Oklahoma State Cowboys vs TCU Horned Frogs Betting Pick & Prediction 11/9/24
With kick-off set for 7:00 ET, the TCU Horned Frogs are hosting the Oklahoma State Cowboys at Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth. TCU comes in as the -11.5 point favorite, and the over/under line is currently at 66.5 points. The game can be seen on FS1, and the Horned Frogs have a -428 money line, while the Cowboys are at +327. TCU has a 5-4 record this season, while Oklahoma State is 3-6 overall.
OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS VS TCU HORNED FROGS BETTING PICK
The Pick: TCU Horned Frogs -11.5
This game will be played at Amon G. Carter Stadium at 7:00 ET on Saturday, November 9th.
WHY BET THE TCU HORNED FROGS:
- We have the TCU Horned Frogs winning this one by a score of 42 to 26
- Not only do we have the TCU Horned Frogs winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -11.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 66.5 points
Will The Oklahoma State Cowboys Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Oklahoma State enters Week 11 with a 3-6 record and a 57th-place ranking in our CFB power rankings. They have just a 5.7% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. So far, the Cowboys are 1-3 on the road and 0-3 at home this season.
Oklahoma State has been favored in two of their nine games, going 1-1 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is -1.8 points per game, and they are 2-5 against the spread this season.
The over/under line for this week’s game is 66.5 points. Oklahoma State’s over/under record is 4-3, with their games averaging 60.7 points. The average over/under line for their games has been 59.4 points.
Oklahoma State’s offense is centered around their passing game, ranking 10th in passing attempts per game. They are 18th in passing yards, averaging 279.2 yards per game, and 15th in completions. Alan Bowman has thrown for 2,294 yards, with 16 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 85.
Overall, Oklahoma State is 47th in scoring, with 29.4 points per game, and they are 44th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 11. Their third-down conversion rate is 37.3%, and they are 109th in rushing, averaging 107.1 yards per game. Ollie Gordon II leads the rushing attack with 571 yards and eight touchdowns.
Oklahoma State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 31.2 points per game. In their recent game against Arizona State, they gave up 42 points, allowing 530 total yards, including 304 passing yards and three passing touchdowns.
Opponents have averaged 248.8 rushing yards per game against Oklahoma State, ranking them 181st nationally. They’ve faced 41.8 rushing attempts per game and 30.1 passing attempts, with quarterbacks completing 57.5% of their passes and posting a passer rating of 92.4.
Are The TCU Horned Frogs Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
TCU enters Week 11 against Oklahoma State with a 5-4 record, ranking 49th in our CFB power rankings. They have a 93.6% chance of becoming bowl-eligible but only a 0.3% shot at winning the Big 12. The Horned Frogs are 1-2 at home and 3-2 on the road this season.
TCU’s ATS record stands at 2-6, with an average scoring margin of +3.4 points per game. They are 0-5 against the spread as favorites and 2-1 ATS as underdogs.
The over/under line for this week is 66.5 points, the highest TCU has faced this season. Their over/under record is 6-2, with an average line of 58.9 points and an average total of 61.9 points per game.
TCU’s offense has been heavily focused on their passing game this season, ranking 3rd in the nation with 333.7 yards per game. They are also 3rd in passing completions, averaging 26.4 per game, and 7th in passing attempts. Overall, they are 31st in scoring, putting up 32.7 points per game, and we have them 34th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 11.
Quarterback Josh Hoover has thrown for 2,947 yards, completing 67.1% of his passes, with 21 touchdowns and 8 interceptions. His passer rating is 104. Jack Bech leads the receiving corps with 923 yards and 9 touchdowns on 51 catches. TCU’s run game has struggled, ranking 110th with 107 rushing yards per game.
TCU’s defense has struggled this season, allowing 29.2 points per game. In their recent 37-34 loss to Baylor, they gave up 37 points and 499 total yards, including 257 rushing yards and five rushing touchdowns.
Opponents have averaged 178.6 rushing yards per game against TCU, ranking them 128th nationally. However, TCU’s pass defense has been a bright spot, allowing just 181.3 passing yards per game, the 30th-best mark in the country.