Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Betting Pick & Prediction 4/26/25

The Memphis Grizzlies will host the Oklahoma City Thunder at 3:30 ET in a Western Conference matchup. The Thunder (-1106) are favored by 15 over the Grizzlies (+700) and the over/under line is set at 221.5. The game will be televised on TNT.

Oklahoma City (68-14) is currently on a seven-game winning streak and leads the Western Conference. Memphis (48-34) has lost three straight and is currently the eighth seed in the West.

OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER VS MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder -15

This game will be played at FedExForum at 3:30 ET on Saturday, April 26th.

WHY BET THE OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 152-135 in favor of the Thunder.
  • Our projections have Shai Gilgeous-Alexander finishing with 32 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Thunder finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.9% and knocking down 18 threes.

Can Oklahoma City Grab a Win on the Road?

Oklahoma City improved to 68-14 this season with a 114-108 win over the Grizzlies on Thursday. Despite the win, the Thunder, who were -9.5 point favorites, didn’t cover the spread. The game’s total of 222 points fell short of the 230.5 O/U line.

Memphis went on a 16-0 run, pushing their lead from 50-37 to 66-37. However, the Thunder responded by holding the Grizzlies to just 31 points in the 2nd half, outscoring them 36-18 in the 3rd quarter and 27-13 in the 4th.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the Thunder to a win over the Grizzlies, scoring 31 points despite shooting 38.5% from the field and 28.6% from three. Jalen Williams added 26 points, while Chet Holmgren contributed 24 points, hitting 5 threes at a 50% rate.

As a team, the Thunder shot 45.3% overall and 34.2% from deep, making 13 threes. Gilgeous-Alexander scored 12 points in the 1st quarter and 8 in the 4th, while Holmgren added 16 points in the 3rd and 7 more in the final period.

Despite a rough start defensively, giving up 40 points in the 1st quarter and 37 in the 2nd, the Thunder tightened up in the 2nd half, allowing just 18 points in the 3rd quarter and 13 in the 4th, helping them secure a 114-108 win over the Grizzlies. Overall, they held Memphis to 43% shooting from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Thunder limited the Grizzlies to 14 made threes on 33% shooting. Oklahoma City also recorded 10 steals and 4 blocks in the game.

Can Memphis Secure a Home Victory?

The Grizzlies fell to 48-34 on the season after a 114-108 home loss to the Thunder on Thursday. Despite being +9.5 point underdogs, Memphis kept the game closer than expected. The total score of 222 points fell short of the 230.5-point line.

Memphis looked strong early, going on a 16-0 run and extending their lead from 50-37 to 66-37. However, they couldn’t maintain their momentum, as they were outscored 36-18 in the 3rd quarter and 27-13 in the 4th after leading 95-87 going into the final period.

In the Grizzlies’ 114-108 loss to the Thunder, Scotty Pippen Jr. led the way with 28 points, hitting 6 threes at a 60% clip. He scored 14 of his points in the opening quarter. Overall, Memphis shot 43.4% from the field, with a 33.3% mark from beyond the arc, making 14 threes.

Jaren Jackson Jr. added 22 points, including 8 in the 3rd quarter, while Ja Morant contributed 15 points, 11 of which came in the 2nd. Santi Aldama also chipped in 8 of his 14 points in the 1st quarter.

Defensively, the Grizzlies had a strong 2nd quarter, holding the Thunder to 22 points, but they struggled in the 3rd, giving up 36 points in a 114-108 loss. Overall, they allowed Oklahoma City to shoot 45% from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Grizzlies limited the Thunder to 13 made threes on 34% shooting. Memphis also sent Oklahoma City to the line 33 times, where they converted 23 free throws. The Grizzlies finished with 9 steals and 7 blocks.