Philadelphia Phillies vs Kansas City Royals Betting Pick & Prediction 8/25/24
At 2:10 PM ET, the Phillies and Royals face off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, and the Royals are favored on the money line, with the odds sitting at -136. The money line odds for a Phillies win are at +116, and the over/under line is at 9.5 runs.
Philadelphia will be starting Kolby Allard, while the Royals are sending Seth Lugo to the mound. Allard will be facing a Royals club that is 72-57, while the Phillies are 75-54 and are first in the NL East. Lugo is starting for a Royals club that is second in the AL Central.
KANSAS CITY ROYALS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Kansas City Royals Moneyline -136
This game will be played at Kauffman Stadium at 2:10 ET on Sunday, August 25th.
HOW TO BET THE PHILLIES VS ROYALS:
- We have the Royals winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Phillies to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Philadelphia cruised to an easy 11-2 win over the Royals in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 2nd inning, scoring five of their eleven runs. As for the Royals, they scored their only two runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -112 on the money line.
Ranger Suarez only went five innings for the Phillies but gave up just one run and got the win. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued a costly home run. Brady Singer had a rough outing for the Royals, giving up five earned runs in five innings of work.
J.T. Realmuto and Bryson Stott each homered for the Phillies. Realmuto, Trea Turner, Nick Castellanos, and Kyle Schwarber each had two RBIs. Schwarber scored three times for Philadelphia’s offense.
Phillies Records & Stats
With an overall record of 75-54, the Phillies lead the NL East by five games over the Braves. The Phillies took over the division lead yesterday when they won and the Braves lost. This season, the Phillies have gone 20-14 in divisional games.
At home, the Phillies have gone 42-23 this season, and they are just over .500 on the road at 33-31. As the underdog, the Phillies have an overall record of 11-14 this season, and they are 10-12 as the road underdog. Philadelphia has dropped three straight as the underdog, and they are 64-40 when favored this year. The Phillies’ overall series record is 21-16-6, and they are 6-4 across their last ten games.
When the Phillies win, they win big, with an average run margin of +4.0 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.6 runs per game. Overall, their run line record is 63-66, with an average run margin of +0.8 runs per game. They are 32-32 against the run line on the road, and 31-34 against the run line at home.
The Philadelphia Phillies are on the road today against the Kansas City Royals. The over/under line for the game is set at 9.5 runs. The Phillies have an over/under record of 60-63 on the season, and their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 9.5 runs, their record is 7-7. The over has hit in their last two games.
Kolby Allard will be making his 4th start of the season for the Phillies, and he has been solid in his first 3 outings. He’s coming off of a win vs. the Diamondbacks, where he went 5 innings and gave up just 1 earned run. Allard has 10 strikeouts in 9 innings of work so far this season.
The Phillies come into the game as one of the league’s top offenses, as they are 7th in runs per game (4.9) and are also among the league leaders in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging. At home, they have been even better, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. So far, they have been a good home run hitting team, and their team isolated power figure of .164 is 10th in the league.
Over his last five games, J.T. Realmuto has gone 7/17 with two homers and nine RBIs. This has pushed his season average to .292. Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have been the Phillies’ top power threats this season, with Harper’s 26 homers ranking 2nd on the team and Schwarber’s 28 homers being the best mark on the team and 8th in the MLB.
Royals Records & Stats
Kansas City is 72-57 overall and trails the Guardians by two games in the AL Central. The Royals are 26-13 against other teams in the division, and they have gone 7-3 across their last 10 games. At home, the Royals are 41-27 this season and 31-30 on the road.
As the favorite, the Royals have put together a record of 42-24 this season, and they are 27-15 as the favorite at home. Kansas City has won two straight games as the favorite, and their overall series record is 19-20-2 this year.
The Royals have been a solid run line bet this season, going 73-56 overall. They’ve been especially good at home, where they are 39-29 vs. the run line. Their average run margin for the season is +0.8 runs per game.
Today’s over/under line is set at 9.5 runs for the Kansas City Royals’ home game against the Philadelphia Phillies. The Royals have an average combined run average of 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 59-66. When the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs, their record is 8-6. This is just the sixth game this season where the over/under line has been set at 9.5 runs, and the over has hit in their last two games.
Seth Lugo gets the start for the Royals today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win. Against the Angels on August 19th, Lugo went seven innings, giving up just two earned runs. He finished with eight strikeouts in that outing. Looking back further, Lugo had a rough outing on August 13th against the Twins, where he gave up seven earned runs in four innings of work. Lugo’s record for the season is 14-7, and he has an ERA of 3.02. This year, opponents are batting .221 off Lugo.
Heading into today’s game, the Royals are 7th in the league in runs per game at 4.9. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are the 4th best hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .257. As a team, the Royals are 2nd in the league in fewest strikeouts.
Bobby Witt Jr. has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 25 homers are the best mark on the team and 11th best in the MLB. Witt Jr. is also batting .346, which is the best mark on the team. Salvador Perez and Vinnie Pasquantino are also among the league’s top home run hitters, as Perez has 23 homers and Pasquantino has 18. Over his last seven games, Dairon Blanco is hitting .500 with three homers.