Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 10/8/24
At 5:08 PM ET, the Phillies and Mets face off in an NL East matchup. This one is taking place at Citi Field in New York, and the Phillies are the slight money line favorite (-112). The money line odds are currently at -106 for the Mets, and the over/under line is at 7 runs.
FS1 will be televising this game, and Aaron Nola will start for the Phillies, while the Mets are going with Sean Manaea. The Phillies are 95-67 this season, while the Mets are 89-73 and are 2nd in the NL East.
NEW YORK METS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: New York Mets Moneyline -106
This game will be played at Citi Field at 5:08 ET on Tuesday, October 8th.
HOW TO BET THE PHILLIES VS METS:
- We have the Mets winning by a score of 5 to 3
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Mets to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 8 runs and like the over
Philadelphia picked up a 7-6 win over the Mets in the most recent game of this series. New York had a late rally, scoring two runs in the 8th and another two in the 9th, but the Phillies were able to hold on for the win. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -146 on the money line.
Cristopher Sanchez got the start for the Phillies, going just five innings while giving up two runs and striking out five. Jeff Hoffman got the win out of the bullpen. Luis Severino made his season debut for the Mets, going six innings and giving up three earned runs.
At the plate, the Phillies were led by Nick Castellanos and Bryce Harper, who each homered. Castellanos went 3/5 with two RBIs, while Harper scored twice and drove in two runs while going 1/3. Bryson Stott also had a two-hit game and scored a run for Philadelphia.
Phillies Records & Stats
As the Phillies prepare for game three of their NLDS matchup against the Mets, they’ll look to take a 2-1 series lead on the road. Philadelphia finished the regular season with a 95-67 record, going 54-27 at home and 41-40 on the road. As favorites, the Phillies went 83-50, while they posted a 13-18 record as underdogs.
Philadelphia’s run line record for the season stands at 78-86, with a +0.3 road scoring margin compared to +1.0 at home. On the road, their run line record is 41-40. The Phillies’ over/under record is 80-75, and 92% of their games have had higher totals than today’s 7-run line. The over has hit in seven straight Phillies games.
Right-hander Aaron Nola is getting the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Mets on the road. Nola has made 33 starts this season and has a record of 14-8 with a 3.57 ERA. This year, he has one complete game shutout and 20 quality starts. Nola’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.20, and he is averaging 8.89 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Nola picked up the win, going five innings and giving up three earned runs on seven hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Philadelphia comes into the game as one of the league’s best offenses, averaging 4.8 runs per game (5th) and batting a collective .257 (4th). They have also been one of the league’s top home run hitting teams, as their 198 homers is 7th in the MLB. The Phillies have also been very good at home this season, averaging 5 runs per game.
Kyle Schwarber has been the Phillies’ top power threat this season, as his 38 homers is 6th in the league. However, he is hitting just .248 overall and has gone 7/33 in his last eight games. Nick Castellanos has been hot of late, going 12/25 in his last eight games.
Mets Records & Stats
As the Mets prepare for game three of their series against the Phillies, they’ll look to take advantage of playing at home, where they went 46-35 during the regular season, compared to 43-38 on the road. New York posted a 59-39 record as favorites this year but struggled as underdogs, going 33-36.
New York’s run line record for the season is 86-81, and they’ve covered in their last two home games. As underdogs, they’re 41-28 against the run line. The Mets’ over/under record is 85-77, and the over has hit in their last two games. Today’s line of seven runs is lower than 94.4% of their games this season, with their average over/under line sitting at eight runs.
Sean Manaea gets the start for the Mets today and comes in with a record of 12-6 and an ERA of 3.47. This year, he has made 32 starts, and opponents are batting .195 off the left-hander. Manaea’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.08. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Manaea’s ERA at home is 4.26 compared to 3.69 on the road.
Over his last seven games, Francisco Lindor has gone 8/26 with two home runs and six RBIs. For the season, he is batting .273 and leads the Mets with 91 RBIs. Pete Alonso has also been a big power threat for the Mets, as he is 10th in the league with 34 homers. However, Alonso has struggled at the plate of late, going just 5/28 in his last eight games.
As a team, the Mets are 7th in the league in scoring at 4.7 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. Overall, they are 6th in the league in home runs and have the 8th best team batting average in the MLB.