Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Betting Pick & Prediction 7/2/24

From Target Field in Minneapolis, we have an AL Central matchup between the Tigers and Twins. The forecast for Tuesday calls for broken clouds and temperatures in the low 80s. Tarik Skubal will start for the Tigers, while the Twins are sending Simeon Woods Richardson to the mound. Detroit is 38-46, and the Twins are 47-37, which is good for 2nd in the AL Central. Minnesota is currently on a two-game winning streak.

The money line odds have the Tigers at -112 compared to the Twins at -106, and the over/under line is at 7.5 runs. This game can be seen on BSDET.

MINNESOTA TWINS VS DETROIT TIGERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Minnesota Twins Moneyline -106

This game will be played at Target Field at 7:40 ET on Tuesday, July 2nd.

HOW TO BET THE TIGERS VS TWINS:

• We have the Twins winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Twins to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Tigers Records & Stats

The Tigers’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Angels, closing out their series with a 7-6 win. After allowing one run to the Angels in the top of the first, the Tigers responded with three runs of their own. Detroit went on to add another three runs in the 4th inning.

Casey Mize put together a good start for the Tigers, going 5 1/3 innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out two batters. Detroit’s bullpen nearly gave up the lead, as the Angels scored five runs in the 9th, but Tyler Holton was able to close things out and pick up the save.

Detroit is 38-46 overall, putting them 4th in the AL Central, 15 games behind the Guardians for the division lead. So far, they have gone 12-10 in AL Central matchups. The Tigers are starting this series on the road, where they are 19-24 this season.

As the Tigers are 19-19 when favored this year, they are 19-27 as the underdog. Detroit has dropped three straight games as the favorite, and they are coming off a 3-1 series loss to the Angels. So far, they are 9-13-4 in series this year and have lost two straight series.

When betting the run line with the Detroit Tigers, it’s been more profitable to take them as the underdog, as they are 27-19 against the run line in those games. They are 9-29 against the run line as the favorite. The Tigers are 36-48 against the run line overall, but they are 22-21 against the run line on the road.

Today’s over/under line for the Detroit Tigers-Minnesota Twins game is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average in Tigers games this season is 8.4 runs. Detroit has an over/under record of 44-38 on the season, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 13-10. Overall, 60.7% of their games have had higher lines than 7.5 runs. The over has hit in their last two games.

Tarik Skubal has been pitching well for the Tigers this season, coming into the game with a record of 9-3 and an ERA of 2.32. He has made 16 starts, and opponents are batting just .199 off the left-hander this season. Skubal has turned in 11 quality starts and is coming off a game in which he didn’t give up a run. In that outing vs. the Phillies, he went seven innings, picking up the win. Before that, he had lost two straight starts. Skubal’s ERA on the road is 3.3, compared to 1.75 at home.

For the season, the Tigers are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. So far, they have been a below-average home run hitting team and are batting just .228 as a team. Detroit’s team OPS of .661 is 27th in the league.

Riley Greene has been the Tigers’ top power threat this season, as he is 11th in the league with 15 homers and leads the team with 41 RBIs. However, he has just a .253 batting average and has gone just 7/31 in his last nine games. Matt Vierling is also near the top of the team’s home run and RBI leaderboards, but he is batting just .206 over his last eight games.

Twins Records & Stats

The Twins’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Mariners, closing out their series with a 5-3 win. After allowing one run to the Mariners in the bottom of the first, the Twins responded with a run of their own. Minnesota went on to add another run in the 5th inning and closed things out with a 2-run 8th. Heading into the game, the Twins were the slight favorite at -112 on the money line.

Joe Ryan put together a good start for the Twins, going 5 2/3 innings, and giving up just one run on six hits. He also issued only one walk and struck out 10 Mariners batters. Trevor Larnach was hot at the plate, going 2/4 with a homer and three RBIs.

Minnesota is at home today to take on the Tigers with an overall record of 47-37. They are six games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. The Twins have an overall division record of 15-11 this season.

The Twins have been good at home and solid on the road this year. They are 23-16 at home compared to 24-21 on the road. As the favorite, the Twins are 38-20 this year, and they are 9-17 as the underdog. Minnesota won the final two games of their series vs. the Mariners, and they are 6-4 in their last 10 games overall.

The Twins have been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 25-20. They have a run line record of 40-44 overall, with an average run margin of +0.5 runs per game. Minnesota has been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 13-13, compared to 27-31 as the favorite. The Twins have covered the run line in two straight games as the underdog.

Minnesota’s games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 40-42. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 10-10. Overall, 63.1% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.

Minnesota is sending Simeon Woods Richardson to the mound today vs. the Tigers. He has made 13 starts this year and has a record of 3-1 with a 3.41 ERA. Woods Richardson’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.14. In his 13 starts, he has turned in four quality starts and is averaging 7.64 strikeouts per nine innings. The last time he pitched, Woods Richardson picked up the win, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs. Before that outing, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight starts.

Heading into today’s game, the Twins are 8th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. They have been even better on the road, putting up an average of 5 runs per game. Overall, they are 5th in home runs and have the 5th best team slugging percentage in the league. Carlos Santana has been a big part of their power numbers, as he is 2nd on the team with 12 homers and is 3rd on the club with 39 RBIs.

Minnesota’s most consistent power hitter this season has been catcher Ryan Jeffers, as his 13 homers are the best on the team and 13th in the MLB. He is also batting just .232 for the season. Shortstop Willi Castro comes into the game with a batting average of .276, and he has gone deep 7 times this season. Over his last six games, Byron Buxton has gone 10/22 with four homers and 11 RBIs.