Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Pick & Prediction 6/24/24
The money line odds for Monday’s matchup between the Pirates and Reds have Pittsburgh at -102 compared to the Reds at -116. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is set for 7:10 PM ET. Carson Spiers is starting for the Reds, and the Pirates are going with Bailey Falter.
Monday’s forecast in Cincinnati calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-80s. The over/under line is currently 9.5 runs, and the Reds are looking to snap a two-game losing streak. However, they are 5th in the NL Central, while the Pirates are 3rd with a record of 37-40.
PITTSBURGH PIRATES VS CINCINNATI REDS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline -102
This game will be played at Great American Ball Park at 7:10 ET on Monday, June 24th.
HOW TO BET THE PIRATES VS REDS:
- We have the Pirates winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Reds to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the under
Pirates Records & Stats
Pittsburgh is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 3-1 loss to Tampa Bay, Bryan Reynolds went 2/3 with a homer, and Paul Skenes was excellent on the mound, going seven innings and giving up just one run while striking out eight. However, the Pirates couldn’t close things out, and Colin Holderman took the loss out of the bullpen. The Pirates were also a -168 favorite at home going into the game.
One of the big reasons the Pirates were the heavy favorite at home was their offense. However, they only scored one run, and it came in the 4th inning. The Pirates also wasted a good game from Reynolds, who homered in the 4th.
Pittsburgh opens their series vs. the Reds on the road, and they are 37-40 overall, putting them 3rd in the NL Central. The Pirates trail the Brewers by 7.5 games in the division and are 10-10 in divisional games this year. They lost two of three in their series vs. the Rays.
At home, the Pirates are 19-20 this year, and they are one game under .500 at 18-19 on the road. So far, the Pirates are 15-18 as the favorite and 22-22 as the underdog. Heading into today’s game, the Pirates’ overall series record is 10-11-4, and they are even 5-5 in their last 10 games.
When betting the Pirates on the run line this season, it’s been more profitable to take them as the underdog, as they are 30-14 against the run line in those games. They are also 22-16 against the run line on the road, where their average run margin is -0.1 runs per game. Overall, they are 41-36 against the run line this season, with an average run margin of -0.4 runs per game.
Today’s over/under line of 9.5 runs is the highest line set for a Pittsburgh Pirates game this season. The Pirates have played 74 games with lower over/under lines and have gone under in 36 of those games. Their games have averaged 8.4 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 36-40.
Pittsburgh is sending left-hander Bailey Falter to the mound today vs. the Reds. He has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 3-5 with a 3.74 ERA. Falter’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.12, and opponents are batting .231 off him this year. In his last outing, he gave up two earned runs in seven innings of work, taking the loss. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. Falter has given up at least two homers in three of his last four outings. The left-hander has a BB/9 figure of 2.38 compared to 5.9 strikeouts per nine innings.
So far this season, the Pirates offense has been one of the worst in the league, as they are averaging just 4 runs per game, which is 25th in the MLB. Their batting average of .227 is also near the bottom of the league, and they are just 18th in home runs. However, Bryan Reynolds has been swinging a hot bat of late, hitting .367 over his last eight games, with three homers in that stretch. For the season, he is batting .275 with a team-high 43 RBIs.
As a team, the Pirates are averaging just 3.8 runs per game at home, and their collective on-base percentage of .296 is 19th in the league. Oneil Cruz and Andrew McCutchen are tied for 2nd on the team with 10 homers apiece, but Cruz is batting just .240, and McCutchen’s batting average is only .242.
Reds Records & Stats
The Reds will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Red Sox with a 7-4 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 4th inning before the Red Sox scored four runs in the top of the 4th. Cincinnati was the -162 favorite at home going into the game.
Nick Lodolo got the start for the Reds and took the loss. He only lasted 4 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs on five hits. The Reds also issued four walks in the loss and didn’t have a single strikeout from their bullpen.
Cincinnati will host the Pirates today with an overall record of 36-41, which has them 5th in the NL Central. Currently, they trail the Brewers by 8.5 games in the division. The Reds head into today’s game having lost two straight games, and they are 4-6 across their last 10.
At home, the Reds are 19-21 this season compared to 17-20 on the road. As the favorite, Cincinnati has gone 19-14 and 17-27 as the underdog. So far, they have dropped three straight series and have an overall series record of 8-15-2.
The Reds have a run line record of 41-36 this season, including a 17-23 mark at home. Their average run margin is just 0.1 runs per game, and they have a run line record of 24-13 on the road. Cincinnati has been a better bet as an underdog this season, going 26-18 against the run line in those games.
When the Cincinnati Reds have played at home this season, the over/under line has been set at 9.5 runs only five times, with the over hitting in 12 of their 19 games. Their games have averaged 8.2 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 32-42. Overall, the average over/under line for their games has been set at 9 runs.
Cincinnati is giving the ball to right-hander Carson Spiers today vs. the Pirates. So far this season, he has made one start and six total appearances. Spiers’ record for the season is 0-1, and he has an ERA of 3.20. In his 25 1/3 innings of work, Spiers has a WHIP of 1.22 and is averaging 7.11 strikeouts per nine innings. The last time he pitched, Spiers took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work vs. the Pirates. Before that, he had three straight appearances where he didn’t allow an earned run.
Jeimer Candelario has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Reds, going 5/18 in his last five games with two homers and three RBIs. Overall, he is batting .254 for the season and is 11th in the league with 14 home runs. Candelario’s 38 RBIs are the 2nd most on the team, behind Spencer Steer, who is 15th in the league in RBIs and has nine homers.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.2 runs per game and are batting just .227, which is 20th in the league. Their collective on-base percentage is also below average at .305. Currently, the Reds have three players on hitting streaks, with Candelario, Santiago Espinal, and Jonathan India all having five-game streaks.