San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies Betting Pick & Prediction 8/18/24
Joe Musgrove will be starting for the Padres on Sunday, and he is facing off against Bradley Blalock and the Rockies. This game is set to get started at 3:10 PM ET from Coors Field in Denver. The forecasted temperature is 80 degrees with broken clouds.
The Padres are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -201 compared to the Rockies at +171. This NL West matchup has the Padres in 2nd place in the division, with a record of 70-54, while the Rockies are 5th at 45-79.
COLORADO ROCKIES VS SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Colorado Rockies Moneyline +171
This game will be played at Coors Field at 3:10 ET on Sunday, August 18th.
HOW TO BET THE PADRES VS ROCKIES:
- We have the Rockies winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Rockies to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the under
San Diego cruised to an easy 8-3 win over the Rockies in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 2nd inning, scoring two of their three runs. As for the Rockies, they scored their only run in the 4th inning. Heading into the game, the Padres were favored at -202 on the money line.
Dylan Cease got the win for the Padres, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs. Kyle Freeland had a rough outing for the Rockies, taking the loss after going five innings and giving up five earned runs.
Manny Machado and Bryce Johnson each had two RBIs for the Padres’ offense. Xander Bogaerts and Ha-Seong Kim also had two hits and an RBI apiece. Jake Cronenworth scored twice and drove in two runs while going 1/5.
Padres Records & Stats
San Diego is 70-54 overall this season, putting them 2nd in the NL West, two games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. The Padres are on the road today, facing the Rockies and are 20-19 in divisional games this year. So far, they have been good at closing out series, as they are 25-13-2 in series this year.
The Padres have been playing well lately, going 8-2 across their last 10 games, and they are coming off a series win over the Diamondbacks. As the favorite, the Padres are 44-32 and 26-22 as the underdog. They have been really good on the road this year, going 37-25 compared to 33-29 at home.
San Diego is 41-21 vs. the run line on the road this season, and their average run margin in those games is +1.2 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 65-59, and their average run margin for the season is +0.6 runs per game. They are 33-15 vs. the run line as an underdog, and their average run margin in those games is +3.7 runs per game.
San Diego Padres games have gone over the total 66 times and under 57 times this season. The Padres have played in 123 games with over/under lines set below 11.5 runs, and their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game. Today’s over/under line of 11.5 runs is the highest line set for a Padres game this season, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game when the line is set at that number.
Joe Musgrove gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Rockies on the road. He has made 11 starts this season and has a record of 3-4 with an ERA of 5.20. Musgrove’s WHIP for the season is 1.42, and opponents are batting .287 off the right-hander this year. In his 11 appearances, Musgrove has turned in four quality starts. Most recently, he faced the Pirates and finished with a no-decision, going 4 1/3 innings and not giving up a run. Before that outing, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts.
San Diego comes into the game with the league’s best team batting average at .267 and are also the top home run hitting team in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.8 runs per game, but that number jumps up to 5.1 on the road. The Padres are also the top team in the league in terms of fewest strikeouts per game.
Jurickson Profar has been the Padres’ top power threat this season, as he is 1st on the team with 19 homers and is also 1st in the MLB in RBIs with 73. Profar is also on a three-game hitting streak. Over his last nine games, Jackson Merrill has gone 13/34 with four homers and 10 RBIs. Luis Arraez has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 14/41 in his last nine games.
Rockies Records & Stats
With an overall record of 45-79, the Rockies are 5th in the NL West, 27 games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 14-28 in divisional matchups. Colorado has struggled on the road, putting up a mark of 17-46 and are just below .500 at home at 28-33.
Colorado has dropped seven of their last ten games and is 1-1 in their series vs. the Padres. This season, the Rockies have gone 9-27-2 in series matchups. So far, they have yet to win a game as the favorite or the underdog.
The Rockies are 63-61 against the run line this season, with a run differential of -1.6 runs per game. They are 33-28 against the run line at home and 30-33 on the road. In their 63 wins against the run line, they have outscored their opponents by an average of 2.8 runs per game, while in their 61 losses, they have been outscored by an average of 4.1 runs per game.
Today’s over/under line of 11.5 runs is high compared to the season average for Rockies games, which is 10.2 runs. The Rockies have played in only seven games this season with an over/under line of 11.5 runs, and the over has hit in four of those games. Overall, the over/under record for Rockies games this season is 63-58.
Bradley Blalock will be making his first start of the season at home against the Padres. He has made one start and one relief appearance so far this season. In his start, he went 5 2/3 innings and gave up 3 earned runs. In his relief outing, he went just one inning and gave up one hit, but did not allow a run.
For the season, the Rockies are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. They have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 4.9 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .244, which is 10th in the league, and have the 12th best slugging percentage in the league. The Rockies have been hurt by strikeouts this season, averaging 9 per game (28th).
Michael Toglia, Brenton Doyle, and Ezequiel Tovar are all tied for the team lead in home runs, with Toglia batting just .221 this season. However, Toglia has gone 14/40 in his last 10 games, with two homers. Brendan Rodgers has also been swinging a hot bat, as he is on an 11-game hitting streak and has gone 14/40 in his last 10 games.