Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings Betting Pick & Prediction 11/25/24

At 10:00 ET, the Thunder (-183) will take on the Kings (+156) in a Western Conference matchup. Sacramento comes into the game on a three-game losing streak and is currently 12th in the West. The Thunder are 2nd in the conference and have a record of 12-4.

The over/under line for this game is 223.5 points. NBCS will have the TV coverage for this game, which will be played at the Golden 1 Center in Sacramento.

OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER VS SACRAMENTO KINGS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Sacramento Kings +4.5

This game will be played at Golden 1 Center at 10:00 ET on Monday, November 25th.

WHY BET THE SACRAMENTO KINGS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 119-117 in favor of the Kings.
  • Our projections have De’Aaron Fox finishing with 26 points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Kings finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.8% and knocking down 12 threes.

Can the Thunder Deliver Being Favored on the Road?

With a 109-99 win over the Trail Blazers on Wednesday, the Thunder improved to 12-4 this season. Oklahoma City was favored by 12.5 points but didn’t cover the spread, and the game’s total of 208 points fell short of the 222-point line.

Portland went on a 10-0 run early, but the Thunder responded by winning the 2nd quarter 26-21. After a tight 3rd quarter, Oklahoma City pulled away in the 4th, outscoring the Blazers 39-30 to close out the game.

Jalen Williams led the Thunder to a win over the Trail Blazers, hitting 5 threes at a 55.6% clip and finishing with 30 points, 8 assists, and 7 rebounds. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander added 28 points despite shooting just 36.8% from the field, while Alex Caruso contributed 17 points on 72.7% shooting.

As a team, the Thunder struggled from beyond the arc, making just 9 threes at a 29% rate. Their overall shooting percentage was 44%. In the 4th quarter, Gilgeous-Alexander scored 13 points, with Williams adding 11 and Caruso chipping in 8.

The Thunder put together a strong defensive performance on Wednesday, holding the Trail Blazers to 99 points. They were particularly effective in the 2nd quarter, giving up just 21 points. Overall, they limited Portland to 40% shooting from the field.

Oklahoma City allowed 15 three-pointers on 39% shooting. The Blazers also went to the line 28 times, making 20 free throws. The Thunder finished with 31 defensive rebounds, while giving up 16 offensive boards. They also recorded 14 steals and 8 blocks.

Will the Kings Win at Home?

The Kings dropped to 8-9 on the season after a 108-103 home loss to the Nets on Sunday. Sacramento, who were favored by 10.5 points, not only lost the game but also failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were 211, falling short of the 223.5-point over/under line.

Sacramento fell behind early, trailing 37-28 after the 1st quarter. They clawed back by winning the 2nd and 3rd quarters, tying the game at 88 heading into the 4th. However, the Kings managed just 15 points in the final frame while allowing 20 to the Nets.

De’Aaron Fox led the Kings with 31 points and 5 assists in their 108-103 loss to the Nets, shooting 62.5% from the field and hitting 3 threes at a 75% rate. Fox did most of his damage in the first half, scoring 14 points in the 1st quarter and adding 10 more in the 2nd. Keegan Murray contributed 21 points and 8 rebounds, while DeMar DeRozan added 18 points despite shooting just 38.9%.

The Kings shot 48.1% from the field, but struggled from beyond the arc, making just 9 threes at a 36% clip. Fox’s 3 made threes were a team-high, while Murray added 8 points in the 3rd quarter. DeRozan and Domantas Sabonis each scored 6 points in the 3rd, with DeRozan adding another 6 in the final period.

The Kings’ defense struggled in the 1st quarter, giving up 37 points, but they tightened up as the game went on, allowing just 23 points in the 3rd and 20 in the 4th. Despite the improved effort, they couldn’t overcome their early deficit, allowing the Nets to shoot 48% from the field.

Sacramento had trouble defending the three, as Brooklyn hit 19 threes at a 48% clip. The Kings sent the Nets to the line 25 times, where they made 17 free throws. Sacramento finished with 33 defensive rebounds, gave up 6 offensive boards, and recorded 6 steals and 6 blocks.