Sam Houston State Bearkats vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Betting Pick & Prediction 1/13/24

Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Bearkats versus the Blue Raiders? Tip off is at at 6:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Murphy Athletic Center in Murfreesboro, TN. This Conference USA conference matchup has an over/under of 131.5 points, and the Blue Raiders are favored to win at home vs. the Bearkats.

SAM HOUSTON STATE BEARKATS VS MIDDLE TENNESSEE BLUE RAIDERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders -1

This game will be played at Murphy Athletic Center at 6:00 ET on Saturday, January 13th.

WHY BET THE MIDDLE TENNESSEE BLUE RAIDERS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 78-66 in favor of the Blue Raiders.
• Not only will Middle Tennessee pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 131.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Will the Bearkats Win on the Road?

Sam Houston State is 9-8 this season and has won three straight games. In their last game, they beat Western Kentucky, 78-74.

As the underdog, the Bearkats are 1-6 this season. They are 3-6 on the road, and their average scoring margin on the road is -7.2 points per game. Over their last 10 road games, they are 3-7.

Sam Houston State has an ATS record of 8-8 this season and they are 5-4 vs. the spread on the road. As the underdog, the Bearkats are 3-4 vs. the spread this year and they have gone 4-6 in their last 10 games as the underdog. In their last 3 road games, Sam Houston State is 1-2 vs. the spread and they are 2-1 in their last 3 games as the underdog.

Sam Houston State’s over/under record for the season sits at 10-6 and today’s line of 131.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games of 140.6. So far, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 152 points.

In their recent matchup, the Sam Houston State offense ended with 78 points against Western Kentucky. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 45.2% and made 8 threes. Davon Barnes is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 13.9 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Lamar Wilkerson brings a PPG average of 14.2 into the game.

Coming into today’s game, the Sam Houston State defense is giving up an average of 72.6 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Western Kentucky, the Hilltoppers finished with a field goal percentage of 45% and a total of 74 points vs. Sam Houston State.

Will the Blue Raiders Defense Show Up at Home?

After losing their last game to Louisiana Tech by a score of 60-52, Middle Tennessee State is 6-10 overall. They have lost five straight games, and their record in Conference USA play is 0-1. At home, the Blue Raiders are 4-5, and their average scoring margin at home is -0.1 points per game. They have gone 2-3 in their last five home games, and over their last 10 games at home, they have a record of 5-5. So far this season, they have been favored in nine games, and their record in those games is 4-5.

For the year, Middle Tennessee State has an average scoring margin of -21.2 points per game on the road. They have gone 0-5 on the road, and they have a losing streak of five games away from home. So far, their record in non-conference games is 6-9.

When looking at Middle Tennessee’s ATS record this season, they have gone just 3-11. Their home ATS mark is 3-6 and their last 10 games as the favorite, they are 4-6 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 131.5 for the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders’ game against Sam Houston State is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season (134.9). So far, the over/under record in their games is 2-11-1. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 123 points.

In their most recent game, the Middle Tennessee offense concluded with only 52 points against Louisiana Tech. Throughout the game, they made 5/22 three-point attempts and had a field goal percentage of 38.9%. Leading the team in scoring was Jestin Porter with 24 points. Jared Coleman-Jones also added 17 points for the Blue Raiders.

This season, the Middle Tennessee defense has been impressive, holding the 66th position in the country while permitting an average of 66.1 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Middle Tennessee’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 42.6% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 30.6% this season.