Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Pick & Prediction 4/20/25

Looking to win big? The Senators and Maple Leafs face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN2. The Maple Leafs are hosting the game at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON. The over/under for this game is set at 5.5 goals, and the Maple Leafs are favored by -1.5 against the Senators in a Atlantic division matchup.
OTTAWA SENATORS VS TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5
This game will be played at Scotiabank Arena at 7:00 ET on Sunday, April 20th.
WHY BET THE TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS:
- With the Maple Leafs being favored by 1.5, our NHL analytics models has this one playing out 4-3 in favor of the Maple Leafs.
- Take the Maple Leafs on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Senators (+1.5)
Is A Road Victory Likely for Underdog Ottawa?
With a 3-0 win over the Kraken, the Senators improved to 45-30-7. Ottawa covered the puck line as -1.5 goal favorites, and the total for the game was set at 6.5 goals, but the teams combined for only 3.
All three of Ottawa’s goals came from different players, with Adam Gaudette scoring first at 14:32 in the opening period. Brady Tkachuk added another in the second, and Tim Stützle sealed the win with an empty-net goal in the third.
In their 3-0 win over Seattle, the Senators had 11 giveaways but still managed to score three times on 23 shots. Adam Gaudette netted his 7th goal of the season, followed by Brady Tkachuk, who also scored his 7th. Tim Stützle added an empty-netter, his 6th goal of the year.
Ottawa opened the scoring with Gaudette’s goal at 14:32 in the first period. Tkachuk followed with a goal at 8:49 in the second. Stützle’s empty-net goal came at 2:14 in the third period. The Senators registered 5 assists in the game.
On defense, the Senators will look to carry over their performance from their last game, where they shut out the Kraken 3-0. Anton Forsberg made 22 saves, posting a 100% save percentage, while the defense recorded 2 takeaways and 25 hits.
Will Toronto Find a Way to Win at Home?
Toronto’s latest game ended in a 2-1 overtime loss to the Wild, bringing their record to 52-26-4. The Maple Leafs trailed early, with the Wild scoring at 9:41 in the first period, but William Nylander leveled the score with a power-play goal at 19:08 in the same period. The game remained tied until Minnesota netted the winner at 2:14 in overtime.
The total for the game was set at 6 goals, but the teams combined for just 3. Toronto, as underdogs on the puck line, failed to cover. The Maple Leafs’ lone goal came from Nylander, his 9th of the season.
William Nylander netted his 9th goal of the season, scoring on a power play at 19:08 in the first period. Auston Matthews picked up his 6th assist, while Mitchell Marner added his 12th assist on Nylander’s goal.
Toronto fired 28 shots on goal but was held scoreless after the first period. The Leafs had 10 giveaways in the game.
Defensively, the Maple Leafs gave up the first goal at 9:41 in the first period and the game-winner at 2:14 into overtime. Anthony Stolarz finished with 31 saves and a 93.9% save percentage. The Maple Leafs’ defense also recorded 2 takeaways and 30 hits.