Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat Betting Pick & Prediction 12/7/24
At 8:00 ET, the Heat (-218) will host the Suns (+183) in a non-conference matchup. The over/under line for the game is 219.5.
Miami (10-10) is currently 7th in the Eastern Conference, while Phoenix (12-9) is 7th in the Western Conference. The Heat are favored by 6 points.
PHOENIX SUNS VS MIAMI HEAT BETTING PICK
The Pick: Miami Heat -6
This game will be played at Kaseya Center at 8:00 ET on Saturday, December 7th.
WHY BET THE MIAMI HEAT:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 145-107 in favor of the Heat.
- Our projections have Tyler Herro finishing with 21 points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists.
- From the field, we have the Heat finishing with a field goal percentage of 46.1% and knocking down 17 threes.
Will the Suns Defense Show Up on the Road?
The Suns fell to 12-9 on the season after a 126-124 road loss to the Pelicans on Thursday. Phoenix, favored by 1.5 points, not only lost the game but also failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game reached 250, well over the pre-game line of 223.5.
Phoenix seemed in control after an 11-0 run, taking the lead from 49-44 to 55-49. They dominated the 2nd quarter, outscoring New Orleans 32-20, but the Pelicans responded by winning the 3rd quarter 45-28. The Suns tried to rally in the 4th, entering the quarter down 99-93 and outscoring the Pelicans 31-27, but it wasn’t enough to complete the comeback.
Devin Booker led the Suns with 28 points in their 126-124 loss to the Pelicans, despite shooting just 30% from the field. Booker hit 3 threes at 30% efficiency and scored 15 points in the 1st quarter and 8 more in the 4th. Bradley Beal added 24 points, with 9 coming in the 2nd quarter.
Royce O’Neale contributed 19 points, hitting 5 threes at 62.5% efficiency. The Suns made 17 threes as a team, shooting 37.8% from deep and 50.6% overall from the field.
Defensively, the Suns had a strong 2nd quarter, but a rough 3rd quarter where they gave up 45 points contributed to their 126-124 loss to the Pelicans. Phoenix allowed New Orleans to shoot 49% from the field.
The Suns also sent the Pelicans to the free-throw line 25 times, where they hit 18. Phoenix allowed 14 threes at a 38% clip. The Suns finished with 10 steals and 3 blocks.
Do the Heat Have What it Takes at Home?
The Heat evened their record at 10-10 with a dominant 134-93 win over the Lakers on Wednesday. Miami, who were -3.5 point favorites, covered the spread with ease, winning by 41 points at home. The total score of 227 points exceeded the O/U line of 217.5 by 9.5 points.
Miami broke the game open early with a 14-0 run, turning a 6-6 tie into a 20-6 lead. They outscored the Lakers 35-26 in the 2nd quarter and 36-20 in the 3rd, entering the 4th with a 105-72 lead before finishing the game with a 29-21 edge in the final period.
The Heat’s offense was on fire in their win over the Lakers, shooting 57.8% from the field and hitting 24 threes at a 51.1% clip. Tyler Herro led the way with 31 points, connecting on 9 threes, including 21 points in the 3rd quarter.
Jimmy Butler added 17 points, while Terry Rozier contributed 16, scoring 7 in the 4th. Bam Adebayo and Haywood Highsmith each chipped in 14 points, with Adebayo scoring 7 in the 1st and 2nd quarters.
The Heat put together a strong defensive performance on Wednesday, holding the Lakers to just 93 points. Miami gave up 26 points in both the 1st and 2nd quarters but tightened up in the 3rd, allowing just 20 points, and finished strong in the 4th, giving up 21.
Overall, the Heat held the Lakers to 42% shooting from the field and just 22% from three-point range, where Los Angeles made only 5 threes. Miami also sent the Lakers to the free-throw line 19 times, where they made 14. The Heat grabbed 39 defensive rebounds, gave up 12 offensive boards, and added 11 steals and 5 blocks.