Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 10/9/24
At 5:08 PM ET, the Phillies and Mets square off in an NL East matchup. This one is taking place at Citi Field in New York, and the Phillies are favored on the money line (-111). The money line odds have the Mets at -106, and the over/under line is at 7.5 runs.
Jose Quintana will be starting for the Mets, while the Phillies are sending Ranger Suarez to the mound. The Phillies are currently 1st in the NL East with a record of 95-67, while the Mets are 2nd at 89-73.
NEW YORK METS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: New York Mets Moneyline -106
This game will be played at Citi Field at 5:08 ET on Wednesday, October 9th.
HOW TO BET THE PHILLIES VS METS:
- We have the Mets winning by a score of 4 to 3
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Mets to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 7 runs and like the under
It was all Mets in the last game of this series, as they took down the Phillies by a score of 7-2. New York had a huge 2nd inning, scoring six of their seven runs. As for the Phillies, they scored their only two runs in the 8th.
Sean Manaea pitched well for the Mets in this one, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued two walks. On the other side, Aaron Nola had a rough outing for the Phillies, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work.
Pete Alonso and Jesse Winker each homered for the Mets, while Mark Vientos went 2/4 with two RBIs and two runs scored. Starling Marte also had a two-hit game at the top of the Mets’ lineup.
Phillies Records & Stats
Facing a must-win game four, the Phillies are on the road, trailing the Mets 2-1 in this best-of-five series. Philadelphia finished the regular season with a 95-67 record, including a 54-27 mark at home and 41-40 on the road. As favorites, they went 83-51, while posting a 13-18 record as underdogs.
Philadelphia’s run line record stands at 78-87, with a 41-41 mark on the road. At home, their run-scoring margin was +1.0, compared to +0.2 on the road. The Phillies’ over/under record is 81-75, and 72.2% of their games had higher totals than today’s 7.5 line. The over has hit in their last eight games.
Ranger Suárez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Mets on the road. So far this season, he has made 27 starts and has a record of 12-8. Suárez’s ERA is currently 3.46, along with a WHIP of 1.20. In his 27 appearances, he has turned in 11 quality starts, one shutout, and one complete game. Looking back at his last outing, Suárez took the loss after giving up six earned runs in just two innings of work. Before that, he had given up three earned runs in three straight starts.
Philadelphia comes into today’s game as one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 4.8 runs per game (5th) and batting a collective .257 (4th). They have been even better at home, averaging 5 runs per game and have the 2nd best home batting average in the league. The Phillies have been hitting a lot of home runs this season, as they are 7th in the league in homers and have the 5th best slugging percentage in the league.
Over his last seven games, Nick Castellanos has gone 10/23 with two homers and four RBIs. This has pushed his season average to .285. Kyle Schwarber has also been swinging the bat well for the Phillies, as he is 6th in the league with 38 homers and is 8th in the league with 104 RBIs. Bryce Harper is also having a strong season, as he is batting .285 with 30 homers and 87 RBIs.
Mets Records & Stats
Leading 2-1 in their series against Philadelphia, the Mets are at home for game four, looking to secure the series win. New York posted a 46-35 home record during the regular season, compared to 43-38 on the road. As favorites, they went 59-39, while finishing 34-36 as underdogs.
New York’s run line record for the season is 87-81, with a 39-43 mark at home. They’ve covered the run line in three straight home games. The Mets’ games have averaged 9.1 runs this year, and their over/under record is 86-77. The over has hit in their last three games.
Jose Quintana gets the start for the Mets today and comes into the game with a record of 10-10 and an ERA of 3.75. He has made 31 starts this season and has pitched well at home, coming in with a record of 5-5 and an ERA of 4.15. Quintana’s ERA on the road is 4.58, and he has a record of 5-5 away from home. The left-hander most recently faced the Brewers, where he finished with a no-decision, going six innings and not giving up a run. Before that, he had given up two earned runs in back-to-back starts. Quintana has won two straight starts.
Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been the Mets’ top power threats this season, as Alonso’s 34 homers are 10th in the league and Lindor is just behind him with 33. Lindor comes into the game batting .273 and is the team’s leader in RBIs, while Alonso has driven in 88 runs but is batting just .240 for the season. Over his last six games, Alonso has gone deep three times, but he is just 4/19 in that stretch.
As a team, the Mets are 7th in the league in scoring at 4.7 runs per game and are also 6th in home runs. Overall, they are batting .246, which is 8th in the league. They have three players who come into the game on three-game hitting streaks.