San Diego Padres vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Pick & Prediction 7/19/24
At 7:10 PM ET, the Padres and Guardians will square off in an interleague matchup. This one is taking place at Progressive Field in Cleveland, and the Guardians are favored on the money line (-139). The Padres are +118 on the money line, and their NL West record is 50-49. The Guardians lead the AL Central at 58-37.
Friday’s forecast in Cleveland calls for clear skies and temperatures in the low 70s. APLTV will be televising this one, and the Guardians have the top spot in the AL Central, while the Padres are 3rd in the NL West. Matt Waldron is starting for the Padres, and he is facing off against Tanner Bibee.
CLEVELAND GUARDIANS VS SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cleveland Guardians Moneyline -139
This game will be played at Progressive Field at 7:10 ET on Friday, July 19th.
HOW TO BET THE PADRES VS GUARDIANS:
- We have the Guardians winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Padres to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Padres Records & Stats
Led by a big game by Luis Campusano at the plate, the Padres are coming off a 6-3 loss to the Braves. Campusano went 1/1 with a homer and two RBIs. The Padres really needed a big game from him, as they were the +143 underdog at home going into this matchup.
Randy Vasquez got the start for the Padres and took the loss. He only lasted five innings, giving up four runs on four hits. The Padres also issued three walks and hit a batter.
San Diego is 50-49 overall and trails the Dodgers by seven games in the NL West. The Padres will be on the road today to take on the Guardians, and they are 3rd in the NL West, tied with the Diamondbacks, and two games ahead of the Giants.
At home, the Padres are 26-28 this year and have gone 24-21 on the road. San Diego lost the final two games of their series vs. the Braves and are just 4-6 over their last 10 games. As the underdog, the Padres are 21-20 this year and 29-29 as the favorite.
San Diego has been a strong bet on the run line this season, going 50-49 overall. The Padres have been especially good on the run line on the road, where they are 31-14. They have covered the run line in their last two road games and are 28-13 against the run line as an underdog.
San Diego is on the road in Cleveland today, and the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The Padres have played in 58 games this season with higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, which represents 58.6% of their games. Their games have had an average of 8.9 runs scored per game this season, and their over/under record is 53-45 overall. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, their record is 16-16.
Right-hander Matt Waldron gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Guardians on the road. He has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 5-8 with a 3.71 ERA. Waldron’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.17, and he has turned in eight quality starts. In his last outing, Waldron took the loss, giving up four earned runs in seven innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without taking the loss. Waldron has given up at least one homer in four straight outings.
Heading into today’s game, the Padres offense is batting .261 as a team, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. They are also the top strikeout team in the league and have the 10th best slugging percentage in the league. San Diego’s offense is averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. The Padres have been even better on the road this season, averaging 4.7 runs per game.
Jurickson Profar and Fernando Tatis Jr. are tied for the team lead in home runs, with 14, and Profar’s 59 RBIs is the best mark on the team and 11th in the league. Profar comes into the game with just a .179 batting average over his last seven games, while Jake Cronenworth is also struggling, hitting just .214 in his last seven games. Manny Machado is on a three-game hitting streak but is batting just .231 over his last seven games.
Guardians Records & Stats
The Guardians wrapped up their series vs. the Rays with a 2-0 loss on the road. Cleveland was the +111 underdog going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Guardians, as Ben Lively didn’t give up a run in the first two innings but ran into trouble in the 3rd, giving up two runs. Cleveland’s offense scored their only two runs in the 4th inning of their 7-4 win over the Rays on Saturday.
Angel Martinez had a good day at the plate, going 2/4 with two singles. The Guardians really could have used a big hit from Martinez, as both of his singles came with two outs, but Cleveland couldn’t score a run. Ben Lively took the loss, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on three hits.
Cleveland is 58-37 overall this season, putting them atop the AL Central with a 4.5-game lead over the Twins. The Guardians will host the Padres today with an overall division record of 15-13. At home, the Guardians are 30-11 this season and 28-26 on the road.
As the favorite, the Guardians have gone 42-20 this year and 27-10 as the favorite at home. Cleveland’s series record is 20-9-2 this year, but they dropped their most recent series vs. the Rays. Heading into today’s game, the Guardians are on a two-game winning streak at home.
When betting the run line, the Guardians have been a solid play at home, going 21-20, compared to 27-27 on the road. As the favorite, they have a losing record against the run line at 28-34, while they have been a profitable play as the underdog, going 20-13. Overall, their run line record is 48-47, with an average run margin of +0.9 runs per game.
The Cleveland Guardians have played to the over in 47 of their 89 games this season, including 15 of 27 games with an over/under line of 7.5 runs. The Guardians have a combined run average of 8.7 runs per game this season, and their games have an average over/under line of 8 runs. Cleveland’s games have had an over/under line of 7.5 runs in 63 of their 95 games this season, and the under has hit in three straight games.
Cleveland is sending right-hander Tanner Bibee to the mound today vs. the Padres. He has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 7-4 with a 3.77 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Bibee has a WHIP of 1.12 and has turned in seven quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 10.54 strikeouts. In his last outing, Bibee took the loss, giving up four earned runs in seven innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. So far, he has been much better on the road, with an ERA of 3.11 compared to 5.26 at home.
So far this season, the Guardians are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are 10th in home runs and have the league’s 11th best team batting average at .243. Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor have been the team’s top power threats, as Ramirez’s 23 homers is 6th in the league, and Naylor is right behind him with 22.
Angel Martinez and Bo Naylor have both hit two home runs in their last eight games, with Martinez batting .250 in that stretch and Naylor hitting just .235. As a team, the Guardians are hoping to improve on their collective batting average, as their current BABIP of .28 is just 19th in the league.