per contest. As a team, the Royals are 3rd in home runs and have the 6th best slugging percentage in the league.