Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 5/14/24
From Citi Field in New York, the Phillies and Mets square off in an NL East matchup. This one gets started at 1:10 PM ET, and the Phillies are the money line favorite, with the odds sitting at -140 compared to the Mets at +118. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs.
Philadelphia leads the NL East with a record of 29-13, while the Mets are 4th in the division at 19-21. José Buttó is starting for the Mets, and he is facing off against Aaron Nola. SNY is carrying this one on TV.
NEW YORK METS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: New York Mets Moneyline +118
This game will be played at Citi Field at 1:10 ET on Tuesday, May 14th.
HOW TO BET THE PHILLIES VS METS:
- We have the Mets winning by a score of 5.1 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Mets to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9.1 runs and like the over
Philadelphia rallied for two runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this Mets vs. Phillies series. The Phillies scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up two in the top of the 9th, picking up a 5-4 win. Heading into the game, the Phillies were at -106 on the money line.
Cristopher Sanchez started for the Phillies, going just 5 2/3 innings while giving up three runs and striking out five. Orion Kerkering got the win out of the bullpen, and Jose Alvarado got the save. Sean Manaea had a good outing for the Mets, giving up just one run in six innings of work.
Bryson Stott and Edmundo Sosa each had two hits and two RBIs for the Phillies. J.D. Martinez went 3/4 with two RBIs for the Mets.
Phillies Records & Stats
Philadelphia is currently 29-13 overall, putting them in 1st place in the NL East. They hold a two-game lead over the Braves for the top spot in the division. The Phillies have gone 6-4 in divisional games this year.
The Phillies have been really good on the road this year, going 14-6 compared to 15-7 at home. They have also been really good in night games, going 18-6 so far. Philadelphia has been really good as the favorite, putting up a mark of 24-10. As the underdog, they are 5-3 this season. Looking at their overall series record, the Phillies are 8-2-3 and have won three straight series on the road. They are also 8-2 in their last 10 games overall.
When the Phillies win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.8 runs per game. They have a run line record of 22-20 overall, with a 12-8 mark on the road and a 10-12 record at home. They are 17-17 against the run line as the favorite and 5-3 as the underdog.
The Phillies have been on a roll when it comes to the over, as they’ve hit the over in four straight games. Their games have averaged 9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 21-19. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, they have a 10-3 record. Overall, 35.7% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs, and their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game.
Right-hander Aaron Nola is getting the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Mets on the road. He has made eight starts this year and has a record of 4-2 to go along with a 3.67 ERA. Nola’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.20. Looking back at his last outing, Nola took the loss, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up four earned runs on seven hits. Before that outing, he had won three straight starts. Nola has been much better on the road this year, coming in with a 3-0 record and 2.12 ERA compared to 1-2 with a 5.36 ERA at home.
Philadelphia comes into the game as one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 5.2 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.4 runs per contest. Overall, they are 2nd in team batting average at .260 and have the league’s 2nd best on-base percentage and OPS. The Phillies have also been tough to strike out this season, as their 8 strikeouts per game is 19th in the league.
Bryce Harper has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/32 in his last eight games with three homers and 11 RBIs. Harper’s nine home runs this season is 5th in the league and the top mark on the team. Alec Bohm is hitting .329 for the season and leads the team with 33 RBIs.
Mets Records & Stats
The Mets are 19-21 overall and trail the Phillies by nine games for the NL East lead. So far, they are 3-4 in divisional games. New York is at home today, where they are 10-13 this year. The Mets have been better on the road, going 9-8.
New York has dropped two straight games as the underdog, and they are 8-11 as the underdog overall. As the favorite, the Mets are 11-10 this year. They are 6-6-1 in series this year and are 4-6 over their last 10 games overall.
When it comes to the run line, the Mets have been a better bet on the road this season, going 11-6 compared to 8-15 at home. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 11-8 compared to 8-13 as the favorite. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.1, while it is -2.8 in losing games.
Today’s over/under line of 8 runs for the Mets-Phillies game is right in line with the Mets’ season average of 8 runs per game. The Mets have played 40 games this season, and 15 of them have had over/under lines higher than 8 runs, while 18 have had lower lines. The Mets have gone over the line in 19 games and under in 21, with a combined run average of 8.6 runs per game. Their over/under record when the line is set at 8 runs is 3-4.
José Buttó will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win against the Cardinals. In that May 7th outing, he went 5 innings and gave up 3 earned runs. Looking at his overall numbers, Buttó has made 6 starts and has a record of 1-2. His ERA for the season is 3.00, along with a WHIP of 1.15. Opposing batters are hitting .184 off the right-hander this year. Buttó has made three quality starts this year and is averaging 9.27 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed 3 homers and is averaging 4.64 walks per nine innings.
Heading into today’s game, the Mets are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. However, they have been much better on the road, averaging 5.5 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .235, which is 17th in the league, and have the 11th fewest home runs in the league. New York’s team on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS are all right around league average.
Over the last six games, Pete Alonso and J.D. Martinez have both been swinging the bat well, with Alonso going 8/21 and Martinez going 8/23. Alonso is 2nd on the team with 22 RBIs and has a team-high nine homers, while Martinez is 2nd on the team in home runs and has 15 RBIs. Brandon Nimmo has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 3/19 with three homers in his last six games.