Oregon Ducks vs Michigan Wolverines Betting Pick & Prediction 11/2/24
Michigan Stadium in Ann Arbor is the setting for the week ten matchup between the Oregon Ducks and Michigan Wolverines, scheduled for 3:30 ET on Saturday, November 2nd. The game will be broadcast on CBS, with Oregon coming in as the heavy favorite at -14.5 points. The over/under line is currently set at 45.5 points. The Ducks are 8-0 on the season, while the Wolverines are 5-3 overall.
OREGON DUCKS VS MICHIGAN WOLVERINES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Michigan Wolverines +14.5
This game will be played at Michigan Stadium at 3:30 ET on Saturday, November 2nd.
WHY BET THE MICHIGAN WOLVERINES:
- We have the Oregon Ducks winning this one by a score of 22 to 21
- Even though we like the Oregon Ducks to win, our ATS pick is to take the Michigan Wolverines at +14.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 45.5 points
Will The Oregon Ducks Win As Road Favorites?
Oregon enters Week 10 against Michigan with an 8-0 record and is ranked 8th in our power rankings. They have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible and a 36.1% chance of winning the Big Ten. Oregon also has the second-best odds of making the CFB playoff at 87.1%.
The Ducks are 4-0 at home and 3-0 on the road this season. They’ve been favored in six of their eight games, going 6-0 as the favorite. Oregon’s average scoring margin is +19.4 points, and they are 4-3 against the spread.
Oregon’s games have averaged 50.6 points, with an average over/under line of 55.3. This week’s line is 45.5 points, the lowest they’ve faced this season. Their over/under record is 3-4, with an average margin of -2.9 points.
Oregon’s offense is averaging 35 points per game, placing them 20th in the nation, but they rank 8th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 10. Dillon Gabriel has thrown for 2,371 yards and has a passer rating of 120. Oregon ranks 12th in passing yards per game, averaging 300 yards, and they are 9th in completions, with 24.8 per game. They also have the highest completion percentage in the country at 76.4% and convert 49.5% of their third downs.
Gabriel has 18 touchdown passes and 5 interceptions this season. Jordan James leads the rushing attack with 800 yards and 8 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Oregon ranks 51st in rushing yards nationally. Tez Johnson leads the receivers with 638 yards and 8 touchdowns on 63 catches.
Oregon’s defense has been impressive this season, ranking 11th nationally by allowing just 15.6 points per game. In their recent game against Illinois, they gave up only 9 points, while forcing two interceptions. The Ducks allowed 293 total yards, including 132 rushing yards on 32 attempts and 161 passing yards.
Opponents are averaging 125.6 rushing yards per game on 29.9 attempts against Oregon, while quarterbacks have managed a passer rating of just 64.3, the 11th-lowest in the country. The Ducks’ secondary has allowed 173.8 passing yards per game, ranking 24th nationally, with a completion rate of 55.9%.
Are The Michigan Wolverines Going Win In At Upset At Michigan Stadium
Michigan enters Week 10 against Oregon with a 5-3 record, ranked 39th in our power rankings. They have an 87.9% chance of becoming bowl-eligible but no shot at winning the Big Ten. The Wolverines are 5-1 at home but have struggled on the road, going 0-2 this season.
Against the spread, Michigan is 2-6, with an average scoring margin of 0 points per game. They are 1-4 ATS as the favorite and 2-4 at home. This season, they’ve been favored in five of their eight games.
The over/under line for this week is 45.5 points. Michigan’s games have averaged 43 points, with an average line of 42.1. So far, their over/under record is 5-3.
Michigan’s offense has struggled this season, ranking 82nd in points per game with 21.5 and 83rd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 10. Their passing game has been particularly weak, averaging just 130.5 yards per game, placing them 126th nationally. Quarterback Davis Warren has thrown for 567 yards, with six interceptions to just three touchdowns, resulting in a passer rating of 67.
The Wolverines have relied more on their rushing attack, ranking 30th in rushing attempts and averaging 173.5 yards per game on the ground. Kalel Mullings leads the team with 694 rushing yards and seven touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry.
Michigan’s defense will look to build on a solid performance in their 24-17 win over Michigan State, where they allowed 17 points. The Wolverines gave up 354 total yards, including 165 rushing yards on 41 attempts and 189 passing yards.
Opponents have averaged 21.5 points per game against Michigan this season. The Wolverines rank 18th in the nation in rushing yards allowed, giving up just 101.2 yards per game. However, they’ve struggled against the pass, allowing 228.5 yards per game, which ranks 104th nationally.