Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Pick & Prediction 6/13/24

Thursday’s matchup between the Pirates and Cardinals is set to get started at 2:15 PM ET from Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO. The Cardinals are 2nd in the NL Central and are 32-34, while the Pirates are 5th in the division and have an overall record of 32-35.

SN PT will be televising this game, and the Cardinals are at home, so they are the slight money line favorite (-109). The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs. Mitch Keller is starting for the Pirates, and he is facing off against Lance Lynn.

ST. LOUIS CARDINALS VS PITTSBURGH PIRATES BETTING PICK

The Pick: St. Louis Cardinals Moneyline -109

This game will be played at Busch Stadium at 2:15 ET on Thursday, June 13th.

HOW TO BET THE PIRATES VS CARDINALS:

• We have the Cardinals winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Cardinals to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Cardinals vs. Pirates series. St. Louis went into the matchup as -171 favorites and squeaked out a 4-2 win. The Cardinals had a big 4th inning, scoring all four of their runs, while the Pirates scored their only two runs in the 5th.

Sonny Gray pitched well for the Cardinals in this one, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with nine strikeouts but issued one walk. As for the Pirates, Bailey Falter got the start and took the loss, giving up three earned runs in four innings of work.

Nolan Arenado and Ivan Herrera each had three hits and an RBI for the Cardinals’ offense. Brendan Donovan also had a two-hit game and drove in a run. As for the Pirates, Henry Davis went 1/3 with a home run.

Pirates Records & Stats

Pittsburgh is 32-35 overall, putting them 5th in the NL Central. The Pirates trail the Brewers by 7.5 games in the division. So far, they are 8-8 in divisional matchups. The Pirates are also 16-17 at home and an identical 16-18 on the road.

The Pirates have won two straight series and have an overall series record of 8-9-4. As the road favorite, the Pirates are 4-4 this year, and they are 10-15 when favored overall. They have been better as the underdog, putting together a mark of 22-20.

The Pirates have been a profitable run line team this season, going 37-30 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 20-14 against the run line. They have been an underdog in most of their games, and that has been a good thing for run line bettors, as they are 29-13 against the run line as an underdog.

The Pittsburgh Pirates are on the road today against the St. Louis Cardinals. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is the same as the combined run average for these two teams. The Pirates’ over/under record for the season is 34-32, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 13-9. So far this season, 58.2% of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s line of 8.5 runs. The under has hit in their last two games.

Mitch Keller has been pitching well for the Pirates, as he has won his last four starts. Most recently, he faced the Twins and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. Keller has been especially tough at home, with a record of 4-1 and an ERA of 3.09. On the road, his ERA is 3.65, and he has a record of 4-2. Overall, Keller is 8-3 with a 3.16 ERA. This year, he has one complete game and eight quality starts. Keller’s ERA for the season ranks 3rd among starters.

So far this season, the Pirates offense is averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. They have been a bit better at home (4.0 RPG) than on the road (4.1 RPG). As a team, they are batting just .229 and have the 19th ranked home run total in the league. One area they have been good in is putting the ball in play, as their strikeout numbers are the 25th worst in the league.

Bryan Reynolds comes into the game on a 10-game hitting streak and is batting .263 for the season. He is also the team’s leader in RBIs and has gone 11/33 in his last eight games. Reynolds and Andrew McCutchen are tied for 2nd on the team with eight homers, and McCutchen is batting just .234 for the season.

Cardinals Records & Stats

St. Louis will take on the Pirates today with an overall record of 32-34, and they are seven games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. So far, they have gone just 6-8 in divisional games. The Cardinals are 16-15 at home compared to a road record of 16-19 this season.

The Cardinals have an overall series record of 10-10-1 this year, and they are 4-4 as home underdogs. As the favorite, the Cardinals have gone 17-15 this year, and they are 15-19 when listed as the underdog. St. Louis is currently 5-5 across their last 10 games and are 1-1 so far in this series vs. the Pirates.

St. Louis has been a tough team to bet on this season, as their run line record is .500 at 33-33. They have been a better bet at home, going 17-14, compared to 16-19 on the road. They have won three straight at home against the run line, and have been a better bet as the underdog, going 20-14 compared to 13-19 as the favorite.

The Cardinals have played to the over in 15 of their 22 games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs this season, and their games have averaged 8.4 runs per game. The under has hit in three straight games for St. Louis, and the over/under record for the season is 28-35.

St. Louis is sending Lance Lynn to the mound today vs. the Pirates, and he will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he gave up four earned runs in four innings of work vs. the Rockies. Lynn finished with a no-decision in that outing. Looking back over his last three starts, he has finished with a no-decision in each one. Lynn’s ERA for the season is 3.58, along with a record of 2-3. Opposing batters are hitting .240 off Lynn this season, and his WHIP is 1.38. So far, he has made three quality starts and is averaging 8.68 strikeouts per nine innings.

So far this season, the Cardinals are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 24th in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3.8 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .236, which is 15th in the league, and their team on-base percentage of .307 is also below average. St. Louis is hoping that Nolan Arenado and Alec Burleson can continue to swing the bat well, as Arenado is hitting .264 for the season, and Burleson is batting .277.

Nolan Gorman has been a bright spot for the Cardinals this season, as he leads the team with 33 RBIs and is 6th in the league with 15 home runs. However, he is batting just .219 for the season and has gone 5/39 in his last 10 games. Gorman has gone deep five times in this stretch but has just eight RBIs.