San Diego Padres vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Pick & Prediction 7/20/24
From Progressive Field in Cleveland, we have the Padres and Guardians facing off in an interleague matchup. First pitch for Saturday’s matchup is set for 7:10 PM ET. BSGL will be televising this one, and the Guardians are the slight money line favorite, with their odds sitting at -108 compared to the Padres at -110.
Cleveland comes into the game with a record of 59-37 and are 1st in the AL Central, while the Padres are 3rd in the NL West with an overall record of 50-50. San Diego will be looking to end a two-game losing streak. Saturday’s over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and the forecasted temperature is 75 degrees with a clear sky.
CLEVELAND GUARDIANS VS SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cleveland Guardians Moneyline -108
This game will be played at Progressive Field at 7:10 ET on Saturday, July 20th.
HOW TO BET THE PADRES VS GUARDIANS:
- We have the Guardians winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Guardians to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Cleveland cruised to a 7-0 win over the Padres in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a huge 8th inning, scoring six of their seven runs. As for the Padres, they only had four hits and didn’t score a run in the game. Heading into the matchup, the Guardians were favored at -163 on the money line.
Tanner Bibee started for the Guardians and picked up the win, going 5 2/3 innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with just three strikeouts and allowed three walks. On the other side, Matt Waldron got the start for the Padres and took the loss, giving up one earned run in six innings of work.
At the plate, David Fry had a three-hit game for the Guardians and scored two runs. Jose Ramirez and Steven Kwan each drove in two runs. Ramirez, Brayan Rocchio, and Harold Ramirez all had two-hit games.
Padres Records & Stats
At 50-50, the Padres are 3rd in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by eight games. The Padres have lost two straight games, and they dropped the first game of this series vs. the Guardians. So far, they are 15-17 in divisional games and have lost three straight series overall.
San Diego has really struggled on the road, going just 24-22 compared to 26-28 at home. As the favorite, the Padres are 29-29 this year and 21-21 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Padres are 17-13-3 and have won two straight series on the road.
When betting the run line on the Padres this season, it’s been a much better idea to take them on the road. They’re 31-15 vs. the run line away from Petco Park, compared to 19-35 at home. Their run line record overall is 50-50, with an average run margin of 0.0. They’ve been a better bet vs. the run line as the underdog, going 28-14, compared to 22-36 when favored.
The Padres have played in 58 games with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, which is 58.0% of their games. Their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 53-46. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 16-17.
Dylan Cease will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. In that outing vs. the Braves, he went six innings and didn’t give up a run. Cease finished with 11 strikeouts in the outing. This season, he has a record of 8-8 and an ERA of 3.99. Cease has made 20 starts, and opponents are batting .206 this season. Cease has made 11 quality starts this year and is averaging 11.66 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed 15 homers.
San Diego’s offense has been one of the league’s best this season, as they are averaging 4.5 runs per game and are 2nd in the league with a team batting average of .260. The Padres are also the top home run hitting team in the league, and they have the fewest strikeouts in the league. Jurickson Profar, Fernando Tatis Jr., and Jake Cronenworth are all among the league leaders in home runs, and Profar and Tatis Jr. are also among the team’s top three in batting average.
Profar has struggled over his last nine games, hitting just .167 with two homers, but Manny Machado has gone 10/35 in his last nine games with two homers. Machado is also 2nd on the team with 52 RBIs. The Padres are also hoping that Luis Arraez can get going, as he is batting just .312 this season after hitting .312 in 2022.
Guardians Records & Stats
Cleveland is hosting the Padres today with an overall record of 59-37, which has them leading the AL Central by five games over the Twins. The Guardians took the first game of this series vs. the Padres, and their AL Central division record is 15-13 this year.
At home, the Guardians have gone 31-11 this year, and they have been a solid team on the road, going 28-26. So far, they have been really good in day games, going 26-11 this season. As the home underdog, the Guardians are 3-1 this year, and they are 43-20 as the favorite.
The Guardians have been a solid run line bet this season, going 49-47 overall. They have been slightly better at home, going 22-20 on the run line. They have an average run margin of 1.0 runs per game this season. They have been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 20-13 on the run line.
The Cleveland Guardians have played to the under in four straight games and have an over/under record of 47-43 on the season. Their games have averaged a combined 8.6 runs per game, and the over/under line for today’s game against the San Diego Padres is set at 7.5 runs. The Guardians have played to the over in 15 of their 28 games this season when the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs.
Gavin Williams is set to make his third start of the season for the Guardians, and he has yet to pick up a win in his first two outings. He went 5 innings in his first start and 5 1/3 in his second, finishing with 5 K’s in each outing. In his last start, he gave up 2 runs on 3 hits and 3 walks.
So far this season, the Guardians are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. At home, they have been even better, averaging 5.2 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .244, which is 9th in the league, and are also near the top of the league in home runs. Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor have been the team’s top power hitters, as they are 1st and 2nd on the team in home runs, respectively.
One thing the Guardians will be looking to improve upon is their collective batting average, as they are just 20th in the league in BABIP. Over his last five games, Angel Martinez is batting just .190, but he does come into the game on a three-game hitting streak. Bo Naylor and Jhonkensy Noel have also homered in their last five games, but they have also struggled at the plate during this stretch.