Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Pick & Prediction 8/5/24
The Phillies and Dodgers are set to square off in an NL matchup at 10:10 PM ET at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles. The money line odds have the Dodgers as the favorite, with their line sitting at -132 compared to the Phillies at +112. The over/under line is currently 8 runs.
MLBN will be televising Monday’s matchup, and Aaron Nola will be on the mound for the Phillies, while the Dodgers are starting Tyler Glasnow. Philadelphia is currently 1st in the NL East, while the Dodgers are 1st in the NL West. Los Angeles has won two straight, while the Phillies are 66-45 overall.
LOS ANGELES DODGERS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline -132
This game will be played at Dodger Stadium at 10:10 ET on Monday, August 5th.
HOW TO BET THE PHILLIES VS DODGERS:
- We have the Dodgers winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Phillies to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Phillies Records & Stats
Bryce Harper and the Phillies are coming off a big 6-0 win over the Mariners to close out their series. Harper was hot at the plate, going 3/4 with a homer and two RBIs. The Phillies really broke things open with a five-run 8th inning. Looking at the betting lines going into the game, the Phillies were the slight underdog at -125.
Zack Wheeler started for the Athletics, going eight innings and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out nine Mariners batters. Philadelphia’s bullpen closed things out with a scoreless 9th inning.
Philadelphia takes on the Dodgers today with an overall record of 66-45, putting them in 1st place in the NL East. They currently lead the Braves by 6.0 games heading into today’s road matchup. The Phillies lost two of three games in their most recent series vs. the Mariners.
At home, the Phillies have gone 38-21 this season, and they are just above .500 at 28-24 on the road. Looking at how they have fared as the underdog, the Phillies are 8-10 as the underdog overall and 7-8 as the underdog on the road. Philadelphia’s overall series record is 19-14-5, but they have dropped six straight series.
The Phillies’ run line record is 55-56 this season, with a run differential of +0.9 runs per game. They are 27-25 against the run line on the road, where they have a run differential of +0.4 runs per game. They have covered the run line in two straight road games and are 9-9 against the run line as an underdog.
The Phillies are on the road today against the Dodgers, and the O/U line is set at 8 runs. So far this season, the Phillies have played in games with an average of 8.8 runs per game. Their O/U record for the season is 51-55, and when the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 16-13-1. In 45.0% of their games, the O/U line has been set higher than 8 runs.
Right-hander Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Dodgers on the road. He has made 22 starts this season and has a record of 11-4 with a 3.43 ERA. Nola’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.09. Out of his 22 appearances, Nola has turned in 15 quality starts, one shutout, and one complete game. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had turned in three straight starts with four earned runs allowed. Nola has not taken a loss since June 28th.
Philadelphia comes into today’s game as one of the best home run hitting teams in the league, as they are 7th in the league in homers and are also 7th in the league in runs scored, at 4.9 runs per game. The Phillies have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .255 as a team, which is 6th in the league.
Over his last eight games, Kyle Schwarber has been on a tear, going 11/29 with four homers and seven RBIs. Schwarber’s 23 homers this season is 2nd on the team and 9th in the league. Overall, he is batting just .251. Alec Bohm comes into the game on a six-game hitting streak and is batting .295 for the season. His 77 RBIs is the best mark on the team and 8th in the league.
Dodgers Records & Stats
The Dodgers’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Athletics, closing out their series with a 3-2 win. After allowing two runs to the Athletics in the bottom of the first, the Dodgers responded with two runs of their own. Los Angeles went on to add another run in the 3rd inning and closed out the scoring with a 3rd run in the 4th.
Alex Vesia picked up the win out of the bullpen for the Dodgers, and Anthony Banda got the save. The Dodgers also got a good spot start from River Ryan, who went 4 2/3 innings, and allowed just two runs on five hits. He only had four strikeouts in the outing and took the loss.
Los Angeles opens their series vs. the Phillies having won two straight games, and they lead the NL West by 4.5 games over the Padres. This season, the Dodgers are 21-18 in divisional games and are 65-47 overall. Los Angeles closed out their series vs. the Athletics with a win and took the series 2-1.
As the favorite, the Dodgers are 61-37 this season, and they are 33-20 when favored at home. Los Angeles’ overall home record is 34-20 compared to a 31-27 mark on the road. So far, they have struggled as the underdog, going just 4-10 this season. The Dodgers’ overall series record is 21-16-1.
When the Dodgers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.8 runs per game. However, when they lose, they tend to lose big, with an average run margin of -3.2 runs per game. Overall, their run line record is 54-58, with a run line record of 25-29 at home and 29-29 on the road. As the favorite, they are 48-50 against the run line, while as the underdog, they are 6-8.
When the Dodgers play at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs, which is below their season average of 9 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 59-53, and when the line is set at 8 runs, they have gone 6-10. So far this season, 68.8% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs.
Through 20 starts, Tyler Glasnow has a record of 8-6 and an ERA of 3.50. He has made 12 quality starts this year and is averaging 11.53 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Glasnow finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in seven innings of work. Looking back further, he has finished with a no-decision in three straight outings. Opponents have hit .177 this year off Glasnow, and he has allowed a total of 14 home runs. At home, his ERA is 4.03 compared to 4.09 on the road.
Shohei Ohtani has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 33 home runs are 2nd in the league and lead the Dodgers. Ohtani is also batting .306 for the season and has driven in 79 runs, which is 6th in the MLB. However, he has gone just 5/28 in his last seven games. Teoscar Hernandez has also been a big power threat for the Dodgers, as he is 2nd on the team with 23 homers and has gone 2/7 in his last seven games.
As a team, the Dodgers have been one of the top offenses in the league, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. They are also 3rd in home runs and have the league’s 3rd best OPS. Currently, they have four players on a hitting streak, with Gavin Lux’s nine-game streak leading the way.