Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Betting Pick & Prediction 9/29/24
At 3:05 PM ET, the Phillies and Nationals will face off in an NL East matchup. This one is taking place at Nationals Park in Washington, and the Phillies are the heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -179 compared to the Nationals at +150. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs.
Philadelphia will be looking to end a two-game losing streak, as they are 94-67 this season, while the Nationals have won two straight and are 71-90 overall. Jake Irvin is starting for the Nationals, and he is facing off against Aaron Nola for the Phillies. MASN is carrying this game on TV.
WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Washington Nationals Moneyline +150
This game will be played at Nationals Park at 3:05 ET on Sunday, September 29th.
HOW TO BET THE PHILLIES VS NATIONALS:
- We have the Nationals winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Nationals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Washington picked up a 6-3 win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Nationals had a big 8th inning, scoring four of their six runs. As for the Phillies, they scored their only three runs in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Nationals were at +173 on the money line.
Mackenzie Gore started for the Nationals and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with nine strikeouts but issued five walks. Zack Wheeler got the start for the Phillies, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs.
James Wood and Joey Gallo each homered for the Nationals, while Keibert Ruiz went 2/4 with two RBIs. Dylan Crews also had a two-hit game at the plate.
Phillies Records & Stats
Philadelphia is 94-67 overall this season, putting them five games ahead of the Braves for the NL East lead. The Phillies will be on the road for today’s game vs. the Nationals, and they are 40-40 on the road. Philadelphia has gone 3-7 over their last ten games and have dropped two straight heading into today’s game.
So far, the Phillies have gone 28-25 as the road favorite and 81-49 as the favorite overall. They have struggled as the underdog, going just 13-18 this year. The Phillies have an overall series record of 27-18-7 this year.
When betting the run line on the Phillies, it’s important to know that they are just a game over .500 on the run line this season at 77-84. They have been a better bet on the run line at home, where they are 37-44, compared to their road record of 40-40. Their average run differential is +0.7 runs per game, but that number jumps to +1.1 runs per game at home. They have been favored in 130 games this season, going 61-69 on the run line, while they are 16-15 as an underdog.
The Phillies are on the road today against the Nationals, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Philadelphia’s games this season is 9.0 runs, and their over/under record for the year is 77-75. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, the Phillies have a record of 15-16. Overall, 72.0% of their games this season have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs. Their current over streak is at four games.
Right-hander Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Nationals on the road. Nola has made 32 starts this season and has a record of 13-8 with a 3.52 ERA. In his 32 appearances, he has pitched one shutout and has 20 quality starts. Nola’s ERA for the season is 4.48 on the road compared to 3.76 at home. He most recently faced the Cubs, where he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up two earned runs. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. So far, he has pitched well against the Nationals, going 2-0 with an ERA of 0.86.
Philadelphia comes into today’s game as one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 4.8 runs per game (5th) and batting a collective .257 (4th). They have also been one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams, as their 198 homers is 7th in the MLB. The Phillies have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per game.
Over his last six games, Kyle Schwarber has just two hits in 23 at-bats, but both of those hits were home runs. For the season, he is batting .248 with a team-high 38 homers. Nick Castellanos has been hot of late, going 10/20 in his last six games, and he also comes into the game on a nine-game hitting streak.
Nationals Records & Stats
Washington is 71-90 overall and trail the Phillies by 23 games in the NL East. The Nationals are 4th in the division and have gone 25-26 in divisional games. The Nationals have won two straight games, and these two wins have come in the first two games of this series vs. the Phillies.
At home, the Nationals are 38-42 this year, and they are 33-48 on the road. As the underdog, Washington is 56-77 this year and 15-13 when favored. They have dropped three straight series and have an overall series record of 19-25-6.
The Nationals have a run line record of 89-72 this season. They have been a profitable team to bet on the run line, especially as the underdog, where they are 76-57. Their average run margin is -0.6 runs per game, and they have a run line record of 43-37 at home and 46-35 on the road. In their two most recent games, they have covered the run line, and they have covered the run line in two straight games as the underdog.
The Washington Nationals are playing host to the Philadelphia Phillies today, and the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The Nationals and their opponents have combined to average 8.8 runs per game this season, and Washington has a 76-79 over/under record on the year. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, but when the line is set at 7.5 runs, the over has hit at a 17-12 clip. Overall, 79.5% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, and the over has hit in their last three games.
Jake Irvin will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Cubs, as he gets the start for the Nationals today. In that September 22nd start, he took the loss, giving up five earned runs in four innings of work. Looking back over his last four starts, Irvin has finished with a record of 1-2 and an ERA of 4.22. For the season, he is 10-13 with a 4.22 ERA. Opposing batters have hit .238 off Irvin this year, and he has made 16 quality starts. Per nine innings, Irvin is averaging 7.51 strikeouts and 2.41 walks.
Washington’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 25th in the MLB. They have been even worse in terms of home runs, as their 134 homers are 26th in the league. The team’s collective batting average of .243 is 12th in the league, and they have done a good job of avoiding strikeouts, as their 7 K’s per game is the 5th best mark in the league.
Luis García Jr. has been a bright spot for the Nationals this season, as he is batting .281 with 17 homers and 68 RBIs. He is currently on a three-game hitting streak. CJ Abrams has also been a good power source for the Nationals, as he has gone deep 20 times this season. Over his last nine games, James Wood is hitting .303 with two homers.