Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs Betting Pick & Prediction 7/2/24

At 8:05 PM ET, the Phillies and Cubs will face off in an NL matchup. This one is taking place at Wrigley Field in Chicago, and the Phillies are the 1st place team in the NL East, with a record of 55-29. The Cubs are 5th in the NL Central at 39-46.

Chicago comes into this one as the slight money line favorite, with the odds sitting at -127 compared to the Phillies at +108. The over/under line is currently 9.5 runs, and MARQ will be televising this one.

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS CHICAGO CUBS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline +108

This game will be played at Wrigley Field at 8:05 ET on Tuesday, July 2nd.

HOW TO BET THE PHILLIES VS CUBS:

• We have the Phillies winning by a score of 6 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Phillies to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over

Phillies Records & Stats

The Phillies’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Marlins, closing out their series with a 7-6 win. After allowing one run to the Marlins in the top of the first, the Phillies responded with two runs of their own. Philadelphia went on to add another five runs in the 2nd inning.

Ranger Suarez got the start for the Phillies, going 4 2/3 innings, and got the win. He did struggle on the mound, giving up six earned runs on nine hits and issuing two walks. Alec Bohm had only two hits, but one of them was a home run, and Nick Castellanos had a big day at thejson, going 4/5 with three RBIs.

With an overall record of 55-29, the Phillies lead the NL East by eight games over the Braves. Philadelphia will be playing on the road today vs. the Cubs and are 14-8 against other teams in the NL East. The Phillies have been really good at home this year, going 33-14, and they are 22-15 on the road.

Philadelphia has been really good in night games this year, going 35-14, and they have dropped two straight games as the underdog. As the favorite, the Phillies are 49-23 this year and 6-6 when they are the underdog. So far, their overall series record is 17-7-5.

The Phillies have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 44-40. They have been even better on the road, going 20-17. Their average run margin this season is +1.4 runs per game, and they are +1.0 runs per game on the road. They have been favored in 72 of their 84 games this season and are 38-34 in those games.

Philadelphia is on the road today against the Cubs, and the O/U line is set at 9.5 runs. The Phillies have an average combined run total of 8.6 runs per game this season, and their O/U record is 36-43. Their games have had an average O/U line of 8 runs, and when the line is set at 9.5 runs, they are 2-5. Only 4.8% of their games have had higher O/U lines than 9.5 runs.

Michael Mercado will be making his first start of the season for the Phillies, as he comes into the game after a 1-inning relief appearance against the Tigers. In that outing, he struck out one batter and did not allow a run.

As a team, the Phillies are 4th in the league in scoring at 5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are 5th in home runs and have the league’s 3rd best batting average. Collectively, they have been very good at avoiding strikeouts and are near the top of the league in walks.

Bryce Harper and Alec Bohm are both hitting over .300 for the season, with Harper leading the team with 20 homers and Bohm not far behind with 10. Harper has gone deep twice in his last four games while going 7/18. Bohm has also hit two homers in his last seven games but is just 7/28 during that stretch.

Cubs Records & Stats

The Cubs will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Brewers with a 7-1 loss. Chicago was the +165 underdog on the money line going into this road game. Things started off well for the Cubs, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Brewers scored seven times in the 4th.

Kyle Hendricks had a rough outing, giving up seven earned runs on seven hits and issuing three walks. He only lasted json3 2/3 innings, taking the loss. The Cubs’s offense scored their only other run in the 2nd but left Nico Hoerner stranded at third base. Hoerner went 1/4 with a homer.

Chicago is 39-46 overall this season, putting them 5th in the NL Central. Currently, they trail the Brewers by 11 games. The Cubs are just 10-19 against other teams in the NL Central. Chicago is coming off a series loss to the Brewers and have dropped three straight series.

At home, the Cubs are 22-18 this season compared to a 17-28 mark on the road. So far, they have been .500 both as the favorite and underdog, with a home favorite record of 14-14. Chicago’s overall series record is 9-16-2 this year, and they are just 3-7 over their last ten games.

When betting the run line on the Cubs, it’s been a better proposition to take them on the road, where they are 25-20 compared to 15-25 at home. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 29-16 against the run line, compared to 11-29 as the favorite. The Cubs’ average run differential in games they win is +2.9, while it’s -3.1 in games they lose.

The Chicago Cubs are playing at home against the Philadelphia Phillies today, with the over/under line set at 9.5 runs. The Cubs have had a combined run average of 8.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 36-45. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs per game, and when the line has been set at 9.5 runs, they have gone over in 4 out of 5 games. Overall, only 8.2% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs or higher.

Chicago is starting right-hander Hayden Wesneski today vs. the Phillies. He has made 21 appearances this year and has a record of 2-4 with a 3.60 ERA. Wesneski has made four starts and has a WHIP of 1.16. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .208 this year. Wesneski’s last outing came on June 26th, where he went four innings, giving up three earned runs, and he finished with a no-decision. He has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Per nine innings, Wesneski is averaging 8.8 strikeouts and 3.2 walks.

Christopher Morel leads the Cubs in home runs this season, but he is batting just .198 for the year and has gone 6/30 in his last nine games. Morel has gone deep twice in this stretch and has four RBIs. Ian Happ is 2nd on the team with 11 homers but is batting only .229 for the season and just .179 in his last nine games. Nico Hoerner has been hot of late, going 11/36 in his last nine games.

For the season, the Cubs are batting just .228 as a team and are averaging 4.1 runs per game. Their team on-base percentage is just 12th in the league and they are also near the bottom of the league in terms of slugging and OPS. As a team, they are 15th in home runs.