San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies Betting Pick & Prediction 8/17/24
From Coors Field in Denver, we have the Padres and Rockies facing off in an NL West matchup. First pitch for Saturday’s matchup is set for 8:10 PM ET. The money line odds have the Padres at -204 compared to the Rockies at +173. The over/under line is sitting at 11 runs.
San Diego will be looking for a win behind starter Dylan Cease, while the Rockies have Kyle Freeland on the mound. Cease is facing a Rockies club that is 5th in the NL West, while the Padres are 3rd in the division, with an overall record of 69-54.
COLORADO ROCKIES VS SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Colorado Rockies Moneyline +173
This game will be played at Coors Field at 8:10 ET on Saturday, August 17th.
HOW TO BET THE PADRES VS ROCKIES:
- We have the Rockies winning by a score of 7 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Rockies to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 12 runs and like the over
It was all Colorado in the last game of this series, as the Rockies took down the Padres by a score of 7-3. The Rockies offense only had two more hits than the Padres and struck out nine times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +139 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Cal Quantrill for the Rockies and Matt Waldron for the Padres. Quantrill only went five innings but gave up just three hits and two earned runs. On the other side, Waldron was tagged for two homers and seven runs in 5 2/3 innings of work.
San Diego’s only scoring came in the 4th and 5th innings, as they put up two runs in each frame. As for the Rockies, they got off to a fast start with four runs in the 1st and added two more in the 2nd. After that, they were held in check until breaking out for one run in the 6th.
Padres Records & Stats
San Diego is 69-54 overall, and they are 3rd in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by three games. The Padres are 19-19 in divisional games this season. They have been playing well of late, going 8-2 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Padres are 33-29 this year, and they have gone 36-25 on the road. As the favorite, San Diego has put together a record of 43-32. They are 26-22 when listed as the underdog. San Diego has won eight straight series, and their overall series record is 25-13-2 this year.
San Diego is 40-21 vs. the run line on the road this season, but they have failed to cover in their last three road games. The Padres have been a better bet as the underdog this season, going 33-15 vs. the run line in those games. Their average run differential in wins is +3.7, while it’s -3.5 in losses.
San Diego’s games have typically been low-scoring affairs this season, with a combined run average of 9.0. The Padres have gone over the total in 65 of their 122 games this season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. Today’s over/under line is set at 11 runs, marking just the second time this season that an over/under line for a Padres game has been set at 11 runs. The only other time this season that the over/under line for a Padres game was set at 11 runs, the game went over the total.
Right-hander Dylan Cease gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Rockies on the road. Cease has made 25 starts this year and has a record of 11-9 with a 3.41 ERA. Coming into the game, Cease has a WHIP of 1.01 and has allowed a total of 16 home runs. Cease is coming off a rough outing vs. the Marlins, where he took the loss, giving up five earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts. Cease’s ERA on the road is 4.53 compared to 3.29 at home.
San Diego comes into today’s game with the league’s top batting average at .265 and are averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. The Padres are also the top home run hitting team in the league, and their team on-base percentage of .326 is 7th in the MLB.
Jurickson Profar has been the Padres’ top power threat this season, with 19 homers, which is the best mark on the team. He is also 1st on the team in RBIs, with 72. Profar’s batting average of .294 is 4th on the team. Over his last seven games, David Peralta has gone 11/24 with two homers and five RBIs. Luis Arraez is also on a three-game hitting streak and has gone 12/31 in his last seven games.
Rockies Records & Stats
Colorado is 45-78 overall this season, and they are 27.0 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. So far, they have gone just 14-27 in divisional matchups. The Rockies are coming off a series vs. the Giants, where they lost two of three games, and they are 4-6 across their last 10 games.
At home, the Rockies are 28-32 this year and 17-46 on the road. Colorado has yet to play a game as the favorite this year, and they are 45-78 as the underdog. So far, they have gone 9-27-2 in series this year.
When the Rockies win, they do so by an average of 2.8 runs per game. In their losses, they lose by an average of 4.1. Their run line record is 63-60, and they are 33-27 on the run line at home. They have covered the run line in two straight games.
The Rockies have played in 120 games with over/under lines this season, and their games have averaged 10.2 runs per game. Their over/under record is 62-58, and their games have had an average line of 9 runs. When the line has been set at 11 runs, their over/under record is 6-6-1. Only 13 of their games have had lines set at 11 runs, which is just 10.6% of their games.
Colorado is sending left-hander Kyle Freeland to the mound today vs. the Padres. He has made 13 starts this season and has a record of 3-4 with an ERA of 5.75. Looking at his overall numbers, Freeland has a WHIP of 1.49 and opponents are batting .293 off him this season. In his 13 starts, he has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 7.49 strikeouts per nine innings. The last time he pitched, Freeland finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in 3 2/3 innings of work. He has not lost back-to-back starts since June 1 and June 6.
For the Rockies, their offense has been much better at home this season, averaging 5 runs per game, which is 5th in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.3 runs per contest, which is 16th in the MLB. As a team, they are batting .245, which is 11th in the league, and have the 11th best slugging percentage in the league. Colorado has a few players with good home run numbers, as Brenton Doyle and Ezequiel Tovar have 20 and 19 homers, respectively.
Michael Toglia and Ezequiel Tovar are both near the top of the Rockies home run and RBI leaderboards, but Toglia is batting just .220 for the season. Brendan Rodgers comes into the game on a 10-game hitting streak and is batting .345 over his last seven games.