Ottawa Senators vs Washington Capitals Betting Pick & Prediction 3/3/25

The Senators and Capitals are set to face off at 6:30 ET on ESPN+. The Capitals will host the game at Capital One Arena in Washington, DC. The over/under goal line for this matchup is currently at 5.5 goals, and the Capitals are -1.5 goal favorite to win at home against the Senators.

OTTAWA SENATORS VS WASHINGTON CAPITALS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Washington Capitals -1.5

This game will be played at Capital One Arena at 6:30 ET on Monday, March 3rd.

WHY BET THE WASHINGTON CAPITALS:

  • With the Capitals being favored by 1.5, our NHL analytics models has this one playing out 4-3 in favor of the Capitals.
  • Take the Capitals on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Senators (+1.5)

Will the Senators Win in Washington?

With a 3-0 win over the Kraken, the Senators improved to 30-25-4 this season. Ottawa covered the puck line as -1.5 goal favorites, and the total was set at 6.5 goals, but the combined score of 3 fell well short of that mark.

Each of Ottawa’s three goals came from different players, with Adam Gaudette opening the scoring at 5:28 in the first period. Brady Tkachuk added another in the second, and Tim Stützle sealed the win with an empty-netter in the third.

Ottawa’s offense scored three times in their 3-0 victory over the Kraken. Adam Gaudette opened the scoring with his 7th goal of the season, followed by Brady Tkachuk, who also netted his 7th. Tim Stützle added an empty-netter, his 6th goal of the year.

The Senators took 23 shots on goal but recorded 11 giveaways. They scored once in each period, with Tkachuk’s goal coming 11:11 into the second period.

Defensively, the Senators were rock solid, allowing 0 goals on 22 shots from the Kraken. Anton Forsberg made 22 saves with a 100% save percentage, and the defense added 2 takeaways, 25 hits, and 14 blocks.

Will the Capitals Come Through as Home Favorites?

Washington’s latest game was a 4-2 road loss to the Hurricanes. The Capitals were the underdogs on the puck line, and the total was set at 6 goals, which was exactly the combined score. This defeat brought Washington’s record to 38-14-8 for the season.

After trailing 1-0, the Capitals scored twice in the first period, but the Hurricanes responded with three unanswered goals. Washington’s defense struggled, allowing 44 shots on goal, while their offense managed just 21 shots.

Washington’s offense was held to just two goals, both coming in the first period. Alex Ovechkin netted his 7th goal of the season on a power play, while Brandon Duhaime followed up with his 2nd goal.

The Capitals managed 21 shots on goal but struggled with 15 giveaways. Nic Dowd picked up his 2nd assist of the season, and Dylan Strome added his 13th assist on Ovechkin’s goal.

Despite leading 2-1 after the first period, the Capitals’ defense struggled, allowing three unanswered goals—two in the second period and one more in the third. The first came just 2:29 into the second period, followed by another at the 5:26 mark. The final goal was an empty-netter with just 9 seconds left in the third period. Charlie Lindgren made 41 saves with a 93.2% save percentage, but the defense gave up 44 shots on goal. They also recorded 2 takeaways, 20 hits, and 16 blocks.