San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies Betting Pick & Prediction 8/16/24

First pitch for Friday’s Padres vs. Rockies matchup is set for 8:40 PM ET from Coors Field in Denver. The Rockies are currently on a three-game losing streak and are 44-78 overall, while the Padres have won three straight and are 69-53.
San Diego is the money line favorite for tonight’s game, with odds of -178 compared to the Rockies at +150. The over/under line is sitting at 11.5 runs, and the forecast for Friday’s game calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-90s.
COLORADO ROCKIES VS SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Colorado Rockies Moneyline +150
This game will be played at Coors Field at 8:40 ET on Friday, August 16th.
HOW TO BET THE PADRES VS ROCKIES:
- We have the Rockies winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Rockies to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the under
Padres Records & Stats
The Padres’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Pirates, closing out their series with an 8-2 win. After allowing one run to the Pirates in the top of the first, the Padres responded with three runs of their own. San Diego went on to add another five runs in the 3rd inning.
Martin Perez put together a good start for the Padres, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. San Diego’s offense was carried by David Peralta, who went 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
San Diego is on a three-game winning streak, and they will be looking to pick up a win on the road today vs. the Rockies. The Padres are 69-53 overall, which has them 2nd in the NL West, two games behind the Dodgers. So far, they are 19-18 in divisional games.
This season, the Padres have been really good as the favorite, going 43-31, and they are 26-22 as the underdog. San Diego has been good on the road, putting together a record of 36-24 compared to 33-29 at home. The Padres have an overall series record of 25-13-2 and have won eight straight series.
San Diego has been a strong bet on the run line this season with a 64-58 record, and they have been especially profitable on the road, going 40-20. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 33-15 as an underdog this season. Their average run margin in wins is +3.7, while their average run margin in losses is -3.5.
The Padres have played 122 games with over/under lines lower than 11.5 this season, and their games have averaged nine runs per game. They have gone over the total in 65 of those games, and their games have averaged eight runs per game. Today’s over/under line is 11.5, and the Padres have not played a game with a total that high this season.
Right-hander Matt Waldron gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Rockies on the road. He has made 24 starts this season and has a record of 7-9 with an ERA of 4.00. Waldron’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.16. In his 24 appearances, he has turned in 10 quality starts and is averaging 8.21 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back at his last outing, Waldron finished with a no-decision against the Marlins, giving up five earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
San Diego comes into today’s game as the top hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .265. They also have the fewest strikeouts in the league and are averaging 4.8 runs per game. The Padres have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.1 runs per contest.
Jurickson Profar has been a key part of the Padres lineup this season, leading the team with 19 home runs and 72 RBIs. He is also batting .295, which is 4th best on the team. Manny Machado is 2nd on the team in RBIs (70) and has 18 homers. Over his last nine games, Jackson Merrill is 12/34 with four homers and 10 RBIs. He has also scored 10 runs in that stretch.
Rockies Records & Stats
The Rockies will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Diamondbacks with an 11-4 loss. Colorado was the +180 underdog on the money line going into this matchup. Things really got away from the Rockies in the 1st inning, as the Diamondbacks scored four runs in the inning. Colorado’s offense scored their only run in the 4th.
Tanner Gordon got the start for the Rockies and took the loss. He only lasted two-thirds of an inning, giving up three earned runs. The Rockies also used eight different relievers in this game. Michael Toglia and Brenton Doyle each had two hits and scored one run apiece.
With an overall record of 44-78, the Rockies are 5th in the NL West, 27 games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. So far, they have really struggled against other NL West teams, going 13-27. Colorado has dropped three straight games, and they lost the final three games of their series vs. the Diamondbacks.
At home, the Rockies are 27-32 this year, compared to a 17-46 mark on the road. So far, they have really struggled in day games, going 13-32 this season. As the underdog, the Rockies are 44-78 this year and have lost three straight as the underdog. They have yet to play a game as the favorite this year.
The Rockies are 62-60 against the run line this season, with a -1.6 run differential per game. They have been better at covering the run line on the road, going 30-33 compared to 32-27 at home. Their average run margin in losses is -4.1 runs per game, while it is +2.8 runs per game in wins.
When the Colorado Rockies play at home, the average over/under line for their games is 9 runs. This season, their games have averaged 10.2 runs per game. Their over/under record is 62-57, and when the line is set at 11.5 runs, they are 3-3. Only 4.9% of their games have had over/under lines set at 11.5 runs, with 110 games having lower lines.
Colorado is sending right-hander Cal Quantrill to the mound today vs. the Padres. He has made 23 starts this season and has a record of 7-8 with an ERA of 4.56. Quantrill’s WHIP for the season is 1.41, and opponents are batting .254 off him this year. In his 23 appearances, he has turned in 12 quality starts. Quantrill most recently faced the Padres on August 4th, where he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts.
So far this season, the Rockies are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. However, they have been much better at home, averaging 4.9 runs per game. As a team, the Rockies are batting .244, which is 11th in the league, and are also near the top of the league in terms of batting average on balls in play. One area where the Rockies have struggled is with strikeouts, as they are averaging 9 per game (29th in the MLB).
Colorado has a few players who are on good hitting streaks right now, including Brendan Rodgers, who has hits in nine straight games. Rodgers has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/25 in his last six games. Brenton Doyle has also been hot, going 8/22 in his last six games and is currently on a three-game hitting streak.