Philadelphia Phillies vs Minnesota Twins Betting Pick & Prediction 7/24/24
Wednesday’s interleague matchup between the Phillies and Twins is set to get started at 1:10 PM ET from Target Field in Minneapolis. The Phillies are the favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -152 compared to the Twins at +128. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs.
Philadelphia leads the NL East with a record of 64-37, while the Twins are 3rd in the AL Central at 55-45. Aaron Nola will start for the Phillies, and he is facing off against Steven Okert for the Twins. NBC10 will have this game on TV.
MINNESOTA TWINS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Minnesota Twins Moneyline +128
This game will be played at Target Field at 1:10 ET on Wednesday, July 24th.
HOW TO BET THE PHILLIES VS TWINS:
- We have the Twins winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Twins to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Philadelphia cruised to a 3-0 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 9th inning, scoring all three of their runs. As for the Twins, they had their best chance to score in the 7th, but left the bases loaded. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -151 on the money line.
Zack Wheeler started for the Phillies and picked up the win, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued two walks. Simeon Woods Richardson got the start for the Twins and took the loss, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work.
Nick Castellanos was the only player in the game to have more than one hit. He went 1/4 with two RBIs. Both Rhys Hoskins and Andrew McCutchen scored two runs for the Phillies’ offense.
Phillies Records & Stats
Philadelphia is on the road today, facing the Twins with an overall record of 64-37, which has them leading the NL East by nine games over the Braves. So far, they have gone 15-10 in divisional matchups. The Phillies are looking to keep their series record going, as they are 19-10-5 this year, but they have dropped two straight series.
At home, the Phillies have gone 37-16 this year and are above .500 at 27-21 on the road. This season, they have really taken advantage of being the favorite, going 56-29. As the underdog, the Phillies are 8-8 this year. Heading into game three vs. the Twins, the Phillies and Twins have split the first two games, and the Phillies are 5-5 over their last ten games.
Philadelphia has been a solid run line team this season, going 52-49 overall. They have been a better bet at home, going 27-26, and have a run line record of 25-23 on the road. They have an average run margin of 1.1 runs per game this season, with a scoring margin of 1.6 runs per game at home and 0.5 runs per game on the road. They have been a better bet as the favorite, going 44-41 against the run line.
The Philadelphia Phillies are on the road today against the Minnesota Twins. The Over/Under line for the game is set at 8 runs, which is exactly the average combined run average for Phillies games this season. Their Over/Under record is 45-51 on the year, and when the line is set at 8 runs, they are 15-12-1. Overall, 43.6% of their games have had higher lines than 8 runs, while 28.7% have had lower lines.
Right-hander Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Twins on the road. Nola has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 11-4 with a 3.54 ERA. In his 20 appearances, he has a WHIP of 1.04 and has turned in 14 quality starts. Nola’s most recent outing came against the Pirates, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Nola’s ERA on the road is 4.67, compared to 3.84 at home.
Philadelphia comes into today’s game as one of the league’s best offensive teams, as they are 5th in the league in runs scored (4.9 per game) and are batting a collective .257, which is the 3rd best mark in the MLB. At home, they are averaging 5.4 runs per game and have the league’s top home run total. The Phillies also have the league’s best on-base percentage and are 6th in slugging.
Bryce Harper has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/27 in his last seven games with three homers and seven RBIs. Harper comes into the game with a five-game hitting streak and is 7th in the league with 23 homers. Alec Bohm and Kyle Schwarber are also near the top of the league in homers, with Bohm leading the team with 71 RBIs.
Twins Records & Stats
Minnesota will take on the Phillies with an overall record of 55-45, which has them five games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. So far, they have gone 19-13 in divisional games. The Twins are looking to snap a two-series losing streak (19-11-2 overall) and are 4-6 across their last ten games.
At home, the Twins are 28-21 this season compared to 27-24 on the road. As the favorite, Minnesota has gone 44-26 this season, and they are 11-19 when listed as the underdog. So far, they have been good as the home underdog, putting together a mark of 5-4 this year.
When the Twins win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.6 runs per game. They are 47-53 on the run line this season, but just 19-30 at home. Minnesota’s average run margin is +0.4 runs per game, which is the same as their road scoring margin and slightly better than their home scoring margin. They are 28-23 on the run line on the road and 31-39 as the favorite.
Minnesota’s games have averaged 9.2 runs per game this season, and their O/U record is 50-48. When the O/U line is set at 8 runs, their record is 7-15-2. This season, 39% of their games have had O/U lines set at 8 runs, and their average O/U line is 8 runs.
Left-hander Steven Okert gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Phillies. He has made 34 appearances out of the bullpen this season and has a record of 3-1 with an ERA of 4.39. Okert’s WHIP for the season is 1.40. In his 34 appearances, he has pitched 28 2/3 innings. Looking back at his last outing, Okert took the loss after giving up two earned runs in two-thirds of an inning of work. He has given up at least one earned run in three of his last five outings.
Carlos Correa has been a great addition to the Twins lineup this season, as he is batting .308 with 13 home runs and 47 RBIs, both of which are the 2nd best marks on the team. He is also on a four-game hitting streak. Minnesota’s top home run hitters are Carlos Santana and Ryan Jeffers, who have each gone deep 14 times this season. Willi Castro is batting .262 for the season and has gone deep seven times.
As a team, the Twins are 6th in scoring at 4.8 runs per game and have been even better at home, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are 8th in home runs and have the league’s 7th best team batting average. One thing to keep an eye on is that Byron Buxton has struggled of late, going just 4/18 in his last six games.