Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors Betting Pick & Prediction 3/13/25

At 10:00 ET, the Sacramento Kings will travel to San Francisco to take on the Golden State Warriors. The Warriors (-282) are currently favored by 7.5 points over the Kings (+229).
Golden State (37-28) has won five straight games and is currently 6th in the Western Conference. Sacramento (33-31) has lost two in a row and is 9th in the West.
SACRAMENTO KINGS VS GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Sacramento Kings +7.5
This game will be played at Chase Center at 10:00 ET on Thursday, March 13th.
WHY BET THE SACRAMENTO KINGS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 143-121 in favor of the Kings.
- Our projections have Zach LaVine finishing with 24 points, 5 rebounds and 4 assists.
- From the field, we have the Kings finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.6% and knocking down 14 threes.
Will Sacramento Find a Way to Win on the Road?
The Kings dropped to 33-31 on the season after a 133-104 home loss to the Knicks on Monday. Sacramento entered the game as +1.5 point underdogs but failed to cover the spread, losing by 29 points. The total score of 237 points exceeded the over/under line of 223.5 by 13.5 points.
Sacramento fell behind early, trailing 37-22 after the 1st quarter. They went on a 10-0 run to close the gap to 46-38 but couldn’t sustain the momentum. The Kings and Knicks played to a 29-29 draw in the 2nd quarter, but New York pulled away in the 3rd, outscoring Sacramento 37-26, and led 103-77 going into the 4th.
In their 133-104 loss to the Knicks, the Kings struggled offensively, shooting 41.9% from the field and hitting just 10 threes at a 29.4% clip. Malik Monk led the way with 21 points, 13 of which came in the 2nd quarter.
Zach LaVine added 17 points, while Isaac Jones contributed 10 of his 12 points in the 4th quarter. DeMar DeRozan also chipped in 8 of his 11 points in the 2nd period.
The Kings struggled defensively against the Knicks, giving up 133 points on 53% shooting. Sacramento allowed 37 points in both the 1st and 3rd quarters, with New York scoring at least 29 points in every period.
From beyond the arc, the Knicks hit 22 threes at a 55% clip. The Kings sent New York to the line 26 times, where they made 21 free throws. Sacramento finished with 23 defensive rebounds, 7 steals, and 4 blocks.
Will the Golden State Defense Show Up at Home?
Golden State improved to 37-28 on the season with a 130-120 win over Portland on Monday. Playing at home, the Warriors were favored by 12 points but didn’t cover the spread. The total score of 250 points exceeded the over/under line of 236.5 by 13.5 points.
Golden State took control early, leading 68-49 at halftime after a strong 2nd quarter. Portland fought back in the 3rd, outscoring the Warriors 43-34, but Golden State maintained their lead, entering the 4th quarter up 102-92. Both teams scored 28 points in the final period.
The Warriors connected on 21 threes at a 51.2% clip in their win over the Trail Blazers, shooting 52.9% from the field overall. Gary Payton II led the way with 26 points, hitting 4 threes at 66.7%, while Stephen Curry added 24 points and made 5 threes.
Moses Moody contributed 20 points, shooting 70% from the field. Payton scored 9 points in the 2nd quarter and 8 in the 4th, while Curry added 12 points in the 3rd.
Defensively, the Warriors had a strong 2nd quarter, holding the Trail Blazers to 22 points, but they struggled in the 3rd, giving up 43 points. They allowed 120 points overall, with Portland shooting 48% from the field.
From beyond the arc, the Warriors allowed 18 threes on 42% shooting. They sent the Blazers to the line 17 times, with Portland making 14 free throws. Golden State finished with 16 steals and 5 blocks.