Providence Friars vs St. John’s Red Storm NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 2/1/25

Looking to win big? The Friars and Red Storm face off at 12:00 ET on CBSS. The Red Storm are hosting the game at Madison Square Garden in New York, NY. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 140.5 points, and St. John’s is favored by -13.5 to win at home against Providence.
PROVIDENCE FRIARS VS ST. JOHN’S RED STORM BETTING PICK
The Pick: Providence Friars +13.5
This game will be played at Madison Square Garden at 12:00 ET on Saturday, February 1st.
WHY BET THE PROVIDENCE FRIARS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-70 in favor of the Red Storm.
- Even though we have St. John’s winning straight-up, we like Providence at +13.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 140.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.
Will Providence Shock Everyone at Madison Square Garden?
Providence Friars Recent Game/Games
Providence improved to 11-10 on the season with a 69-67 win over Seton Hall on Tuesday. The Friars were favored by 3.5 points going into the game but didn’t cover the spread.
Providence led 30-26 at halftime and scored 39 points in the second half while allowing 41. The total points for the game were 136, just over the O/U line of 133.5.
Providence’s offense put up 69 points in their last game, shooting 48.9% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 57.8%. They connected on 42.9% of their three-point attempts, hitting 9 of 21 from deep, and shot 54.2% on two-pointers.
Jayden Pierre and Jabri Abdur-Rahim both shot 60% from three, with Pierre finishing 3 of 5 and Abdur-Rahim 3 of 5 as well. Bensley Joseph also hit 2 of 3 from beyond the arc, shooting 66.7% from deep.
Providence’s defense held their opponent to 67 points on 37% shooting from the field. They allowed 16 two-point field goals on 32 attempts, giving up a 50% shooting rate inside the arc.
From three-point range, Providence limited their opponent to just 4 made threes on 22 attempts, an 18% shooting performance. They also sent their opponent to the free-throw line 30 times, where they converted 23 free throws at a 76% rate. Providence gave up 13 offensive rebounds in the game.
Can the St. John’s Offense Score Enough at Home?
St. John’s Red Storm Recent Game/Games
St. John’s improved to 18-3 on the season with a 66-41 road win over Georgetown on Tuesday. The Red Storm entered the game as 5-point favorites and covered the spread, but the total points of 107 fell well short of the 140.5 O/U line.
St. John’s dominated the first half, leading 47-21 at the break. However, the second half was a defensive battle, with the Red Storm scoring just 19 points while allowing 20.
St. John’s scored 66 points in their last game, shooting 48.3% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 53.4%. They connected on 59.5% of their two-point attempts, but struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 28.6% (6/21) of their threes.
The Red Storm’s free-throw shooting was also a concern, as they made only 4 of 9 attempts (44.4%). Malik Mack, Zuby Ejiofor, and Kadary Richmond each contributed 13 points, with Richmond shooting 85.7% from the field and Ejiofor hitting 83.3% of his shots.
St. John’s defense was dominant, holding their opponent to just 41 points on 24% shooting from the field. They were particularly effective inside the arc, where they limited the other team to 25% shooting on two-point attempts (8/31).
From three-point range, St. John’s allowed 6 made threes on 26 attempts, a 23% shooting performance. They also sent the opponent to the free-throw line 16 times, where they converted 7 of those attempts, shooting 43%.