Sacramento State Hornets vs Montana State Bobcats Betting Pick & Prediction 3/12/24

The Hornets and Bobcats are set to face off at 8:30 ET on ESPNU. The Bobcats will host the game at Idaho Central Arena in Boise, ID. The over/under for this game is set at 134.5 points, and Montana State is favored by -5.5 vs. Sacramento State in a Big Sky conference matchup.

SACRAMENTO STATE HORNETS VS MONTANA STATE BOBCATS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Montana State Bobcats -5.5

This game will be played at Idaho Central Arena at 8:30 ET on Tuesday, March 12th.

WHY BET THE MONTANA STATE BOBCATS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Bobcats.
• Not only will Montana State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -5.5.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 134.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Will Sacramento State Pull Through as the Underdog Road Team?

Coming into this game, Sacramento State has a 10-23 record, including a 6-14 mark in Big Sky Conference play. The Hornets have won two straight games and are 4-13 on the road this season.

As the underdog, Sacramento State has gone 6-17 this season, and they are 3-0 in their last three road games.

As the underdog, Sacramento State has been very good against the spread this season, going 13-9-1. Their road ATS mark is 8-8-1, but they have been even better lately, going 3-0 in their last three road games and 5-0 in their last five.

This season, the over/under record for Sacramento State games is 13-18, and today’s over/under line of 134.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (137.4). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 152 points, and over their last five games, the average scoring total is 143 points. So far, 16 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line.

In their recent matchup, the Sacramento State offense ended with 74 points against Eastern Washington. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 40% and made 8 threes. Offensively, the Hornets hold a season-long field goal percentage of 43%, placing them 313rd in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 323rd in terms of percentage and 182nd in three-pointers made.

On the defensive side, Sacramento State is currently hovering around the NCAA’s average for points allowed, conceding an average of 70.3 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.8 threes per game vs. Montana State. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 32.7%.

Can the Bobcats Live Up to the Hype at Home?

Montana State enters this game as the favorite, as they have been in 10 games this season, going 5-5 in those matchups. For the year, the Bobcats have a record of 14-17, including a 9-8 mark in Big Sky Conference play.

At home, Montana State has been much better than on the road, going 8-6 compared to 4-9 away from home. Over their last 10 games at home, the Bobcats have gone 6-4, and they are coming off a 76-64 win over Weber State.

As the favorite this season, Montana State has gone just 3-7 vs. the spread. Their home ATS mark is 6-8, and over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Bobcats are 3-7.

The over/under record for Montana State games this season is 13-14 and the average over/under line in their games is 143.2. Today’s line of 134.5 is lower than their average line and there have been more games with more points than today’s line (20) than games with less points (7). In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 174 points.

Coming off their recent game, the Montana State offense tallied 76 points in a matchup against Weber State. Their field goal percentage for the game was 52.7%, and they made 13 threes. Robert Ford is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 15.6 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Brian Goracke brings a PPG average of 13.9 into the game.

Currently, the Bobcats’ defense holds the 285th rank in the nation, allowing 76.5 points per game. In their previous game vs. Weber State, the Wildcats finished with a field goal percentage of 52% and a total of 64 points vs. Montana State.