Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Pick & Prediction 3/3/25

At 8:30 ET, the Sacramento Kings (+100) will travel to take on the Dallas Mavericks (-120) in a Western Conference matchup. The Kings (31-28) currently sit 9th in the West, while the Mavericks (32-29) are 10th. The over/under line for the game is 231.5 points.

This game will be played at the American Airlines Center in Dallas. NBCS will have the TV coverage for this game.

SACRAMENTO KINGS VS DALLAS MAVERICKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Sacramento Kings +1.5

This game will be played at American Airlines Center at 8:30 ET on Monday, March 3rd.

WHY BET THE SACRAMENTO KINGS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 122-88 in favor of the Kings.
  • Our projections have Zach LaVine finishing with 24 points, 5 rebounds and 4 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Kings finishing with a field goal percentage of 46.9% and knocking down 14 threes.

Are the Kings Ready for a Win at Dallas?

The Kings improved to 31-28 with a 113-103 win over the Rockets on Saturday. Sacramento, +4 point underdogs, not only won but covered the spread. The game’s total score of 216 points fell short of the 230.5 O/U line.

Sacramento’s 15-0 run early in the game, turning a 6-3 deficit into an 18-6 lead, was pivotal. After a 38-38 tie in the 2nd quarter, the Kings edged out the Rockets 26-23 in the 3rd and 24-21 in the 4th to seal the win.

In their win over the Rockets, the Kings shot 50.6% from the field, though they struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 9 threes at a 32.1% rate. DeMar DeRozan led the way with 21 points, including 9 in the 4th quarter, despite shooting 38.9% overall.

Zach LaVine added 20 points, with 7 coming in the opening quarter. Malik Monk contributed 16 points, scoring 5 in both the 3rd and 4th quarters, while Jonas Valančiūnas added 9 of his 15 points in the 2nd period.

Despite a rough 2nd quarter where the Kings gave up 38 points, they tightened up defensively in the 2nd half, allowing just 23 points in the 3rd and 21 in the 4th to secure the win. Overall, they held the Rockets to 103 points on 43% shooting.

Sacramento limited Houston’s three-point shooting, giving up 13 threes at a 37% clip. The Kings also sent the Rockets to the line 23 times, where they made 16 free throws. Defensively, the Kings recorded 13 steals and 5 blocks.

Taking a Look at the Mavericks Chances at Home

Dallas fell to 32-29 on the season after a 132-117 home loss to the Bucks on Saturday. The Mavericks, who were +3 point underdogs, failed to cover the spread. The game’s total of 249 points went over the pre-game line of 229.

After leading 36-31 after the 1st quarter, Dallas struggled in the 2nd and 3rd quarters, being outscored 70-43. A 10-0 run by Milwaukee turned the game in their favor, and the Bucks led 101-79 going into the 4th. Dallas outscored Milwaukee 38-31 in the final quarter, but it wasn’t enough to close the gap.

In the Mavericks’ 132-117 loss to the Bucks, Kyrie Irving led the way with 31 points, adding 11 in the 4th quarter. He shot 39.1% from the field and hit just 2 threes at 22.2%. Moses Brown chipped in 18 points on 88.9% shooting, while Klay Thompson and Jaden Hardy each contributed 16 points, with Thompson hitting 4 threes at 44.4%.

As a team, Dallas made 11 threes, shooting 27.5% from beyond the arc, while finishing with an overall field goal percentage of 47.3%. Hardy and Thompson both added 8 points in the final period, with Hardy scoring 9 in the 4th quarter.

Defensively, the Mavericks struggled against the Bucks, giving up 132 points in the loss. The 2nd quarter was particularly tough, where they allowed 40 points. Milwaukee shot 50% from the field overall.

Dallas did well defending the three, holding the Bucks to 13 made threes on 33% shooting. However, they sent Milwaukee to the line 35 times, where the Bucks converted 31 free throws. The Mavericks finished with 7 steals and 1 block.