Purdue Boilermakers vs Wisconsin Badgers Betting Pick & Prediction 10/5/24
Heading into this week six matchup, the Wisconsin Badgers are favored by -14 as they host the Purdue Boilermakers at Camp Randall Stadium in Madison. Kick-off is set for 12:00 ET, with BTN handling the broadcast. The over/under line is currently at 47 points. Wisconsin has a 2-2 record on the season, while Purdue is looking to improve on their 1-3 start.
PURDUE BOILERMAKERS VS WISCONSIN BADGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Purdue Boilermakers +14
This game will be played at Camp Randall Stadium at 12:00 ET on Saturday, October 5th.
WHY BET THE PURDUE BOILERMAKERS:
- We have the Wisconsin Badgers winning this one by a score of 23 to 17
- Even though we like the Wisconsin Badgers to win, our ATS pick is to take the Purdue Boilermakers at +14
- We see this game finishing below the line of 47 points
Will The Purdue Boilermakers Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Purdue enters Week 6 with a 1-3 record, and they are ranked 99th in our CFB power rankings. They have a 0.2% chance of being bowl-eligible this season. The Boilermakers are 0-2 on the road and 0-1 at home so far.
Purdue has not been favored in any of their games this season, and they have an average scoring margin of -11.2 points per game. Their ATS record stands at 0-3.
The over/under line for this week’s game is 47 points. Purdue’s games have averaged 54.8 points, and their over/under record is 2-1, with an average line of 48.3 points.
Purdue’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 21.8 points per game, placing them 123rd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 6. They are also converting only 35.4% of their third-down attempts. On the ground, they average 151.2 rushing yards per game.
Hudson Card leads the passing attack with 627 yards and seven touchdowns, but he has thrown four interceptions and has a passer rating of 93. Purdue ranks 112th in the nation in passing yards per game. Devin Mockobee has rushed for 317 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry, but has only one touchdown.
Purdue’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 33 points per game. In their recent game against Nebraska, they gave up 28 points, allowing 405 total yards, including 244 passing yards and 161 rushing yards.
Opponents have averaged 243.5 rushing yards per game against Purdue, while the Boilermakers have allowed 153.5 passing yards per game, ranking 19th nationally. Quarterbacks have completed 59.1% of their passes with a passer rating of 90.6 against Purdue.
Are The Wisconsin Badgers Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
Wisconsin enters Week 6 against Purdue with a 2-2 record and ranks 62nd in our power rankings. Their chances of becoming bowl-eligible stand at 31.5%. At home, they are 1-1 this season.
The Badgers are 0-3 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of -5.2 points per game. They’ve been favored in just one game this season, going 0-1 ATS as the favorite and 0-2 as the underdog.
Wisconsin’s over/under record is 2-1, with their games averaging 48.2 points. The average over/under line has been 51.5 points, and this week’s line is set at 47 points.
Wisconsin’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 21.5 points per game, ranking 90th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 6. They are 87th in rushing, with 155.5 yards per game, despite 38.2 attempts per game. Chez Mellusi leads the team with 232 rushing yards and three touchdowns, averaging 4 yards per carry.
Tyler Van Dyke has thrown for 422 yards, with a passer rating of 85. He has one touchdown pass and no interceptions. Wisconsin ranks 108th in passing yards per game. Will Pauling has 202 receiving yards and one touchdown.
Wisconsin’s defense has allowed an average of 26.8 points per game this season, including 38 points in their recent loss to USC. They gave up 471 total yards, with 308 passing yards and three touchdowns through the air, though they did manage to force an interception.
Opponents have averaged 197.2 passing yards per game against Wisconsin, completing 63.7% of their passes and posting a 93.5 passer rating. On the ground, Wisconsin has allowed 147.2 rushing yards per game on an average of 32.5 attempts.