Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Pick & Prediction 3/3/25
The Thunder (-528) are 11-point favorites over the Rockets (+393) in a Western Conference matchup. The over/under line for the game is 226.5.
Oklahoma City (49-11) enters the game on a three-game win streak and is currently in first place in the Western Conference. Houston (37-23) is fifth in the West and second in the Southwest Division.
HOUSTON ROCKETS VS OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER BETTING PICK
The Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder -11
This game will be played at Paycom Center at 8:00 ET on Monday, March 3rd.
WHY BET THE OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 138-116 in favor of the Thunder.
- Our projections have Shai Gilgeous-Alexander finishing with 31 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists.
- From the field, we have the Thunder finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.2% and knocking down 16 threes.
Will Houston Come Through as Road Underdogs?
The Rockets fell to 37-23 on the season after a 113-103 home loss to the Kings on Saturday. Houston, who were -4 point favorites, failed to cover the spread, and the game’s total of 216 points fell short of the 230.5 O/U line.
A 15-0 run by the Kings early in the game put the Rockets in a hole, and they couldn’t recover. Houston tied the 2nd quarter 38-38 but were outscored 26-23 in the 3rd and 24-21 in the 4th as Sacramento maintained control.
Alperen Şengün led the Rockets with 30 points and 10 rebounds in their 113-103 loss to the Kings, shooting 62.5% from the field. Jalen Green added 24 points, hitting 4 threes at 40%, while Tari Eason contributed 14 points, making 3 threes at 60% efficiency.
Houston shot 43% from the field, connecting on 13 threes at a rate of 37.1%. Şengün scored 10 points in the 1st quarter and 9 in the 3rd, while Green added 12 points in the 3rd. Eason chipped in 9 points in the 4th, and Dillon Brooks scored all 12 of his points in the 2nd quarter.
Despite holding the Kings to 25 points in the 1st quarter and just 24 in the 4th, the Rockets’ defense struggled in the 2nd, giving up 38 points, which contributed to their 113-103 loss. Overall, they allowed Sacramento to shoot 50% from the field.
Houston did well in limiting the Kings’ three-point shooting, allowing just 9 made threes on 32% shooting. The Rockets also sent the Kings to the line 21 times, where they hit 16 free throws. Defensively, Houston recorded 7 steals and 2 blocks.
Will Oklahoma City Secure A Victory as Home Favorites?
The Thunder improved to 49-11 on the season with a 146-132 win over the Spurs on Sunday. Oklahoma City, who were -13 point favorites, covered the spread with the win. The game was played in San Antonio.
After trailing 77-72 at halftime, the Thunder took control by outscoring the Spurs 36-23 in the 3rd quarter. They entered the 4th quarter with a 108-100 lead and outscored the Spurs 38-32 in the final period. The game’s total of 278 points went over the line of 238.5 by 39.5 points.
Jalen Williams led the Thunder to a 146-132 win over the Spurs, scoring 41 points and hitting 4 threes at 50% efficiency. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander added 31 points, connecting on 3 threes at a 60% rate. Cason Wallace contributed 19 points, also making 4 threes at 50%.
The Thunder hit 19 threes as a team, shooting 43.2% from deep and 54.5% overall. Williams scored 17 points in the 4th quarter, while Gilgeous-Alexander added 9 points in the final period.
Even with a tough defensive outing, the Thunder managed to secure a win against the Spurs, giving up 132 points on 56% shooting. Oklahoma City allowed 38 points in the 1st quarter and 39 in the 2nd, but tightened up in the 3rd, holding San Antonio to 23 points.
The Thunder also sent the Spurs to the line 16 times, with San Antonio converting 12 free throws. Oklahoma City allowed 18 threes on 41% shooting from deep. The Thunder finished with 33 defensive rebounds, 7 steals, and 6 blocks.